World Cup Day 4 card⚽️

JUST IN: Polymarket's putting about 38% odds on the US announcing a new Iran agreement or ceasefire extension by end of day tomorrow. It ripped to roughly 57% earlier today before fading nearly 20 points in a few hours. How it got here: Jun 13 (today) — Pakistan PM Sharif says finalization is expected "in the next 24 hours," then Trump posts on Truth Social that the deal "is scheduled to get signed tomorrow" → market rips to ~57%, then fades back to 38% as Iranian officials call the reports preliminary and Mojtaba Khamenei's final sign-off remains the missing piece How to read it: this resolves on what's actually announced by end of day Sunday, not on whether the broader peace process is real. The signing is reportedly happening as a virtual electronic ceremony, Iran declined both Geneva and Islamabad as venues, with Pakistan and Qatar attending as mediators, and the last open gate is Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Trump has run this play before. His May 24 MoU announcement collapsed the "by June 7" leg from 72% to 6% once his own follow-up clarified he still needed to sign. That is what's keeping this below 50% even with Pakistan publicly preparing the signing infrastructure. The base rate on Trump-named deadlines is rough and usually something we like to fade. But the US president named the date on Truth Social. Pakistan is openly preparing the electronic signing. The "60-day ceasefire extension" framing in the market title is broad enough that a Sunday signing should resolve YES on the announcement alone, even if implementing it takes longer.

Here's what we like today! World cup has been hot in the discord, get more picks and analysis inside -> discord.com/oauth2/authorize…

Another 4-1 day! Brings us to 8-2 on our World Cup best bets ⚽️

2-0 USA

JUST HOW WE DREW IT UP

This Polymarket trader has $1.8million on United States to NOT win. ..... There's levels to this game..

Just because the World Cup has started, don't think we've lost focus on Primary Season. 🇺🇸 Dropping some election picks & analysis starting Monday

How did he keep that out????

Canada star Alphonso Davies has been ruled out. This could be a tight match up. Who you got?

Some of our favorite picks for the World Cup games today. 4-1 yesterday, lets do it again 🦾

Trader surfandturf has made $4.5m on Polymarket since joining in March 👀 Currently has 3 positions open, you tailing or fading these??

SpaceX IPO day! Here's a trade from the discord we are watching

The Lab went 4-1 on our favorite world cup picks yesterday. Stay tuned for more today! ⚽️

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21 jumped to 51% on Polymarket. The market spent the last week in the teens before ripping to a coin flip today. How it got here: Jun 10 — US struck Iranian radar and drone sites, Iran fired back, a cargo vessel went down in the Gulf of Oman; pricing briefly dipped under 13% Jun 11 — Trump announced an agreement had been reached with Iran, cancelled the planned follow-up strikes, and said the signing time and place would come "shortly" → rip from ~13% to 51% Could they finally be making progress on a peace deal?