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(2/3) $LUXE's TEV is $400mm (50% of mkt cap is cash). MyTheresa (~40% of biz) did ~$70mm of LTM EBITDA, growing double digits w/ expanding margins. Is that worth more than 5.7x LTM EBITDA? How likely is it that investing to turnaround YNAP will yield >$0 value? W/ this team?
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(1/3) Great summary. A classic investment opp can be when a valuation capitalizes the losses of a segment in transition (in this case YNAP, which LUXE acquired). So $0 YNAP out completely. Nix it. Now what's it worth?Recall they got $500mm to fix it but they don't have to right?
Following up on this, LUXE reported this morning: OK quarter overall, with some messiness in NAP/MRP that makes it look worse than reality. The good: strong margin expansion across all three segments and another beat at Mytheresa. The bad: NAP/MRP top line -5% cc as the company prioritized full-price sales and lapped a heavily promotional quarter under Richemont. Net-net, LUXE is making good progress on the integration and should be on a path to MSD-HSD EBITDA margins. Stock is extraordinarily cheap โ€” 0.2x EV/sales, 0.4x EV/GP, and ~2x EBITDA on the 7-9% margin target in 2-3 years. Key highlights: Net sales flat cc Group SG&A ratio 18% (vs 19% Q2, 22% Q1) Adj. EBITDA margin ~1% Mytheresa: sales 10% cc, GMV 11%, GM 240bps, adj. EBITDA 50% to 5.5% margin ( 160bps) NAP/MRP: sales -5% cc, GM 700bps, adj. EBITDA margin -0.5% Off-price: sales -7% cc, GM 620bps, adj. EBITDA margin -5.5% Standout was Mytheresa: 10% growth (US 34%) with healthy margin expansion. Group SG&A progress sets up real operating leverage from here. Disappointment was NAP/MRP top line, but the 700bps gross margin print shows the focus on higher-quality sales is working. Middle East conflict was a headwind, not quantified. Somewhat of a reset on top-line expectations, but continued progress on the NAP/MRP/Off-price integration โ€” which we knew would be lumpy. Valuation continues to get sillier: on the 8% margin target, ~2x EBITDA and ~3x EPS a couple years out.
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Replying to @stoic_point
Our summary has these points in the bull case: ๐Ÿ‚ ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ž โ€ข ๐‚๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐’๐ฒ๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ณ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐…๐š๐ฌ๐ญ โ€” The group SG&A cost ratio plummeted from 21.9% in Q1 to 18.3% in Q3. The ability to extract costs from the bloated YNAP infrastructure is tracking ahead of schedule. โ€ข ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  โ€” A strict discipline of full-price selling is working. NAP/MRP gross profit margin surged 700bps YoY to 48.5%, proving the brand equity remains strong when discounts are removed.
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Growing instant AI narratives will hand great opps for investors. This AI summary is great, but misses a key punchline. $LUXE is purposely detoxing YNAP from old heavy promos, which impacts NT headline revs, but gross profit $ 7% YoY, and ex-FX probably closer to 13% YoY.
$LUXE Q3 2026 earnings: Cost Execution Drives Margin Gains, But Top-Line Recovery Stalls LuxExperience reported its second consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA ( โ‚ฌ5.7M), validating that its aggressive SG&A reduction plan for the acquired YNAP assets is working. However, the volume recovery is stalling. Group Net Sales fell 5.2% to โ‚ฌ618.4M (stable at 0.0% ex-FX). The core Mytheresa segment remains a stable growth engine ( 5.6%), but the turnaround segmentsโ€”NAP/MRP and YOOXโ€”reversed their Q2 momentum, posting double-digit reported revenue declines. While management confirmed FY26 guidance and the balance sheet is now debt-free, the heavy reliance on adjustments to claim 'profitability' while GAAP net losses expand remains a significant caveat for investors. Full article with charts - link in bio ๐Ÿ‚ ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ž โ€ข ๐‚๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐’๐ฒ๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ณ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐…๐š๐ฌ๐ญ โ€” The group SG&A cost ratio plummeted from 21.9% in Q1 to 18.3% in Q3. The ability to extract costs from the bloated YNAP infrastructure is tracking ahead of schedule. โ€ข ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  โ€” A strict discipline of full-price selling is working. NAP/MRP gross profit margin surged 700bps YoY to 48.5%, proving the brand equity remains strong when discounts are removed. ๐Ÿป ๐๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ž โ€ข ๐“๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐š๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐“๐จ๐ฉ-๐‹๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐  โ€” After narrowing its sales decline to just -1.0% in Q2, NAP/MRP reversed course in Q3, plunging 11.7%. YOOX also worsened to an 11.4% decline. The turnaround is currently entirely margin-led, not volume-led. โ€ข ๐ƒ๐ž๐ž๐ฉ ๐†๐€๐€๐ ๐๐ž๐ญ ๐‹๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ โ€” Despite celebrating 'Adjusted EBITDA profitability', the company posted a net loss of โ‚ฌ35.4M for the quarter, driven by heavy depreciation, amortization, and transaction costs. โš–๏ธ ๐•๐ž๐ซ๐๐ข๐œ๐ญ: โšช Neutral. Management is executing brilliantly on the elements they can controlโ€”costs and gross margin discipline. However, the top-line deterioration at the YNAP brands and emerging macroeconomic headwinds indicate that the commercial turnaround is far from complete. ๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ŸŸข ๐€๐ ๐ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐’๐†&๐€ ๐„๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ฒ Cost reduction is the primary driver of LuxExperience's profitability. The Group Adjusted SG&A ratio has been steadily decelerating, dropping 360 basis points from 21.9% in Q1 FY26, to 19.1% in Q2, down to 18.3% in Q3. This rapid cost extraction from the legacy YNAP businesses is critical