I genuinely can't agree, once TTK came out Exotics may as well have been grays since you could just load up the Dreadnaught, head to the secret boss, and pop a 3 of coins for an almost guaranteed exotic every run.

never opening exotic engrams AGAIN dawg 💔 the exotics so nice, i had to get them twice and thrice ‼️

what lies , hang he's not the only person that stopped fucking with ogcm flower do to the quality 😪 shits fucking mid gang at best i've def had bettwr flower and lowe tickets , montree exotics out smokes ogcm , so does loud akron , jah , sog the list is long its just hyped mids

Remove the casino sprite meta😂 add more guns/ mobility items / exotics

PvP: D1 Strikes: D1 Nightfall: D1 Dungeons: D2 Raid: even D1/D2 (Champions suck) Partol: D1 W1 Raid Race: D2 Loot: D1 Customisation: D2 Difficulty: D1 Tower: D1 Supers: D2 Exotics: D1/D2 D1 = quality D2 = sometimes quality but mostly quantity (seasonal activities, Lightfall)

What do I use for dps on well warlock, I currently don't have any raid or dungeon exotics and haven't played in a hot min.

I’ve been saying drop everything day 1 they can be played in any order. The seasonal things almost forced them to do a straight storyline that followed up each season and it kind of pulled the mystery away and also gave us free exotics

Lowkey can I get DLC exotics out of engram drops? I’m just getting stuff I already unlocked, I’ve been using ciphers to unlock new things

Why does any state, not just fla, allow exotics including pythons, tigers, lions, etc. Both people & critters are best left in their natural environment. Tx has a feral hog problem bcz of this. Fla has a python problem. All of it was avoidable.

Amen. Gear tiers need to go and exotics should be at the D1 launch rarity.

I did note my favor for D1's visual design language, but acquiring exotics was insanely easy with a 3 of coins, all you did was went to the Dreadnaught and farmed the secret boss for a couple hours.

Ohhhhh yeah....sorry I thought you were talking about armor, the old season exotics are free so what weapons is there to buy besides the old raid exotics that can't be earned the normal way like tarrabah and anarchy

Whites cannot fail. Even if the exotics dominate at the end of the world, they will die off and I shall breed and breed and breed.

All these fuckers have a maximum payout clause on exotics. They enforce it whenever they like.

Hardcore Indoor Gelato(EXOTICS)

D1’s visual style and way of obtaining exotics. I’m not a fan of EVERY weapon from previous seasons coming strictly from the kiosk

exotic engrams can always be farmed and theyre consistent. it adds excitement exotic ciphers have always been a bad system because of how few sources they have for new or returning players compared to how many exotics are in the archive its extremely unfriendly

