I am increasingly convinced that the underfunding of Kenya’s most productive sectors is not an accident. It looks like a political economy designed to keep millions of young people poor, desperate, dependent and easy to manipulate.
When a government starves agriculture, manufacturing, MSMEs, trade and industry of serious funding, it is not merely making a budgetary mistake; it is weakening the very sectors that should feed the country, create jobs, expand exports, grow incomes and build a real tax base.
Look at the numbers. In a budget of about KSh 4.8 trillion, agriculture has been allocated about KSh 67.45 billion, livestock KSh 12 billion, industry only KSh 8.69 billion, MSMEs KSh 5.78 billion, trade KSh 5.26 billion, cooperatives KSh 6.08 billion, and investment promotion KSh 5.16 billion.
These are the sectors that should be powering factories, agro-processing, value addition, exports, affordable credit, rural incomes and youth employment. Yet they are being treated like footnotes in a budget that should be about production.
This is why unemployment will continue to haunt Kenya. You cannot create serious jobs by funding consumption while starving production. Jobs do not come from political rallies, token handouts, endless borrowing, empty empowerment slogans or photo opportunities.
Jobs come from farms that are producing, factories that are running, SMEs that can access credit, exporters that can compete, and value chains that are properly financed from the farm gate to the market.
Manufacturing is one of the biggest missed opportunities. If Kenya truly wanted to absorb unemployed youth, it would aggressively fund industrial parks, textile and leather value chains, agro-processing zones, affordable power, local raw materials, machinery financing and export incentives.
Instead, the State Department for Industry gets less than KSh 9 billion. That is not the budget of a country that wants to industrialise. That is the budget of a country comfortable with importing finished goods while exporting jobs to other economies.
Agriculture has also been badly shortchanged. Kenya talks about food security, but the money does not match the language. Agriculture is not just about food; it is the foundation of rural employment, household income, manufacturing inputs, exports and price stability.
When agriculture is underfunded, food becomes expensive, farmers remain poor, raw materials become scarce, factories struggle, and the cost of living rises. A hungry country cannot be a productive country.
MSMEs and trade have also been abandoned in real terms. These are the sectors where ordinary Kenyans are trying to survive every day — mama mbogas, kiosks, small manufacturers, traders, transporters, processors, artisans and young entrepreneurs.
Yet MSMEs get only KSh 5.78 billion and trade KSh 5.26 billion. That is too little to solve the cost of credit, delayed payments, market access, taxation pressure, digital infrastructure, compliance costs and the lack of working capital.
The dangerous outcome is simple: a broke youth is easier to control. A hungry citizen is easier to silence. A desperate population becomes easier to buy with tokens. When young people have no jobs, no capital, no industries, no farms that pay, no factories hiring and no hope of upward mobility, politics becomes a feeding programme. And once politics becomes about stomachs, democracy becomes weak.
An empty stomach does not defend democracy with confidence. It first looks for food. That is why underfunding production is not just an economic failure; it is a democratic danger. A government that does not fund agriculture, manufacturing and enterprise properly is not preparing young people for dignity. It is preparing them for dependency.
Kenya will not solve unemployment through speeches. It will solve unemployment by putting real money into production. Fund agriculture properly. Fund manufacturing seriously. Fund MSMEs aggressively. Fund trade and exports deliberately. Fund skills that match industry.
Lower the cost of power. Pay suppliers on time. Make credit affordable. Protect local producers. Build value chains. Anything less is a betrayal of the millions of young Kenyans waiting for work, dignity and a fair chance.