to reaching the 7-9% medium-term margin target. ๐ŸŸข ๐…๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ-๐๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ƒ๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐‘๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ The mandate to detox from promotions is yielding spectacular results on the gross profit line. NAP & MRP saw its gross margin expand by 700bps to 48.5% YoY, while YOOX expanded by 620bps to 37.5%. Management's willingness to sacrifice unprofitable volume for margin integrity is accelerating the path to break-even. ๐ŸŸข ๐Œ๐ฒ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐š ๐‘๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐„๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ž The legacy Mytheresa business continues to anchor the group, posting 5.6% reported growth (9.9% ex-FX) and generating โ‚ฌ14.1M in Adjusted EBITDA. Growth was driven by a 12.5% LTM increase in Average Order Value (AOV) to โ‚ฌ847, fueled by exclusive capsule collections from Balenciaga, Bottega Veneta, and Gucci. ๐Ÿ”ด ๐“๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐š๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐’๐ž๐ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐“๐จ๐ฉ-๐‹๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐Œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฎ๐ฆ [NEW] A major concern is the reversing momentum in the acquired segments. In Q2, management touted that NAP/MRP had narrowed its sales decline to just -1.0%. In Q3, that decline widened dramatically back to -11.7% (-5.1% ex-FX). YOOX also saw its decline worsen from -7.3% in Q2 to -11.4% in Q3. The commercial turnaround is proving volatile. ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด ๐„๐๐ˆ๐“๐ƒ๐€ ๐๐š๐ซ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐‚๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐œ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐๐ž๐ญ ๐‹๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ [NEW] Management's narrative heavily emphasizes the 'second consecutive quarter of Adjusted EBITDA profitability' ( โ‚ฌ5.7M). However, looking at the actual bottom line contradicts this rosy picture: Net Loss for the quarter was -โ‚ฌ35.4M. This massive gap is driven by surging Depreciation & Amortization (โ‚ฌ18.7M in Q3 vs โ‚ฌ11.6M in Q1) and high transaction/restructuring costs (โ‚ฌ6.6M). True profitability remains years away. ๐Ÿ”ด ๐†๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ƒ๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก [NEW] Management explicitly cited 'geopolitical headwinds in March' as a factor weighing on Q3 results. This macro factor caused a decelerating trend even in the healthy Mytheresa segment, where growth slowed from 8.8% in Q2 to 5.6% in Q3. Continued macro instability could threaten the FY26 guidance. โšช ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ž ๐๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ ๐Œ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ง ๐“๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ค A critical technological milestone is underway: the migration of NET-A-PORTER and MR PORTER onto LuxExperience's proprietary tech platform. Completing this infrastructure consolidation is the linchpin to permanently lowering the IT and operational costs of the acquired brands. ๐Ž๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐Š๐๐ˆ๐ฌ ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: โ‚ฌ436.1 million Stable and secure. Cash and cash investments ended Q3 at โ‚ฌ436.1M, giving the company ample runway to fund the remaining cash burn required for the YNAP turnaround. Crucially, the company ended the quarter completely debt-free, having paid down previous bank liabilities. ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐Ž๐”๐“๐๐„๐“ ๐ƒ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž: Completed The sale of THE OUTNET assets to The O Group LLC was successfully closed on April 30, 2026. This divestiture immediately simplifies the Off-Price segment, allowing management to focus purely on fixing the core YOOX business. ๐†๐ฎ๐ข๐๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ” ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Œ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ž ๐•๐š๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž (๐†๐Œ๐•): โ‚ฌ2.5 - โ‚ฌ2.7 billion Stable. Management confirmed this full-year target. Given the โ‚ฌ1.82B consolidated Net Sales generated in the first nine months, the company is on track to hit this target, indicating that Q4 volumes are expected to remain consistent despite ongoing business pruning. ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ” ๐€๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐„๐๐ˆ๐“๐ƒ๐€ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง: -1% to 1% Accelerating probability of achievement. Year-to-date Adjusted EBITDA sits at roughly -โ‚ฌ2.7M on โ‚ฌ1.83B of sales (essentially a 0.0% margin). Given the structural improvements in SG&A demonstrated in Q3, the company is highly likely to finish the year safely within this confirmed guidance range. ๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐€๐/๐Œ๐‘๐ ๐•๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž ๐‘๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ The revenue decline for NAP/MRP widened back to 11.7% in Q3 after narrowing in Q2. When do you expect the new buying strategies and merchandise deliveries to finally return this segment to top-line growth? ๐๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐„๐๐ˆ๐“๐ƒ๐€ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ž๐ญ ๐ˆ๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž With Depreciation & Amortization accelerating to nearly โ‚ฌ19M this quarter, what is the expected normalized run-rate for D&A post-integration, and when do you expect to achieve positive GAAP Net Income? ๐†๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ You cited geopolitical headwinds in March affecting sales. Have these headwinds persisted into April and May, and are they concentrated in specific regions like Europe or the Middle East?