🏇 𝗣𝗨𝗡𝗧𝗬 𝗘𝗔𝗥𝗟𝗬 𝗠𝗔𝗜𝗟 – 𝗟𝗼𝗻𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗵 (𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲-𝟬𝟲-𝟭𝟱) For all of Punty's tips for Longreach, head to punty.ai/tips/longreach-2026… Rightio Loose Units, Longreach is cooking on a dry Good deck with the rail true and that ENE breeze ready to make the straight feel like you're running into a pub door fan - handy on speed, absolutely brutal if you're stuck back there with your thumb up your arse. 𝗠𝗘𝗘𝗧 𝗦𝗡𝗔𝗣𝗦𝗛𝗢𝗧 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸: Longreach, 1000m-1600m card 𝗥𝗮𝗶𝗹: True Entire Course 𝗢𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗴𝗼𝗶𝗻𝗴: Good (expected to play fair, but with a handy on-pace lean) 𝗪𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿: Mostly sunny, 24°C, humidity 42%, wind 27km/h ENE, gusts 31.5km/h, feels like 19.8°C (watch for the breeze and any lane shuffle) 𝗘𝗮𝗿𝗹𝘆 𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗲 𝗴𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘀: Inside to middle lanes, with leaders and handy types getting first go 𝗧𝗲𝗺𝗽𝗼 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝗹𝗲: A proper mixed bag - a couple of grinders, but the sprints look sharp enough to sort the brave from the mugs 𝗝𝗼𝗰𝗸𝗲𝘆𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄: Ms Nikki Olzard(a0/52kg) — featherweight assassin with live chances in Legolas, Valiant Joan, Salt Lake Betty and You Kay Squeeze. Ms Amie Meissner(a2/53.5kg) — gets the claim working for her on a stack of handy maps, and she's on a few that can jump, roll, and make their own luck. Michael Heagney — on the day’s anchor in Race 1 and a few other rides that can bob up if the race shape falls their way. 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘁: C T Austin (4 runners) — multiple live chances and a couple of market movers; when this mob lands in the right race shape, they can nick it. P W O'Toole (4 runners) — has speed, class and a couple of honest types; always worth a look when the map is half-decent. Bevan Johnson (3 runners) — proper bush-meeting danger man; if the pace and barriers line up, his runners can be right in the finish. 𝗣𝘂𝗻𝘁𝘆'𝘀 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: This is one of those Longreach cards where the map matters more than your mate's beer-fuelled theory after three schooners. On a dry Good surface with the rail true, you want horses that can jump clean, hold a spot, and keep punching - because if you’re coming from the car park in these sprints, the wind and pressure will have you looking like the last bloke chasing a bus in The Castle. The maidens and shorties are where the market has already started doing weird things - It's A Power, Crown Reach, Want To Be Proud, Legolas and Testator Silens are all getting some sniff, and a couple of those are proper worth respecting even if they’re not always the prettiest form guide reads. Race 3 and Race 7 are the burn-up jobs: hot tempo, pressure on, and the horses that can absorb a bit of heat are the ones that’ll keep their heads. The middle-distance and class races are where you can nick a bit of value without getting too clever. Peninsula, Hollerloud and Tapa Kick are the honest types the day leans on, while a few of the rougher ones are only in the fight if the front half melts down or the race gets run like a Benny Hill sketch. 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝘁 𝗺𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘆𝗼𝘂: Don’t go full hero mode early. The maidens are messy enough that a clean map and a decent draw are worth their weight in gold, so I’d rather be with the horses that can sit handy than the ones needing a miracle and a gap the size of the Hume Highway. Day To Remember, Peninsula and Tapa Kick are the sort of anchors that can keep the day stitched together. For the better value, you’re looking at the horses that the market has started to respect without completely running away with the race: Crown Reach, Want To Be Proud, Legolas and Testator Silens all have a path if the speed is honest. If you’re playing the exotics, keep the coverage sensible - this is not a day to be trying to write a novel with a First4 unless the price is doing backflips. 