In a Conf. Final or Final, 14 teams have been favored by 7 pts in G2 after losing G1 outright…
Those teams went 11-3 SU, 5-8-1 ATS -- OKC (-11.5) beat IND by 16 last yr in this spot.
Here were the 3 losses:
• '23 Celtics vs. MIA
• '10 Magic vs. BOS
• '95 Spurs vs. HOU
'25 Pacers ( 10) in G1 ✅
'26 Spurs ( 7) in G1 ✅
For the first time since the merger, we’ve seen a 7 pt fav. lose outright in Game 1 of a Conf. Finals or Finals in consecutive seasons…
...and it just happens to be the same team.