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$LUXE Q3 2026 earnings: Cost Execution Drives Margin Gains, But Top-Line Recovery Stalls LuxExperience reported its second consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA ( โ‚ฌ5.7M), validating that its aggressive SG&A reduction plan for the acquired YNAP assets is working. However, the volume recovery is stalling. Group Net Sales fell 5.2% to โ‚ฌ618.4M (stable at 0.0% ex-FX). The core Mytheresa segment remains a stable growth engine ( 5.6%), but the turnaround segmentsโ€”NAP/MRP and YOOXโ€”reversed their Q2 momentum, posting double-digit reported revenue declines. While management confirmed FY26 guidance and the balance sheet is now debt-free, the heavy reliance on adjustments to claim 'profitability' while GAAP net losses expand remains a significant caveat for investors. Full article with charts - link in bio ๐Ÿ‚ ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ž โ€ข ๐‚๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐’๐ฒ๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ณ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐…๐š๐ฌ๐ญ โ€” The group SG&A cost ratio plummeted from 21.9% in Q1 to 18.3% in Q3. The ability to extract costs from the bloated YNAP infrastructure is tracking ahead of schedule. โ€ข ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  โ€” A strict discipline of full-price selling is working. NAP/MRP gross profit margin surged 700bps YoY to 48.5%, proving the brand equity remains strong when discounts are removed. ๐Ÿป ๐๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ž โ€ข ๐“๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐š๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐“๐จ๐ฉ-๐‹๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐  โ€” After narrowing its sales decline to just -1.0% in Q2, NAP/MRP reversed course in Q3, plunging 11.7%. YOOX also worsened to an 11.4% decline. The turnaround is currently entirely margin-led, not volume-led. โ€ข ๐ƒ๐ž๐ž๐ฉ ๐†๐€๐€๐ ๐๐ž๐ญ ๐‹๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ โ€” Despite celebrating 'Adjusted EBITDA profitability', the company posted a net loss of โ‚ฌ35.4M for the quarter, driven by heavy depreciation, amortization, and transaction costs. โš–๏ธ ๐•๐ž๐ซ๐๐ข๐œ๐ญ: โšช Neutral. Management is executing brilliantly on the elements they can controlโ€”costs and gross margin discipline. However, the top-line deterioration at the YNAP brands and emerging macroeconomic headwinds indicate that the commercial turnaround is far from complete. ๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ŸŸข ๐€๐ ๐ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐’๐†&๐€ ๐„๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ฒ Cost reduction is the primary driver of LuxExperience's profitability. The Group Adjusted SG&A ratio has been steadily decelerating, dropping 360 basis points from 21.9% in Q1 FY26, to 19.1% in Q2, down to 18.3% in Q3. This rapid cost extraction from the legacy YNAP businesses is critical to reaching the 7-9% medium-term margin target. ๐ŸŸข ๐…๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ-๐๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ƒ๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐‘๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ The mandate to detox from promotions is yielding spectacular results on the gross profit line. NAP & MRP saw its gross margin expand by 700bps to 48.5% YoY, while YOOX expanded by 620bps to 37.5%. Management's willingness to sacrifice unprofitable volume for margin integrity is accelerating the path to break-even. ๐ŸŸข ๐Œ๐ฒ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐š ๐‘๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐„๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ž The legacy Mytheresa business continues to anchor the group, posting 5.6% reported growth (9.9% ex-FX) and generating โ‚ฌ14.1M in Adjusted EBITDA. Growth was driven by a 12.5% LTM increase in Average Order Value (AOV) to โ‚ฌ847, fueled by exclusive capsule collections from Balenciaga, Bottega Veneta, and Gucci. ๐Ÿ”ด ๐“๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐š๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐’๐ž๐ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐“๐จ๐ฉ-๐‹๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐Œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฎ๐ฆ [NEW] A major concern is the reversing momentum in the acquired segments. In Q2, management touted that NAP/MRP had narrowed its sales decline to just -1.0%. In Q3, that decline widened dramatically back to -11.7% (-5.1% ex-FX). YOOX also saw its decline worsen from -7.3% in Q2 to -11.4% in Q3. The commercial turnaround is proving volatile. ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด ๐„๐๐ˆ๐“๐ƒ๐€ ๐๐š๐ซ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐‚๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐œ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐๐ž๐ญ ๐‹๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ [NEW] Management's narrative heavily emphasizes the 'second consecutive quarter of Adjusted EBITDA profitability' ( โ‚ฌ5.7M). However, looking at the actual bottom line contradicts this rosy picture: Net Loss for the quarter was -โ‚ฌ35.4M. This massive gap is driven by surging Depreciation & Amortization (โ‚ฌ18.7M in Q3 vs โ‚ฌ11.6M in Q1) and high transaction/restructuring costs (โ‚ฌ6.6M). True profitability remains years away. ๐Ÿ”ด ๐†๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ƒ๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก [NEW] Management explicitly cited 'geopolitical headwinds in March' as a factor weighing on Q3 results. This macro factor caused a decelerating trend even in the healthy Mytheresa segment, where growth slowed from 8.8% in Q2 to 5.6% in Q3. Continued macro instability could threaten the FY26 guidance. โšช ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ž ๐๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ ๐Œ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ง ๐“๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ค A critical technological milestone is underway: the migration of NET-A-PORTER and MR PORTER onto LuxExperience's proprietary tech platform. Completing this infrastructure consolidation is the linchpin to permanently lowering the IT and operational costs of the acquired brands. ๐Ž๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐Š๐๐ˆ๐ฌ ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: โ‚ฌ436.1 million Stable and secure. Cash and cash investments ended Q3 at โ‚ฌ436.1M, giving the company ample runway to fund the remaining cash burn required for the YNAP turnaround. Crucially, the company ended the quarter completely debt-free, having paid down previous bank liabilities. ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐Ž๐”๐“๐๐„๐“ ๐ƒ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž: Completed The sale of THE OUTNET assets to The O Group LLC was successfully closed on April 30, 2026. This divestiture immediately simplifies the Off-Price segment, allowing management to focus purely on fixing the core YOOX business. ๐†๐ฎ๐ข๐๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ” ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Œ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ž ๐•๐š๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž (๐†๐Œ๐•): โ‚ฌ2.5 - โ‚ฌ2.7 billion Stable. Management confirmed this full-year target. Given the โ‚ฌ1.82B consolidated Net Sales generated in the first nine months, the company is on track to hit this target, indicating that Q4 volumes are expected to remain consistent despite ongoing business pruning. ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ” ๐€๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐„๐๐ˆ๐“๐ƒ๐€ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง: -1% to 1% Accelerating probability of achievement. Year-to-date Adjusted EBITDA sits at roughly -โ‚ฌ2.7M on โ‚ฌ1.83B of sales (essentially a 0.0% margin). Given the structural improvements in SG&A demonstrated in Q3, the company is highly likely to finish the year safely within this confirmed guidance range. ๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐€๐/๐Œ๐‘๐ ๐•๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž ๐‘๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ The revenue decline for NAP/MRP widened back to 11.7% in Q3 after narrowing in Q2. When do you expect the new buying strategies and merchandise deliveries to finally return this segment to top-line growth? ๐๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐„๐๐ˆ๐“๐ƒ๐€ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ž๐ญ ๐ˆ๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž With Depreciation & Amortization accelerating to nearly โ‚ฌ19M this quarter, what is the expected normalized run-rate for D&A post-integration, and when do you expect to achieve positive GAAP Net Income? ๐†๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ You cited geopolitical headwinds in March affecting sales. Have these headwinds persisted into April and May, and are they concentrated in specific regions like Europe or the Middle East?
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Compra l'edifici com el ynap d'Orsola
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$LUXE Company: Global luxury group, e-commerce, retail via YNAP. Strengths: E-com scale, unique experiences, sales growth 5.7%. Recent News: Q2 sales โ‚ฌ647M (tripled), EBITDA positive. Rise Today: 7.04% to $10.65 on JPM upgrade, Q2 optimism.
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commis done for Ynap :3 Thankyouu~ #heartopia #opencommission #Commission
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$LUXE executing that YNAP deal looking more & more like one of the best M&A trades Iโ€™ve seen in recent years
Q2 earnings call highlights
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$LUXE Q2 2026 earnings: Transformation Takes Hold: Profitability Returns LuxExperience (formerly Mytheresa) delivered a pivotal quarter, validating its acquisition of YNAP. The Group returned to positive Adjusted EBITDA (โ‚ฌ13.2M, 2.0% margin) significantly faster than many expected, driven by aggressive cost discipline and the superior performance of the legacy Mytheresa segment. While the Mytheresa brand continues to outshine with 8.8% sales growth and 9.3% margins, the acquired NAP/MRP and YOOX segments showed dramatic sequential improvements, narrowing losses substantially. The strategic sale of THE OUTNET for $30M further streamlines the portfolio. Full article with charts finsee.ai/earnings/luxe/2026โ€ฆ

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$LUXE ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Luxury online retail sector has been decimated last few years, with plenty of bankruptcies and consolidation. After the merger of Mytheresa and YNAP = $LUXE is the leading survivor. With Mytheresa leadership in the helm as the last decades best performers in the industry. Mcap โ‚ฌ850m, โ‚ฌ460m cash (part of the merger deal), management estimates โ‚ฌ440m cash balance end of FY2026, so some cash burning def still ahead. No debt, 150m leases, โ‚ฌ1b inventory. So could very roughly estimate EV around โ‚ฌ500-600m. Consensus estimate FY2026 revenue โ‚ฌ2,5B. Gross margins around 45% = โ‚ฌ1,1b Gross profit. So EV < 0,5 x gross profit. Company targeting 10-15% growth, 8% EBITDA margins. If they can figure out even slight profitability in this historically notoriously difficult and competed industry, $LUXE could be very cheap. No simple certainties here. But market may be underpricing the opportunity as luxury generally still out of favour and the whole sector, especially online side, is going through major turbulence.
