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StockTalk @stocktalk_in

Stock Market Insights | Company Analysis | Value Investing | Trading Psychology | Behavioral Finance

Joined January 2020
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StockTalk@stocktalk_in
16 May 2020
πŸ“• PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION If you're a beginner in the stocks markets, allocate your funds as below; πŸ“œ Direct Stocks : 25% 🏦 Mutual Funds : 30% πŸ’° Index ETFs : 45% This will help you to maximize returns without taking undue risks. Skills Required: Patience & Discipline
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πŸ₯‡ Last time I posted about Gold was back in 2020. In 2020 Gold was at β‚Ή48,50,000/kg (β‚Ή48 lakh) 1 Kg of Gold was worth the price of BMW X1 Fast forward 5 years, in 2025 Gold is at β‚Ή1,27,00,000/kg (β‚Ή1.27 crore) πŸ’₯ 21% CAGR over 5 yrs Which car can 1 kg of Gold buy in 2025?
StockTalk@stocktalk_in
29 Jun 2020
🌟 GOLD POWER πŸ—“ 1990 : 1 KG Gold = Maruti 800 πŸ—“ 2001 : 1 KG Gold = Maruti Esteem πŸ—“ 2008 : 1 KG Gold = Totota Innova πŸ—“ 2013 : 1 KG Gold = Toyota Fortuner πŸ—“ 2020 : 1 KG Gold = BMW X1 Which car will 1 KG Gold buy in 2030?
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πŸͺ” #SHAREKHAN DIWALI PICKS 2025 πŸͺ” 1. Amber Enterprises 2. Bharti Airtel 3. Chalet Hotels 4. Cummins India 5. Hindustan Aeronautics 6. HUDCO 7. Larsen & Toubro 8. Lupin 9. Maruti Suzuki 10. MOIL 11. SBI 12. Triveni Turbine
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πŸŽ‰ Happy New Year 2025!! #Nifty ends positive for 9 years in a row! Last negative year was back in 2015. Will 2025 be a negative year? 🟒 2024: 9% 🟒 2023: 19% 🟒 2022: 4% 🟒 2021: 24% 🟒 2020: 15% 🟒 2019: 12% 🟒 2018: 3% 🟒 2017: 29$ 🟒 2016: 3% πŸ”΄ 2015: -4%
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#Nifty50 This view still holds πŸ‘‡ Expect a deeper correction over the next 6-12 months. Most likely it will be a slow and frustrating fall which will test everyone's patience. Keep your SIP's on. It's accumulation zone for the next 5-10 years. #banknifty weeklies gone!
StockTalk@stocktalk_in
6 Aug 2024
#NIFTY50 POSSIBILE DOWNTURN On a monthly chart, Nifty has touched RSI 80 very few times. Each time it has reversed from 80 level, Nifty has corrected by avg ~20% If it holds true this time, we might very well retest 20,000 zone May be not suddenly, but slowly over 6-9 months
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πŸ“Š QUICK POLL: Where do you think Nifty will be on 1st Jan 2025?
32% Below 23000
29% 23000-25000
38% Above 25000
34 votes β€’ Final results
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End of an era! #BankNifty weekly contracts will end from November! BankNifty was the first weekly contract introduced in Indian markets in 2016 followed by Nifty weekly in 2019. From next month, there will be only 2 weekly expiries: 1⃣ Nifty50 on Thursday 2⃣ Sensex on Friday
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#NIFTY50 POSSIBILE DOWNTURN On a monthly chart, Nifty has touched RSI 80 very few times. Each time it has reversed from 80 level, Nifty has corrected by avg ~20% If it holds true this time, we might very well retest 20,000 zone May be not suddenly, but slowly over 6-9 months
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As always, don't go all-in when the market drops. No one really knows, how deep it can fall and how much time it will take to recover. Best approach to handle such markets is to stagger your buying over the course of the fall. SIP into your favourite stocks / mutual funds.
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#NIFTY50 RETURNS Nifty gave positive returns for the last 8 years in a row! Last negative return was back in 2015! 🟒 2023: 19% 🟒 2022: 4% 🟒 2021: 24% 🟒 2020: 15% 🟒 2019: 12% 🟒 2018: 3% 🟒 2017: 29% 🟒 2016: 3% πŸ”΄ 2015: -4% Do you think a negative year is coming?
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HOW YOU REACT πŸ₯Š Fight - start averaging your position or taking bigger position size bets πŸƒβ€β™‚οΈ Flight - close the screen and hope that things will work out πŸ₯Ά Freeze - stare at the MTM & do nothing while staying fixated on the position You’re desperate to see green MTM (2/n)
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Since your rational brain is off, you’ll not be able to see other easier & less-risky opportunities in the market. Instead, you’re fixated on your original position and want to recover the loss from the same position (enter revenge mode). (4/n)
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Exiting the position is mentally extremely difficult because it means you’re ACCEPTING the loss. You’ll start exhibiting risk-seeking behaviour to avoid loss (loss aversion). You’re also dealing with potential regret of exiting the position & it turns in your favour. (5/n)
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🚨 STRESS RESPONSE IN TRADING 🐍 When you see your position MTM in red, it’s similar to suddenly seeing a snake. 🧠 Your brain immediately kicks into stress response mode. Your brain just wants to quickly alleviate the pain generated by looking at the red MTM as below. (1/n)
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⭐️ 90-90-90 RULE πŸ”Έ 90% of traders lose 90% of their capital within the first 90 days of starting trading. Trading is extremely hard not because of the complexities of the technical charts and strategies but because it constantly challenges the very core human instincts.
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⭐️ STOCK MARKET PERCEPTION πŸ”Έ Pessimists & critics in the stock markets sound really intelligent with all their perfect sounding logical reasons of why the markets should fall. πŸ”Έ But experienced optimists know making money in the markets is more important than being right!
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Criticizing companies and justifying how their management is wrong is the easiest thing to do in the market. Holding on to good stocks is the single MOST DIFFICULT thing to do in the long run. That is what builds wealth.
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Holding on to a losing position is simple & easy. We all are pre-programmed to hold onto a losing position and so it comes naturally to all of us. The real mental challenge is holding on to a winning position and sit there doing nothing. This is the ONE skill to practice.
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#IRFC gave 400% returns in just 1 yr! This line sounds so enticing but psychologically it's EXTREMELY difficult to get such returns. Here's why; Stock moved from β‚Ή30 to β‚Ή180 in around 250 days. But the actual move came in 5 rallies of ~8 days each (total 42 days) (1/2)
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Now imagine the mental toughness required to sit there for the rest of the 200 days (10 months) and do nothing. And while doing nothing, you have to take in news and views of all sorts about how the stock rally is done and might fall. This mindset is what separates the greats.
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