RT @prettyboynuts: my hb lost a bet wit me but he ainโt have the money to pay up so instead i told him let me get some of his girl pussy, hโฆ
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Her_SoleS retweeted
Just imagine them wrapped around your ๐!
Bet it would make you and your ๐ณ so weakโฆ๐
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AS10 ep 2 is the best, mistress and Lydia are just the bet
But I bet she can tell where you can get the best possum in the state.
ไธ็ๆฏๅผไบไฝ่ฒไธ็ๆฏไนฐ็appๅนณๅฐ๐งๅฏๆถๅจฑไน ๐2026็พๅ ๅขจไธ็ๆฏ่ต็appไธๆณจๆๆณจไธ็ๆฏ้ขๆตๆฏๅ๐่ถณ็ๅณๆถๆฏๅ๐ไธ็ๆฏ็ดๆญ็บขๅๆจ่๐บๆขๅบ็ไน๐งไน้ฑผไฝ่ฒ๐betๅจ็บฟ๐
ๅฏ้ ่ฐฑไธ็ๆฏ็ซ็ๅคๅดๅๅฝฉๅนณๅฐ็ฝๅ๐ๆถๆถๅฝฉ๐ไธ็ๆฏ่ต็จๆป็็พๅฎถไน็ฆๅฉ้ขๅโ@kyty888888
Love when I have a best bet that also can be great for account health. Double duty
๐ฅTEMPO vs FEVER SGP
๐Indiana Fever -7.5
๐Caitlin Clark 25 Points
๐Add directly to your betslip
bit.ly/WNBA061626
๐ฃ๏ธ"This shapes up as a really good game for Caitlin, and the Fever are inherently good when Caitlin is playing well. It's pretty simple: the Fever are 5-1 this season when she scores more than 20 points." -@TurveyBets
HSGAHHQUWHA i bet his bones will hurt for tmrw's event ๐ญ๐ญ๐ญ
Rosรกrio Beirรฃo ๐ต๐น๐ช๐บ๐บ๐ฆ๐ช๐บ๐ฌ๐ช retweeted
What future do you envision for Medvedev, Rogozin, Zakharova, and the rest of Putinโs posse after the war?
I bet youโll absolutely LOVE what โCaesarโ (Maximilian Andronnikov), spokesperson for the Freedom of Russia Legion, has in mind for them.
๐๐๐
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It's a musty tether. I bet he was harassing a Foundational Black American. He got blindsided because he beat him to HR with a complaint.
Lewis Valentine retweeted
15h
POV: you bet on the world cup thinking "no more draws.. this next game, someones gotta win for sure"
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Tรก bizarro esse tanto de anรบncio de Bet nas transmissรตes da Copa
สแดสแดสษช แดา ๐๏ธ แดแดกแด retweeted
Bet Jeff the killer can't even be stealthy because everyone can smell him kilometers away
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๐ฆ๐ง๐ฅ๐ด ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ | 333๐ retweeted
Name something better than gay sex, Bet you can't!!!
@DimitrySimonit took every drop I had to offer
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Vicky McGonigle retweeted
What a racket. Bet there are hundreds of them !like the French guy in trois riviera who controls rare mineral rights with no band but an heritary chief
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Price is the king of kings in the market, and there is absolutely no room for doubt about that. If one refuses to accept this, then there is no reason to trade at all. I think that is self-evident. Risk management is the traderโs responsibility, and becoming attached to a position is, in my view, an incredibly foolish thing for a trader to do.
I always aim for very large profits, but the thing I am even more obsessed with is my win rate. Rather than taking countless trades over the course of a year, I place top priority on maintaining a high win rate through a smaller number of trades.
Recently, quite a lot of people have asked me, โWhy are you still holding your long-dated call option position in crude oil?โ
I will answer honestly. In addition to crude oil, I have already generated quite substantial profits through some positions I disclosed transparently here, which have all since been closed out, as well as through other trades I did not disclose. After all, my main profession is in FICC.
I have gone long and short bonds several times over already, and I am currently long. I have also generated fairly satisfying profits in FX. The yen has been sluggish, but I still believe it will move close to my target. On top of that, before and after the war, I alternated between long and short positions in crude oil and earned satisfying profits there as well. On a year-to-date basis, my profits have exceeded those of 2025.
I am not saying this to boast. I am saying it because I want to be honest.
One trading method I use frequently is to exploit asymmetry. People call this a contrarian strategy, but in truth I am not attached to that term itself. What I focus on instead is how far price has deviated from the fair value I have personally set, and when I see that asymmetry normalizing, I add fairly large size to the position. If you look back at my past writings, you will probably find similar trading ideas. This strategy is a way of driving up the win rate dramatically in a short period by putting on very large lots. Has this strategy always worked? Absolutely not. My goal is to get 8 out of 10 attempts right. An 80% win rate. That is why my loss cuts are extremely tight. I only use this strategy when asymmetry is at its peak, with the intention of realizing it within one to two weeks at most.
The second method is to put on more long-term positions. Paradoxically, this means placing the largest risk factor into the portfolio. As I kept emphasizing in my posts on X right before the war in February, I have consistently held the view that hedges are best put on when they are cheapest. At the time, I placed an 80โ85 bull call spread. This is less a strategy than a kind of insurance payout against things that the market is overlooking or pricing far too cheaply, but which, if realized, could become a critical market threshold. From a business perspective, it serves as a hedge. Personally, this is my biggest bet.
So where is crude oil positioned right now? It is in the second category. And with this second type of positioning, I place considerable constraints on myself. First, I do not scale up the initial position too aggressively. Second, my research must be airtight. Third, unless the points I believe the market is overlooking are not merely partially damaged but completely invalidated, I do not close the position.
At the moment, I have violated the first principle. My conviction was too strong. That is my mistake. I will not attempt to make up for this mistake through further trading. I can simply trim the position. Today, I am closing one-third of my Z26 position. But I plan to maintain the remaining lots.
Quite a lot of people have given me advice. I am always grateful to them.
Let me share one personal piece of research. It may be an incredibly foolish thing, but in my view, the market right now is pricing too many things at once in only the โrightโ direction. Math and physics have not completely broken down, yet it seems as though people are thinking and acting as if they are releasing all the stress that had built up until now. Personally, I believe this is extremely dangerous pricing. The one thing I remain fixated on is this: even if wars begin because of the personal motives of actors or the security motives of groups, the way they are ultimately resolved must move toward an institutional and binding process.
I am highly skeptical that the United States will simply hand out money unilaterally, while placing no meaningful restrictions on Iranโs proxy forces or ballistic missiles, and that Iran will then adopt a constructive attitude and comply with the United States on the nuclear issue.
Also, after spending several days researching this, I feel I have at least been able to understand, in a very rough framework, what the term โmanagement mechanismโ is supposed to mean, on what layers it is meant to operate, and in what manner. And I do not believe this process will be smooth at all. This is not merely a U.S.-Iran problem. I believe there is no ideal point at which the commitments of the various actors, and even their asymmetrical domestic interests, can all be unified in a single moment.
Of course. This entire piece of work was done entirely through Claude. I first conducted the research in Korean and then translated it into English, so there may well be some expressions that are awkward or inappropriate. LLMs still cannot replace every function in the world, after all.
shy-bird-07f5.alexanderparisโฆ