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Bernsteinใฏใ€2026ๅนดใฎใƒฉใ‚ฐใ‚ธใƒฅใ‚ขใƒชใƒผใ‚ฐใƒƒใ‚บใ‚ปใ‚ฏใ‚ฟใƒผใซใŠใ„ใฆRichemontใ‚’ๆœ€ๅ„ชๅ…ˆ้Š˜ๆŸ„ใจใ—ใฆๅผท่ชฟใ€‚ๅ…ทไฝ“็š„ใซใฏใ€ไป–ใฎ่ฃฝๅ“็พคใจๆฏ”่ผƒใ—ใฆๅฎ้ฃพใฎๅ‹ขใ„ใŒ็ถ™็ถš็š„ใซๅผทใ„ใ“ใจใ€Cartierใ‚„VCAใจใ„ใฃใŸใƒ–ใƒฉใƒณใƒ‰ใซใŠใ‘ใ‚‹ไธปๅฐŽ็š„ใชๅœฐไฝใ€ๅพŒ็ถ™่€…ๆบ–ๅ‚™ใŒๆ•ดใฃใŸ็ต„็น”ใ€ใใ—ใฆYNAPใฎไบ‹ๆฅญๅฃฒๅดๅพŒใฎ่ณ‡ๆœฌ้…ๅˆ†่ฆๅพ‹ใฎๆ”นๅ–„ใงใ‚ใ‚‹ใ€‚
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๐Ÿ’Ž Bernstein elige a Richemont $CFR como su principal apuesta en lujo para 2026 ๐Ÿ“… Fecha: 5 de enero de 2026 ๐Ÿ“ฐ Fuente: Bernstein Research Bernstein ha seรฑalado a Richemont como su top pick en el sector lujo para 2026, en un contexto de recuperaciรณn gradual del sector y mayor selectividad por parte de los inversores. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Perspectiva sectorial 2026 Bernstein proyecta un crecimiento del sector lujo de alrededor del 5% a tipo de cambio constante, con una recuperaciรณn en forma de U โ€”especialmente en Chinaโ€” y no un rebote rรกpido en V. Aunque se observaron seรฑales de mejora en el verano de 2025, la firma espera una normalizaciรณn progresiva de la demanda. ๐Ÿ”„ Rotaciรณn dentro del sector La casa de anรกlisis anticipa una rotaciรณn intrasegmento: salida de valores โ€œself-helpโ€ hacia nombres de mayor calidad, a medida que los inversores ganen confianza en las perspectivas de 2026. En este contexto, Bernstein mantiene recomendaciรณn Outperform para Hermรจs, Richemont y LVMH. ๐Ÿ’ Por quรฉ Richemont Bernstein destaca varios catalizadores clave para Richemont: Mayor tracciรณn estructural en joyerรญa frente a otras categorรญas. Liderazgo de marcas icรณnicas como Cartier y Van Cleef & Arpels. Organizaciรณn preparada para la sucesiรณn directiva. Mejora en la disciplina de asignaciรณn de capital, tras la desinversiรณn de YNAP. ๐Ÿงต Otras preferencias y estrategias Visiรณn positiva tambiรฉn sobre Brunello Cucinelli en el segmento de alta calidad. Estrategia sugerida: โ€œShort Kering / Long Pradaโ€ de cara a 2026. Burberry aparece como una opciรณn atractiva en Europa para inversores que buscan historias de reestructuraciรณn (โ€œself-helpโ€). โš ๏ธ Nota sobre Hermรจs En paralelo, Hermรจs ha sufrido recientes rebajas de recomendaciรณn por parte de Barclays y Morgan Stanley, que citan falta de catalizadores a corto plazo y expectativas de crecimiento mรกs moderadas a medio plazo, ademรกs de cambios relevantes en su direcciรณn creativa masculina. ๐Ÿ” Conclusiรณn Bernstein apuesta por un lujo mรกs selectivo en 2026, donde la calidad, el poder de marca y la disciplina financiera serรกn claves. En ese escenario, Richemont destaca como el mejor posicionamiento riesgo-retorno dentro del sector.