𝗣𝗨𝗡𝗧𝗬'𝗦 𝗕𝗜𝗚 𝟯 𝗠𝗨𝗟𝗧𝗜 These are the three bets the day leans on. 𝟭 - 𝗗𝗮𝘆 𝗧𝗼 𝗥𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 (Race 1, No.2) — $1.90 Why: Has the map in Race 1 and should get every chance from the inside with the tempo not too savage. He’s the one who looks best placed to control his own destiny. 𝟮 - 𝗣𝗲𝗻𝗶𝗻𝘀𝘂𝗹𝗮 (Race 4, No.1) — $2.35 Why: The class horse in the C5 scramble - honest, tough, and has been knocking around the money. If he gets a clean run from the draw, he’s the one they all have to run down. 𝟯 - 𝗧𝗮𝗽𝗮 𝗞𝗶𝗰𝗸 (Race 6, No.3) — $2.74 Why: The 1400m looks right for a horse like this in a genuinely run race. He’s the one most likely to find the sweet spot and keep rolling when others start waving the white flag. Multi (all three to win): $10 × ~12.24 = ~$122.38 collect 𝗥𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝟭 – 𝗠𝗮𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗻 𝗺𝗮𝘆𝗵𝗲𝗺 𝗥𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝘆𝗽𝗲: Maiden Plate, 1000m 𝗠𝗮𝗽 & 𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗽𝗼: Moderate pace with Lock In and Bella Russian expected to be the first sort of rhythm-setters. 𝗣𝘂𝗻𝘁𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱: This is a proper little trap race to open the card. Day To Remember gets the plum setup from barrier 1 and maps like the horse the race is meant to revolve around, while Circus Maximus is the one the market has started to sniff with the blinkers back on. Bella Russian has had excuses and can hang around the finish, but the real danger for the favourite is that the race gets run at a half-merry clip and he gets boxed into a grind instead of a procession. If you’re hunting a rough angle, Galath is the type that can run on if the speed gets a bit dicky, but I wouldn’t be dying on that hill. 𝗧𝗼𝗽 𝟯 𝗥𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝗶𝗲 ($𝟭𝟭.𝟬𝟬 𝗽𝗼𝗼𝗹) 𝟭. 𝗗𝗮𝘆 𝗧𝗼 𝗥𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 (No.2) — $1.90 / $1.17 Win: 38.6% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.15x Bet: $6.00 Win, return $11.40 Why: Best map in the race and should land in the gun spot without spending petrol. If he doesn’t win this, he’s had a proper shocker. 𝟮. 𝗖𝗶𝗿𝗰𝘂𝘀 𝗠𝗮𝘅𝗶𝗺𝘂𝘀 (No.1) — $5.00 / $1.40 Win: 16.5% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.65x Bet: $5.00 Place, return $7.00 Why: Blinkers again and the money’s started to nibble, which usually means somebody in the shed thinks he’s ready to step. Can sit handy and bob up for a slice. 𝟯. 𝗕𝗲𝗹𝗹𝗮 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮𝗻 (No.5) — $4.80 / $1.45 Win: 14.6% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 0.90x Bet: No Bet — Place prob too low (40% < 50%) Why: Had excuses last time and isn’t hopeless, but she’s still got a bit to prove before I start throwing the kitchen sink at her. 𝗥𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝗶𝗲: 𝗚𝗮𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗵 (No.3) — $9.50 / $2.25 Win: 9.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.77x Bet: No Bet — Stake concentrated on top 3 picks Why: Wide gate is the sting, but if the leaders overdo it and the race gets stretched, he’s the sort that can be winding up late. 𝗥𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝟮 – 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗲 𝗴𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗥𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝘆𝗽𝗲: Benchmark 60, 1600m 𝗠𝗮𝗽 & 𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗽𝗼: Moderate pace; Ambassadors and Gregarious should be prominent, with a few others stalking. 