I did a deep dive into our 290 LTO deals at @afternic and discovered some valuable insights concerning cancellations, early payoffs, and trends. 📉 Cancellation Rates Our raw cancellation rate was 26.9%, but that understates risk because it counts active deals as non-cancellations. A better number is the resolved cancellation rate: cancellations divided by completed LTOs. Historically, among our LTOs that have reached an outcome, about 59% completed successfully and 41% were cancelled. ⏱️ Cancellation Timing Cancellations are heavily front-loaded. Obviously the more payments they make the less likely they are to walk away at the next payment. But at what point are they really committed? Of our 78 cancellations, 28 (36%) made only one payment, 40 out of 78 (51%) made at most two payments, and 63 out of 78 (81%) made at most six payments. Once a deal avoids cancelling after only one payment, its resolved success rate rises to about 70%. Once a deal avoids the early churn window and gets to around six payments, the resolved success rate rises to around 86-88%. 📆 Cancellation and Term Length Most of our LTOs (87%) were in the 12-23 month range, so I'm not sure how statistically significant this data is. But there was a pretty clear pattern that the longer the length of the LTO, the higher the raw cancellation rate was. The raw cancellation for LTOs less than one year was 25%, for 12-23 months it was 25.3%, for 24-35 months it was 31.2%, and for 36 months it was 53.8%. You might think the longer the term, the more manageable the monthly payments are, and the more likely they'll be to stick around. But in this dataset, longer terms were clearly riskier. Personally, I’d be cautious offering terms longer than 24 months. 💳 Cancellation and Monthly Payment Looking only at 12-month LTOs, the raw cancellation rate was essentially the same for sub-$200 monthly payments vs $200-299 payments vs $300-499 payments. But interestingly, once the monthly payments reached $500 the raw cancellation rate dropped by more than 50%. That's somewhat intuitive though, someone committing to a $500 monthly payment is probably more serious and well-funded. 🤔 Confusing Cancellations Three buyers cancelled with only one payment left, which seems pretty unbelievable. In 8 cases, a cancelled LTO later sold again shortly afterward — 6 through LTO and 2 through BIN. The data doesn’t include buyer identity, but given normal domain sell-through rates and the short timing, these were very likely buyers coming back after missing a payment or regretting the cancellation. ⚡ Early Payoffs 17% of completed LTOs were paid off early. Nearly half of early payoffs happened close to the finish line, but of the early payers, 32% paid off after only 1–2 payments. 📈 LTOs By Year 2023: 13 (53 annualized) 2024: 106 2025: 114 2026: 57 (137 annualized) We're seeing a steady trend upward as LTOs stack up. 🎁 Wrap Up I hope this helps you get a better picture of what you might experience if you enable LTOs. The interesting takeaways for me were how heavily front-loaded LTO churn is, how longer terms reduce your odds of success, how little the monthly payment amount affects the odds except at the high end, and how more than 10% of cancelled LTOs still ended up in a sale shortly after.

Thanks @afternic 🥳

Yesterday saw $3.1 million in domain name sales including: $1,100,000 Mom․com $825,000 Derm․com $89,000 Balaena․com $77,000 Eve․dev $68,100 Jowi․com $50,256 Army․ai $25,285 Chance․de $25,138 HA․org $20,388 Enfold․com Balaena․com last sold for $162 and Jowi․com for $2,088 🔥 Full list 👉 namebio.com/daily #Domains

Mom.com reportedly sold for $1.1 million. @amiller325gd mentioned the domain name without the sale price in his weekly update post: x.com/amiller325gd/status/20… I just asked Andrew about this and he told me: “I can confirm that I, with ATM Holdings and Hilco Digital Assets, oversaw the sale of the Mom.com domain, in a win-win transaction for both sides. I cannot comment on the price.”

Derm․com was just reported sold for $825,000 by QEIP․com, currently the 7th highest sale of 2026 👀

Yesterday saw $639k in domain name sales including: $30,000 Bug․io $29,950 JointAI․com $19,363 Endorsements․com $12,000 uDeFi․com $10,000 QuitVaping․org $8,000 Vivane․com $4,911 RedRice․com $4,500 Duevo․com $4,250 JourneyHealthcare․com $4,200 DragonTiger․com $3,383 RefiLoan․com $3,150 Turbo․app $3,057 Actuation․ai $2,900 StoryBot․com $2,858 TheraWealth․com Full list 👉 namebio.com/daily #Domains

Thanks @afternic 🥳

Yesterday saw $542k in domain name sales including: $74,888 Tier․xyz $37,751 CryptoX․com $30,004 Hub․net $13,888 Inherent․xyz $3,888 Jalen․ai $3,850 Alfa․io $3,738 OnlyInspiration․com $3,600 GridWater․com $3,500 ATO․us $3,100 Blogify․com $2,521 HeritageCenter․com Full list 👉 namebio.com/daily #Domains

Some recent LTO sales at @afternic 🥳 Will share the full names if they complete 🤞

This 6-month LTO paid off three months early. Thanks @atomHQ 🎉

Yesterday saw $523k in domain name sales including: $39,500 Insights․ai $13,500 ChatAI․org $12,888 ForHope․org $8,100 N․to $4,049 AtomLabs․ai $3,899 TrussAI․com $3,804 TreeNerd․com $3,126 Sideable․com $3,055 AspectHealth․com $2,888 FixBet․net $2,801 LiveForce․com $2,525 Warhead․ai $1,999 Teddys․co ChatAI․org sold for $320 in January last year and the buyer flipped it two months ago for $932. Just goes to show this is a game of patience and timing. Full list 👉 namebio.com/daily #Domains

This LTO is now paid off. Thanks @afternic 🥳

Yesterday saw $547k in domain name sales including: $12,211 AI․network $9,100 Tradeo․com $5,200 EverWealth․com $5,000 Almanac․in $4,499 TrueVigor․com $4,450 Simulators․ai $3,850 EveryCare․com $3,498 StartLux․com $2,995 Dodi․app $2,800 SteelSense․com Full list 👉 namebio.com/daily #Domains

Thanks @spaceship 🚀 Two in one day for the second time this week 🔥

Thanks @atomHQ 🎉

Yesterday saw $714k in domain name sales including: $100,000 Video․net $8,999 Bounty․fun $7,250 HypeMachine․com $6,099 AllInOne․ai $5,999 Polaris․finance $5,801 Padel․app $5,773 Blog․gg Full list 👉 namebio.com/daily #Domains

Yesterday saw $1.1 million in domain name sales including: $100,000 AI․exchange $32,700 8004․com $30,000 CrownAutoGroup․com $28,650 SteelEngine․com $21,000 Luxor․ai $15,611 OneDream․com $10,500 VapeMarket․com Full list 👉 namebio.com/daily #Domains

This sold on a 6-month LTO a week ago, but the buyer just came back and paid off the rest. Thanks @atomHQ 🎉

Thanks @Sedo 🥂

Thanks @atomHQ 🎉

Yesterday saw $944k in domain name sales including: $50,000 Compound․xyz $30,000 Kupon․com $16,995 HotPath․com $16,562 StarMan․com $15,000 Desain․com $15,000 XQO․com Full list 👉 namebio.com/daily #Domains