If the deal involves giving Iran billions of dollars, our best bet is to simply walk away.
Providing such a massive sum will only end in catastrophe —not only will President Trump be accused of cutting a deal worse than Obama’s JCPOA, but the Iranians will undoubtedly use some of the money to fund their proxies. This would ultimately create a new justification for resuming the war, and round and round we go.
A deal sounds nice in principle, but it’s not needed to end this:
- Pull our troops out of the region and don’t give Iran access to billions. Deprive them of the ability to hit us and deprive them of the means to fund their proxies.
- Iran will have a hard time interfering with shipping in the Strait of Hormuz (SOH) without a U.S. presence in the region as justification for their aggression.
- At the same time, cut or at the very least reduce military aid to Israel to prevent them from striking Iran & hitting Lebanon.
- Going forward, leverage the potential of sanctions relief as a tool to keep the Strait of Hormuz open and to secure assurances that Iran will not develop a nuclear weapon.
A formal deal essentially guarantees we’ll have to maintain a presence in the region to enforce it. This cost alone is not worth our resources, neither blood nor treasure.
We can strengthen our chances of this deal holding by cutting all military/intel assistance to Israel, they took every opportunity to tank this deal & will likely do so again unless we take action.
We should also quietly get our troops out of the bases in the Gulf that can be reached by Iran. This ensures Iranian hardliners can’t strike us to drag us back into the fight.
Take away every factor that we can control that could force us back into the war on Israel or Iran’s terms.
Set all conditions that we can control in our favor.