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I'm truly amazed that in less than 2 hours Opus 4.5 completely refactored by YNAP backend dashboard from custom nextjs to laravel, filament, & fly io This makes perhaps my 10th or 11th project I built this week
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๐Ÿ”ด๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ”ต #Yoox #Ynap, positiva conclusione della vertenza sui licenziamenti collettivi! Filcams Cgil, Fisascat Cisl e Uiltucs accolgono con soddisfazione lโ€™intesa raggiunta oggi al Mimit. ๐Ÿ“‰ Lโ€™accordo riduce gli esuberi salvaguardando 66 posti di lavoro tra Emilia-Romagna e Lombardia. ๐Ÿค Per chi lascerร  lโ€™azienda, il criterio sarร  solo la volontarietร : previsti un incentivo allโ€™esodo e lโ€™attivazione della cassa integrazione. ๐Ÿ“‹ Leggi il comunicato unitario ๐Ÿ‘‰ fisascat.it/news/yoox-concluโ€ฆ
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19 Nov 2025
$LUXE Q1 FY26 earnings: Transformation in Progress โ€” โ€ข โ€” โ€ข โ€” ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—š๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜ LuxExperience (formerly Mytheresa) reported a complex first quarter defined by a sharp divergence in performance. The core Mytheresa business is accelerating and profitable, effectively validating the management's strategy. However, the recently acquired YNAP assets (Net-A-Porter, YOOX) are shrinking rapidly as the company aggressively restructures them, leading to significant consolidated losses and cash burn. The company announced the sale of "The Outnet" to streamline operations. ๐Ÿ‚ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐˜‚๐—น๐—น ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ โ€ข ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜๐—ต: The Mytheresa segment is performing exceptionally well, with Net Sales up ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿฎ% and Adjusted EBITDA margins expanding to ๐Ÿฏ.๐Ÿฑ% (up from 1.4%). โ€ข ๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ: Gross margins expanded across ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น three segments (Group 190 bps), proving that the strategy to focus on full-price selling and reduce discounting is working, even if it hurts top-line volume at YNAP. โ€ข ๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐—–๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€: Spending by top clients increased significantly (Mytheresa 15%, NAP 4%), indicating high-end demand remains intact despite macro headwinds. โ€ข ๐—š๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜: Despite lowering the GMV target due to the Outnet divestiture, the lower end of the Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was raised (from -4% to -2%). ๐Ÿป ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ โ€ข ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—•๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป: The company burned through significant liquidity this quarter. Cash and equivalents dropped from โ‚ฌ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฏ.๐Ÿฒ๐—  in June to โ‚ฌ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿญ.๐Ÿญ๐—  in September (a ~โ‚ฌ142M reduction). โ€ข ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—”๐—ฐ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€: The acquired segments are in deep decline. Net-A-Porter/Mr Porter sales fell ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿด% and YOOX plunged ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ.๐Ÿฒ%. โ€ข ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€: On a consolidated basis, the group posted a Net Loss of โ‚ฌ๐Ÿต๐Ÿด.๐Ÿฑ๐—  and negative Adjusted EBITDA of -โ‚ฌ28.1M for the quarter. โ€ข ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฅ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ: The turnaround relies on fixing the bloated cost structure of NAP/YOOX before cash runs out. The segment EBITDA for NAP dropped to -โ‚ฌ14.6M from a positive โ‚ฌ3.9M in the prior year illustrative period. โš–๏ธ ๐—ฉ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜ The Bull case is winning on strategy, but the Bear case screams caution on liquidity. Management is successfully applying the Mytheresa "playbook" (high margin, full-price focus) to the acquired assets, evidenced by the gross margin expansion. However, the financial cost of this transition is massive. While the core business is a jewel, the cash burn requires close monitoring. The improved margin guidance suggests management is confident in their cost-cutting measures. โ€” โ€ข โ€” โ€ข โ€” ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜€, ๐——๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐ŸŸข ๐— ๐˜†๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฎ ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ฎ๐˜ The original Mytheresa business is not just stable; it is accelerating. Sales growth