𝗣𝘂𝗻𝘁𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱: This one’s a proper old-fashioned country handicap - no one wants to give an inch, and the map isn’t a total cakewalk. Ambassadors has the jockey claim and enough tactical speed to get into the race early, which is why the money’s there. Schmoozer is the honest old bugger that keeps turning up, while Shoalwater Bay gets the fence and can save ground if the tempo is fair. Divine Courage is the rougher one and would want the pace to go on, but the current shape doesn’t scream miracle. If Ambassadors crosses clean, he’s got the race at his mercy; if not, the whole thing gets messy quick. 𝗧𝗼𝗽 𝟯 𝗥𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝗶𝗲 ($𝟭𝟬.𝟬𝟬 𝗽𝗼𝗼𝗹) 𝟭. 𝗔𝗺𝗯𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗱𝗼𝗿𝘀 (No.2) — $5.50 / $2.10 Win: 16.9% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 1.20x Bet: $10.00 Each Way ($5.00W $5.00P), return $27.50 (wins) / $10.50 (places) Why: The claim helps, the form is honest, and if he gets the right run from the awkward gate he’s right in this to knock over a field full of battlers. 𝟮. 𝗦𝗰𝗵𝗺𝗼𝗼𝘇𝗲𝗿 (No.1) — $4.80 / $1.80 Win: 16.8% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 1.04x Bet: No Bet — EW primary — saver suppressed Why: Rock-solid type who’s always thereabouts, but he’s not screaming value at the price and I’m not doubling up for the sake of it. 𝟯. 𝗦𝗵𝗼𝗮𝗹𝘄𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗕𝗮𝘆 (No.4) — $6.00 / $2.15 Win: 14.9% | Place: 28.4% | Value: 1.16x Bet: No Bet — Place prob too low (28% < 50%) Why: From the inside he can tuck in and get every chance, but he’s still more the sort to run a place than blow the race apart. 𝗥𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝗶𝗲: 𝗗𝗶𝘃𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗖𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗴𝗲 (No.5) — $16.00 / $3.90 Win: 3.7% | Place: 34.5% | Value: 0.77x Bet: No Bet — Stake concentrated on top 3 picks Why: Needs the race to fall apart and a couple of the fancies to wobble, but he’s not a write-off if the tempo gets ugly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 𝗙𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝘁𝗼 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 (𝗥𝟯–𝗥𝟳)... Short-priced favourites, roughies at overs, sketchy exotics, and at least one race that'll make you question every life decision you've ever made. The full breakdowns are waiting. Full race-by-race analysis, speed maps, and exotics: 👉 punty.ai 𝗦𝗘𝗤𝗨𝗘𝗡𝗖𝗘 𝗟𝗔𝗡𝗘𝗦 — 𝗦𝗜𝗡𝗚𝗟𝗘 𝗢𝗣𝗧𝗜𝗠𝗜𝗦𝗘𝗗 𝗧𝗜𝗖𝗞𝗘𝗧 QUADDIE (R4-R7) Smart: 1, 5, 2, 9 / 1, 6, 2, 10 / 3, 2, 9, 12 / 1, 8, 10, 2 (256 combos x $0.10 = $25) -- 10% flexi Four open legs means this is more of a survival ticket than a banker stitch-up - there’s enough coverage to keep you alive, but you’ll need one or two of the market movers to behave. 𝗡𝗨𝗚𝗚𝗘𝗧𝗦 𝗙𝗥𝗢𝗠 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗧𝗥𝗔𝗖𝗞 𝟭 - 𝗟𝗼𝗻𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗵 𝘀𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻, 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗽𝗼𝗲𝘁𝗿𝘆 On a Good track with the rail true, the short-course races here tend to punish horses that give away ground. If you’re wide and backward, you’re basically asking for a miracle and a stiff upper lip. 𝟮 - 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘆 𝗵𝗮𝘀 𝗮𝗹𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝘆 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗲𝘀 Crown Reach, Want To Be Proud, Legolas and Testator Silens have all had support, and that usually isn’t random nonsense. Sometimes the market’s just having a guess; sometimes it’s the stable saying, "Yeah mate, we’re on today." 𝟯 - 𝗟𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗸𝘀 Ms Nikki Olzard(a0/52kg) and Ms Amie Meissner(a2/53.5kg) have the sort of claims that can turn a close finish into a winner. In these bush races, a couple of kilos is the difference between doing the job and coming home with a story. #AusRacing #HorseRacing #LongreachRacing Gamble Responsibly. gamblinghelponline.org.au | 1800 858 858

