learned a few things, also the co-founder of nothing
Joined February 2020
- Tweets 108,467
- Following 1,076
- Followers 70,273
- Likes 145,296
9,682 Photos and videos
historical cycle drawdowns for btc
• 2013-2015: -86%
• 2017-2018: -84%
• 2021-2022: -77%
if we should translate that to current ath of $126k:
• 77% drop is $29k
• 84% drop is $20k ish
no point finding out what 86% drop could look like cos what’s the point of the max pain
besides im not expecting bitcoin to drop below 77% btw cos the drawdowns get less brutal each cycle
so a dropdown somewhere around 65-70% might be considered reasonable
that is: $38-$44k ish
im not ready for this bros
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aztec legacy rollup exploited for $2.1m
quite unbelievable that this chain has a whole $2.1m locked in
really?
We are investigating a potential exploit affecting Aztec Connect. ~$2.1m was transferred from the immutable smart contract in transaction:
etherscan.io/tx/0x074ec9317d…
Aztec Connect was deprecated 3 years ago. Aztec Labs holds no admin keys or control over the system; it cannot be paused or upgraded by us.
We will share further updates in due course.
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just building volume for the sake of pleasant surprises... nothing much
from a sector perspective, brypto prediction market is proving insane pmf without being visibly crypto
love to see it
kinda think if your fave pm misses this WC and fails to gain or acquire sufficient users and metrics, then it's all over
brb, closing a W position on kairos
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from a sector perspective, brypto prediction market is proving insane pmf without being visibly crypto
love to see it
kinda think if your fave pm misses this WC and fails to gain or acquire sufficient users and metrics, then it's all over
brb, closing a W position on kairos
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wtf... the US government has ordered anthropic to ban all access to fable and mythos 5 models by non-US persons
but since anthropic currently has no way to verify access atm, they decided to suspend it globally
if anything, this has made a strong case for open and permissionless ai , who's genuinely building this?
Jun 13
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees.
The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance.
Access to all other Claude models is not affected.
We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible.
Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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prediction markets are as brutal as perps
cos the outcome is usually the same, you're competing against folks with insider info and stronger incentives than you
but again, there's pretty much nothing happening onchain, defi is fcked atm, the yields are so pisspo0r it's almost a -EV activity to lock in funds in any vault
also retail will be fixed on their home screen watching the WC so it only makes sense that attention will move towards prediction
may the best gambloor win
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tochi retweeted
Jun 12
elon at starbase ahead of the IPO - the goal, he said, is “to take the fiction out of the science fiction”
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it’s 5/5 for me and im not even capping
Jun 12
World Cup Terrace picks are officially locked ⚽
Big S/O to the team over at @Predictstreet for making this possible.
Each guest received a $500 budget.
Each pick = $100 on a team to WIN THEIR GROUP.
Here’s the full tracker:
@itskkoma
🇲🇽 Mexico
🇨🇦 Canada
🇹🇷 Turkiye
🇯🇵 Japan
🇨🇴 Colombia
@StarPlatinum_
🇰🇷 South Korea
🇨🇭 Switzerland
🇺🇸 USA
🇳🇱 Netherlands
🇵🇹 Portugal
@AndrewAsksHow
🇨🇿 Czech Republic
🇶🇦 Qatar
🇺🇸 USA
🇳🇱 Netherlands
🇵🇹 Portugal
@oxtochi
🇰🇷 South Korea
🇨🇭 Switzerland
🇹🇷 Turkiye
🇳🇱 Netherlands
🇨🇴 Colombia
@Carlitoswa_y
🇰🇷 South Korea
🇨🇭 Switzerland
🇺🇸 USA
🇯🇵 Japan
🇵🇹 Portugal
@shivst3r
🇰🇷 South Korea
🇨🇭 Switzerland
🇹🇷 Turkiye
🇳🇱 Netherlands
🇵🇹 Portugal
@kelanoo
🇨🇿 Czech Republic
🇨🇭 Switzerland
🇹🇷 Turkiye
🇳🇱 Netherlands
🇵🇹 Portugal
@ripchillpill
🇰🇷 South Korea
🇨🇦 Canada
🇺🇸 USA
🇳🇱 Netherlands
🇵🇹 Portugal
@R2D2zen
🇲🇽 Mexico
🇨🇭 Switzerland
🇹🇷 Turkiye
🇳🇱 Netherlands
🇨🇴 Colombia
Total deployed: $4,500
All picks placed publicly.
Full PnL tracked until tournament settlement.
Each person gets their full returns at settlement.
Let’s see who actually knows football 🫡⚽
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knew this retail guy who invested in trove and nov-ass-tro ico, he now put fries in the bag somewhere down the street
Jun 12
Fascinating that retail gets so excited about a 1.2x return in an IPO.
Wait until they learn about ICOs
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first time fifa’s ever had an official onchain prediction partner
@Predictstreet is that platform and it’s built on ADI chain
still early btw so i claimed my card to stay positioned, it’s quite easy…
enter the platform:
sprint.adipredictstreet.com/…
connect your x
claim your card and enter the dashboard
participate in campaigns, earn points and climb up the leaderboard
nothing promised about the points but id rather have them than not, and also being on fifa’s official website means it’s legit, yea?
Jun 11
THE WORLD CUP™ ‘26 SPRINT IS LIVE.
Claim your Predictstreet Card to enter now: sprint.adipredictstreet.com
Open daily packs, build streaks, & climb the leaderboard to win FIFA World Cup 2026™ tickets.
Finals. Semi-finals. And more.
Here’s how the Sprint works ↓
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let’s play… 😂
Jun 11
Introducing the Kairos × @Polymarket × @TXODDSOfficial Trading Championship.
$30,000
Top traders.
Top creators.
Four Prize Pools.
Bet on your favorite participants directly on Polymarket, or climb the ranks on Kairos and get featured yourself.
Think you can outperform the market?
Details Below:
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