improved to ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿฎ% (vs 8.9% in FY25), and profitability more than doubled. This segment provides the cash flow and credibility needed to support the wider group restructuring. ๐Ÿ”ด ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ธ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฌ๐—ก๐—”๐—ฃ Management is intentionally letting revenue fall at Net-A-Porter (NAP) and YOOX to improve health. By cutting unprofitable promotions, they drove Gross Margins up ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ฏ๐—ฝ๐˜€ at NAP and ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿต๐Ÿฌ ๐—ฏ๐—ฝ๐˜€ at YOOX. While sales are down double-digits, this "shrink to grow" strategy is necessary to fix the unit economics. ๐ŸŸก ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—–๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฝ The company announced the sale of "The Outnet" assets for $30M. This is classified as "discontinued operations." While the cash influx is modest, it simplifies the Off-Price division, allowing resources to focus solely on stabilizing YOOX and the luxury segments. ๐Ÿ”ด ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ต The liquidity position tightened significantly. The drop of ~โ‚ฌ142M in cash balances in a single quarter is steep, though partly due to seasonal inventory builds (Operating Cash Flow was -โ‚ฌ147.7M). Management previously guided for โ‚ฌ350M-โ‚ฌ450M cash consumption for the full turnaround; they have used a large portion of that budget in Q1 alone. โ€” โ€ข โ€” โ€ข โ€” ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜€ โ€ข ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฝ ๐—š๐— ๐—ฉ: โ‚ฌ589.0M (๐Ÿ”ด -4.3% vs illustrative prior year) โ€ข ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฝ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€: โ‚ฌ557.2M (๐Ÿ”ด -4.2% vs illustrative prior year) โ€ข ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฝ ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป: 44.1% (๐ŸŸข 190 bps year-over-year) โ€ข ๐—”๐—ฑ๐—ท๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—˜๐—•๐—œ๐—ง๐——๐—”: -โ‚ฌ28.1M (Margin -5.0%) โ€ข ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€: -โ‚ฌ98.5M ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป: โ€ข ๐—Ÿ๐˜‚๐˜…๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜† | ๐— ๐˜†๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฎ: โ€ข GMV: โ‚ฌ245.9M (๐ŸŸข 13.5%) โ€ข Adj. EBITDA: โ‚ฌ7.9M (Margin 3.5%, up from 1.4%) โ€ข ๐—Ÿ๐˜‚๐˜…๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜† | ๐—ก๐—”๐—ฃ & ๐— ๐—ฅ๐—ฃ: โ€ข GMV: โ‚ฌ224.5M (๐Ÿ”ด -10.8%) โ€ข Adj. EBITDA: -โ‚ฌ14.6M (Margin -6.9%, down from 1.6%) โ€ข ๐—ข๐—ณ๐—ณ-๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ | ๐—ฌ๐—ข๐—ข๐—ซ: โ€ข GMV: โ‚ฌ118.6M (๐Ÿ”ด -19.3%) โ€ข Adj. EBITDA: -โ‚ฌ21.4M (Margin -18.1%) โ€” โ€ข โ€” โ€ข โ€” ๐—š๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ Management updated its FY26 outlook, primarily to reflect the divestment of The Outnet. โ€ข ๐—™๐—ฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—š๐— ๐—ฉ: โ‚ฌ2.4 billion to โ‚ฌ2.7 billion. โ€ข ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜น๐˜ต: Lowered from the previous range of โ‚ฌ2.5Bโ€“โ‚ฌ2.9B. This adjustment appears largely structural due to removing The Outnet from continuing operations. โ€ข ๐—™๐—ฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—”๐—ฑ๐—ท๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—˜๐—•๐—œ๐—ง๐——๐—” ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป: -2% to 1%. โ€ข ๐˜Š๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜น๐˜ต: This is an improvement at the lower end compared to the previous guidance of -4% to 1%. It signals that despite lower expected GMV, cost controls and margin improvements are potentially ahead of schedule. โ€” โ€ข โ€” โ€ข โ€” ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น 1. ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—•๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ: With ~โ‚ฌ142M cash consumed in Q1, how should investors model cash flow for the remainder of FY26? Is the bulk of the "turnaround spend" now behind us, or is this the quarterly run rate? 2. ๐—ก๐—”๐—ฃ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป: While gross margins improved, NAP EBITDA collapsed to -โ‚ฌ14.6M. When does management expect the cost-cutting measures to cross over with the sales decline to return this segment to breakeven EBITDA? 3. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜: Can you quantify exactly how much of the GMV guidance reduction is solely due to The Outnet sale versus organic trends in the remaining business? 4. ๐—จ๐—ฆ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€: The US now represents 31.6% of sales. Given the discussion of "prudent conservatism" regarding customs in the previous quarter, how did US demand trend intra-quarter, and are you seeing any shifts post-September?