🏇 𝗣𝗨𝗡𝗧𝗬 𝗘𝗔𝗥𝗟𝗬 𝗠𝗔𝗜𝗟 – 𝗧𝗮𝗺𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗵 (𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲-𝟬𝟲-𝟭𝟱) For all of Punty's tips for Tamworth, head to punty.ai/tips/tamworth-2026-… Rightio Loose Units, Tamworth on a Soft 6 with the rail out a touch is one of those cards where the track can look fair on paper and still mug you if you get sucked into the wrong shape. The sprints are going to reward horses with clean runs and a bit of toe, while the middle trips look like they’ll ask plenty of the ones trying to loop the field like they’re in a Fast & Furious sequel. 𝗠𝗘𝗘𝗧 𝗦𝗡𝗔𝗣𝗦𝗛𝗢𝗧 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸: Tamworth, 1000m-2100m card 𝗥𝗮𝗶𝗹: 3m 1000m-350m, True Remainder 𝗢𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗴𝗼𝗶𝗻𝗴: Soft 6 (expected to play fair, with an on-speed lean in the shorter races) 𝗪𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿: Partly cloudy, 19C, humidity 58%, wind 14km/h ESE (watch for a late chop if that rain risk sneaks in) 𝗘𝗮𝗿𝗹𝘆 𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗲 𝗴𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘀: Middle lanes in the sprints look the sweet spot; in the staying races, you can still make ground if they don’t crawl 𝗧𝗲𝗺𝗽𝗼 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝗹𝗲: A few crawl-and-sprint affairs early, but Races 2, 4 and 6 should be run at a proper clip 𝗝𝗼𝗰𝗸𝗲𝘆𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄: Aaron Bullock — lands on plenty of the key rides and when the money’s behind him, he usually doesn’t muck around Mikayla Weir — has Haras and Spenzalot in the book; if the map’s decent, she’s right in the thick of it Jacob Stiff — gets a few handy rides in the late races and could be the bloke who knifes through on the right horse 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘁: S I Singleton (5 runners) — Haras, Ordinary Angel, Spenzalot, Dub and Pretty Cheeky; that’s a serious hand across the card Brett & Georgie Cavanough (3 runners) — Currumbin Alley, Insatiable and Iknowyou; plenty of punch if the race shape suits P J Cunningham (4 runners) — Bellini Spritz, Mammoth Mountain, Kate's Tiara and My Angel Shell; some genuine value hiding in there 𝗣𝘂𝗻𝘁𝘆'𝘀 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: Tamworth on Soft 6 is not the place to be precious. If you’re back there loitering off them and hoping for miracles, you’ll spend the afternoon doing your best impression of a bloke who missed the train. The pattern today screams map, manners and momentum. The sprints are going to punish the lazy ones, the middle-distance races will give the grinders a chance to muscle into it, and the quaddie is a proper little minefield because the last four legs are all live. The market’s already had a sniff at the obvious ones. Haras has been crunched in Race 2 like the bagman left the door open, Spenzalot has firmed enough to tell you the stable means business, and Cheval Chic has had the gear surgery that usually says “we’re trying to wake this thing up”. On the flip side, the drifters like Ruairi, Bill Peyto and Edge Of Reward are waving red flags big enough to park a bus on. Not every move is gospel, but when the market and the map agree, that’s where the dollars usually live. 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝘁 𝗺𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘆𝗼𝘂: This is not the day to go full gallop into every favourite and hope for a hero. The better play is to lean on the horses that have the map, the stable intent and a clean enough path to be in the finish. Races 2, 4 and 6 are the anchor points. Race 7 is the messy one where you protect with a couple of useful types and don’t get too romantic about roughies just because they’re paying a lazy number. I’d be more inclined to play the places and each ways in the races that look like they’ll split up late, and keep the win bets for the ones with a proper edge in the run. In plain English: Haras looks the banker, Spenzalot is the quaddie swinger, Cheval Chic is the value anchor, and the rest of the card is about not doing your block in the chaos races. If the track plays the way it should, the on-speed crew gets first dibs and the swoopers need the race to be run upside down. That’s the game. 𝗣𝗨𝗡𝗧𝗬'𝗦 𝗕𝗜𝗚 𝟯 𝗠𝗨𝗟𝗧𝗜 These are the three bets the day leans on. 𝟭 - 𝗛𝗮𝗿𝗮𝘀 (Race 2, No.3) — $2.71 Why: He’s the one they all have to beat. Maps to sit on the speed, the money has come for him, and this looks like the cleanest run of the day if Mikayla Weir gets him rolling at the right time. 𝟮 - 𝗦𝗽𝗲𝗻𝘇𝗮𝗹𝗼𝘁 (Race 4, No.3) — $4.15 Why: Genuine tempo in a middle-distance race is exactly what he wants. If the leaders overdo it, he’s the one who can lob into it late and make the rest pay for being too keen. 