$CRWV is getting attention
Corewave is a veteran in the AI infrastructure space, with significant growth given its base
• Revenue: $6,23B, up 129% YoY
• Backlog: $99.4B, up 284% YoY
• >1GW of active power
• >3.5 GW of contracted power
Management's guidance
• >1.7 GW of active power by end-2026
• $18B–$19B of ARR end-2026
• >$30B ARR end-2027 (>75% of the 2027 exit ARR already contracted)
However, the main concern is the balance sheet
$CRWV has $25.149B of total debt (not including all lease liabilities)
• Current debt: $7.547B
• Non-current debt: $17.312B
But the bigger issue is the interest burden:
• Q1 interest expense: $536M (26% of Q1 revenue)
• Q2 interest expense: $650M–$730M
If they maintain execution, the debt load could become manageable
If execution slips, the financial pressure could build quickly
there are issues with valuations, the rush to IPO , to cash out, Debt issues with corewave and Oracle.
if OpenAI fail to meet their growth prediction, a big correction is not far fetched.
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