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jajan #CFXXI ynap โ”€โ”€โ˜… ห™๐Ÿซ ฬŸ !! thanks to kak @nekomakucing as jastiper yg mau kurepotkan slalu ttg nitip cf ๐Ÿซถ๐Ÿผ
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๐Ÿ“ˆ Richemont $CFR ๐Ÿ’ฐResultados๐Ÿ’ฐ ๐Ÿš€ Operaciones y estrategia de crecimiento Fuerte aceleraciรณn en Q2 ( 14% CER) con doble dรญgito en todas las regiones; ventas DTC 76% del total y retail 70% (1.398 boutiques). Joyerรญa (Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels, Buccellati, Vhernier) crece 14% CER en H1 y 17% CER en Q2, apoyada por alta joyerรญa y lanzamientos (p. ej., Flowerlace en VCA; campaรฑa โ€œLove Unlimitedโ€ en Cartier). Relojerรญa especializada frena la caรญda y vuelve a crecer en Q2 ( 3% CER). Se completรณ la venta de YNAP (abril 2025). 3.๐Ÿ’ธ Anรกlisis de costos y gastos La bajada de margen bruto (โˆ’190 pb) obedece a FX adverso, oro mรกs caro y, en menor medida, aranceles adicionales en EE. UU.; se mitigรณ con subidas de precio selectivas y disciplina de costos. Selling & Distribution 3% (25.7% de ventas vs 26.4%), Communication โˆ’4% (8.2% vs 9.0%) y Administraciรณn โˆ’2%: ello explica el apalancamiento que eleva el margen operativo a 22.2%. 4.๐Ÿ“ˆ KPIs sectoriales โ€ขRegiones H1 (reported / CER): Europa 10% / 11%, Amรฉricas 11% / 18%, MEA 13% / 19%, Asia Pacรญfico 0% / 5%, Japรณn โˆ’5% / โˆ’4%. En Q2, todas las regiones crecieron doble dรญgito CER. โ€ขCanales H1 (mix): Retail 70% ( 6% reported / 10% CER), Online 6% ( 3% / 7%), Wholesale 24% ( 5% / 9%). DTC 76%. 5.๐Ÿ’ง Liquidez y apalancamiento Caja neta โ‚ฌ6.5bn, caja bruta โ‚ฌ12.5bn; CFO โ‚ฌ1.85bn ( 48%). Capex neto โ‚ฌ350m; inventarios โ‚ฌ9.6bn (rotaciรณn 18.1 meses, mejor que 19.9m hace un aรฑo). Bonos corporativos โ‚ฌ5.9bn; equity 54% del activo. 6.๐Ÿงญ Narrativa estratรฉgica (citas traducidas) โ€ขPresidente, Johann Rupert: โ€œEl segundo trimestre fue particularmente fuerte, con doble dรญgito en todas las regiones, reflejando los mรบltiples motores de crecimiento del Grupo.โ€ โ€ขโ€œHemos enfrentado FX, oro y los nuevos aranceles en EE. UU.; con subidas de precio equilibradas y disciplina de costes aumentamos el beneficio operativo y mantenemos un balance sรณlido.โ€ 7.๐Ÿ”ฎ Proyecciones y orientaciรณn No hay guรญa cuantitativa. La compaรฑรญa estima un impacto FY26 de ~โ‚ฌ0.3bn por aranceles adicionales en EE. UU. (asumiendo tarifas actuales) y anticipa entorno incierto (China aรบn irregular), requiriendo agilidad y disciplina. 8.๐Ÿ’ฐ Dividendo y retorno al accionista Pago de dividendo ordinario 2025: CHF 3.00/acciรณn (salida de caja โ‚ฌ1,888m). Compra de 1.12m acciones โ€˜Aโ€™ para cubrir planes de ejecutivos (outflow neto โ‚ฌ177m). Caja neta se mantiene sรณlida. 9.โš–๏ธ Puntos positivos y negativos del semestre โ€ขPositivos: (i) Q2 fuerte ( 14% CER), (ii) Joyerรญa en mรกxima forma ( 14% CER H1, margen 32.8%), (iii) apalancamiento operativo (opex/ventas โˆ’220 pb), (iv) caja neta โ‚ฌ6.5bn y CFO 48%, (v) DTC 76% sostiene control de marca y precios. โ€ขNegativos / riesgos: (i) Margen bruto โˆ’190 pb por FX/oro/aranceles; (ii) Relojerรญa con margen 3.2% y Asia Pac. aรบn dรฉbil, (iii) aranceles EE. UU. (~โ‚ฌ0.3bn FY), (iv) China/Japรณn con comparativas exigentes. 10.๐ŸŽฏ Opiniรณn / calificaciรณn del desempeรฑo Semestre sรณlido: ventas y OP crecen pese a vientos en contra; Joyerรญa compensa la debilidad de Relojes. La calidad del P&L (apalancamiento y caja) es clara; la clave a 2H serรก gestiรณn de FX, oro y aranceles mientras se normaliza Asia. ยฟCumpliรณ vs consenso? La verdad es que no sรฉ. Puntaje: 8.4/10. 11.๐Ÿ“ Resumen conciso y puntos clave Richemont reportรณ ventas โ‚ฌ10.6bn ( 5%; 10% CER), margen OP 22.2% ( 30 pb) y beneficio โ‚ฌ1.81bn, con Q2 acelerando a 14% CER; Joyerรญa lidera ( 14% CER, margen 32.8%), Relojes mejoran en Q2 pero aรบn presionados; DTC 76% y CFO โ‚ฌ1.85bn refuerzan el balance (caja neta โ‚ฌ6.5bn). El entorno (FX, oro, aranceles) pesa en el margen bruto, pero la disciplina de costos y el mix sostienen la rentabilidad. 12.๐Ÿ”” Cierre No olvides seguirme en mi cuenta X para mantenerte al tanto de los mercados financieros ๐Ÿ‘‰ x.com/IngJuanPa7
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Out on SENS โŒš | CFR | โ€ข Richemont (CFR) H1 25 group sales rose 10% (constant FX) to โ‚ฌ10.6 bn, as all regions recorded double-digit Q2 growth. โ€ข HEPS up 5% in euro terms to โ‚ฌ3.01, vs Bloomberg estimates of โ‚ฌ2.92. โ€ข Operating profit rose 7% to โ‚ฌ2.36 bn ( 24% in constant currency) with margins up 30bps to 22.2%. โ€ข Jewellery Maisons sales gained 14% (constant FX) with a 32.8% operating margin. โ€ข Specialist Watchmakers returned to growth in Q2. โ€ข Profit surged to โ‚ฌ1.81 bn from โ‚ฌ457m a year ago, aided by the completion of the YNAP sale & discontinued losses. โ€ข Net cash position of โ‚ฌ6.5bn, for brand development and selective expansion. senspdf.jse.co.za/documents/โ€ฆ
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