𝟯 - 𝗖𝗵𝗲𝘃𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗰 (Race 6, No.2) — $6.75 Why: Gear shake-up, sensible map and a race that should be honest enough for him to stalk and pounce. This is the sort of setup that can wake a horse up without needing a miracle. Multi (all three to win): $10 x ~75.91 = ~$759.14 collect 𝗥𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝟭 – 𝗠𝗮𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗻 𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿 𝗥𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝘆𝗽𝗲: Maiden Plate, 1600m 𝗠𝗮𝗽 & 𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗽𝗼: Slow tempo, and the backmarkers are the ones who’ll need the race to fall in a heap 𝗣𝘂𝗻𝘁𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱: This is a funny little maiden because the pace is crawling and that usually turns the race into a test of who can travel without doing anything stupid. Oakfield Nevada has been smashed in and that’s enough to make me sit up, even if the map isn’t screaming “free lunch”. The stable clearly means business, and in a soft-track maiden you sometimes just want the one with the clearest intent rather than the prettiest form line. 𝗧𝗼𝗽 𝟯 𝗥𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝗶𝗲 ($𝟭𝟱.𝟬𝟬 𝗽𝗼𝗼𝗹) 1. Oakfield Nevada (No.7) — $2.48 / $1.37 Win: 24.9% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.74x Bet: $15.00 Win, return $37.12 Why: The market’s already told its story here, and in a small maiden like this the horse with the strongest push and a workable enough run can just keep finding. She’s the one they’re taking seriously. 2. Memphis Blue (No.2) — $4.00 / $2.00 Win: 17.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.97x Bet: $5.00 Place, return $10.00 Why: Blinkers on can sharpen him up, but the drift says the punters aren’t fully sold and he’s still got a few question marks to answer. 3. Northfire (No.3) — $6.40 / $2.50 Win: 15.7% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.95x Bet: No Bet — NTD field — only 2 staked picks Why: The winkers first time are the nudge, and he’s not without hope, but this looks more like a place-in-the-frame type than a must-have bet. Roughie: Pinero (No.8) — $10.50 / $3.70 Win: 10.3% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.30x Bet: No Bet — NTD field — only 2 staked picks Why: If the race turns into a sit-and-sprint and the leaders get wobbly, he’s the sort who can swoop into the placings. Needs a bit of help, though. 𝗥𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝟮 – 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗼𝘁 𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗥𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝘆𝗽𝗲: Maiden Hcp, 1200m 𝗠𝗮𝗽 & 𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗽𝗼: Moderate tempo, with Haras and Ordinary Angel up on the speed and At Church parked awkwardly wide 𝗣𝘂𝗻𝘁𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱: This is where the day starts getting serious. Haras has the market love, the map edge and the right kind of on-speed profile for a 1200m maiden on a soft surface. Ordinary Angel is the obvious danger from the better draw, but Haras just looks the one with the most ways to win. Insatiable’s the sort of horse that can nick a place without being flashy, and the rough stuff behind them looks like a collection of maybes and prayers. 𝗧𝗼𝗽 𝟯 𝗥𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝗶𝗲 ($𝟮𝟯.𝟬𝟬 𝗽𝗼𝗼𝗹) 1. Haras (No.3) — $2.71 / $1.25 Win: 43.5% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 1.40x Bet: $18.00 Win, return $48.78 Why: He’s the one the market has latched onto for good reason — maps on the speed, gets the first crack at it, and looks the yard’s proper go. 2. Ordinary Angel (No.2) — $2.76 / $1.25 Win: 20.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.07x Bet: No Bet — Place div $1.25 outside saver band [$1.35, $2.10] Why: Honest enough and the inside draw helps, but in this shape he’s more the one to make Haras work than the one to frighten the pants off him. 3. Insatiable (No.10) — $3.62 / $1.30 Win: 18.6% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.93x Bet: $5.00 Place, return $6.50 Why: Not the flashiest type in the field, but if the speed gets a bit warm, he’s the kind of grinder who can hang around and nick a place late. Roughie: Idol Bye (No.7) — $18.25 / $3.50 Win: 4.1% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.52x Bet: No Bet — Stake concentrated on top 3 picks Why: If the race gets messy and they overcook it up front, he’s the sort who can run on into the minor money. Needs the tempo to go pear-shaped. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 𝗙𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝘁𝗼 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 (𝗥𝟯–𝗥𝟳)... 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