The countdown begins. On July 10th, I'll be releasing my $BTC Institutional Framework, the most comprehensive breakdown of my market methodology to date. For years, people have asked how I approach the markets. ▶️ How I establish directional bias. ▶️ How I identify institutional liquidity. ▶️ How I map ranges and key areas of interest. ▶️ How I interpret market maker positioning. ▶️And most importantly, how I align myself with the flow of institutional capital rather than trade against it. My framework brings every component together. Not a collection of isolated strategies, but a complete operating framework built around how I analyze, interpret, and execute within the market every single day, across both HTF and LTF environments. Every concept is built around the principles I use daily: • Market structure and narrative development. • Liquidity engineering and inducement. • Institutional accumulation and distribution. • Premium and discount array analysis. • Order flow alignment. • Precision execution across HTF and LTF The difference between consistency and inconsistency often comes down to understanding the objectives of the dominant participants driving price. Through my guidance, you'll develop the ability to interpret market conditions with greater clarity, recognize institutional participation, and execute within a framework built upon liquidity dynamics, order flow, psychological pivot points, market manipulation, and MM objectives. The goal is not to trade more. The goal is to think like the participants moving the market and position yourself in alignment with them. July 10th. Be Ready ⚡️

Target hit. ✅ Time to observe. Unable to flip the 65K region & we push down to the 62-63K area again.

$BTC If we are genuinely going to see time based capitulation and bottom in Q4, it would look something like this.

The Reason I’m Swing Long on bitcoin:native youtube.com/watch?v=9U0jD7NU…

You could've shorted every Monday pump on $BTC for the past 5 weeks and won every single time. Its the small patterns which matter. 🤭

The 6 month candle closes in 16 days from now. If you know, you know... $BTC You can clearly see what happens after we print 2 red six month candles. 😉

Working on a big $BTC update video regarding my 2X swing long position.

$BTC Based on every previous cycle, once the capitulation candle forms (the major cycle low), the sweep of that low has historically marked the bottom. We've already seen that sweep. The capitulation low has been taken. The only thing that doesn't quite fit is the timing. Historically, bear market bottoms have formed around Q4, not Q2. So the question becomes, do you trust the price action more, or the timing more? At some point, one will break. We're only a few months away from the traditional timing window anyway, so it would be somewhat ironic if the market bottomed earlier than expected, just as it topped earlier than many anticipated. The price action is already showing characteristics we've seen at previous cycle lows. The debate now is whether timing matters more than what the market is actually doing.

If it wasn't obvious already, I have a position in $SPCX. Yes, it's overvalued. Yes, it's massively inflated. Yes, the hype is insane. And yes, everyone seems to be scrambling to get exposure. Rather than trying to justify it purely from a revenue or net profit perspective, you need to understand the current market dynamics. Only around 4% of the float is publicly trading, with roughly 96% locked up until the first major unlock in August. At the same time, this is arguably the most hyped IPO we have ever seen. Right now, demand appears to be significantly outweighing supply. My thesis is fairly simple, setups like this often create the perfect environment for aggressive squeezes. There are plenty of people shorting it purely because it's fundamentally overvalued, which, to be fair, it is. But when demand massively outweighs available supply, fundamentals can take a back seat for a lot longer than people expect. The problem is that when everyone wants exposure and only a small fraction of shares are available, price can move far beyond what most people think is reasonable. I could be completely wrong, and if I am, I'll just end up holding more $SPCX for the next few years. But what we're seeing here feels fairly unique, a bubble on top of a bubble. Eventually, every bubble bursts. But with only 4% of the float currently trading, I don't think this thing is about to die anytime soon.

$BTC Yet again... aggressive sell side liquidity. Looks like we're in for a slow and choppy summer. Price compression $SPCX sucking liquidity out of most assets.

The 14th could be a pivotal date for $BTC. 10/11 times, Bitcoin saw a negative reaction following this date, with an average drop of 5-8% within the next 2 weeks. If we continue pushing higher into the 14th, this pattern suggests it may be wise to stay cautious.

Most people will forget about my $BTC swing long over the next 1-2 years. I won’t. When BTC is trading at 126K, I'll post the exact entry, the PnL, and quote tweet this post. It’s already bookmarked. My RR is simple. 50% risk for 150% reward. That's 3:1 odds. I trade mathematics. It's going to be a long, bumpy road. Many round trips, many drawdowns, and plenty of volatility along the way. But in the end, we'll find out whether it was worth it. HODL.

Hindsight is a b*tch... $BTC $50K... $60K... $70K... It doesn't matter. We're going to $160K, and there's absolutely nothing you can do about it.

$BTC Since the drop from $82K to $59K, we've seen an aggressive amount of perp shorts trying to scale. If spot demand isn't strong enough to absorb and flip these large short positions, then the bears are likely rewarded and price continues pushing lower. On the other hand, it could easily be spoof to get people to short before taking out the 65K external highs. Only time will tell. ⏳

$BTC Hoping we get a wick upward soon. Definitely the area to observe.

You literally have miners capitulating, a signal that has historically marked the perfect time to accumulate. There isn't a clearer sign to start accumulating $BTC

$BTC vs $SP500 Still the main idea. Legacy markets likely correct at some point this year and mark the final pivot low for Bitcoin. This has been the case for every cycle so far, and I see no reason to think this one will be any different.

Seeing loads of people talking about $SPCX. My advice? Never bet against the house. BlackRock, Fidelity, Vanguard don't fuck about. They own the market. Overpriced? Doesn't matter. Overvalued? Doesn't matter. The whole stock market is a bubble on top of a bubble and nothing's changing that anytime soon. The quicker you accept it, the better. I think they squeeze the f*ck out of everybody.

I'm only the one delivering the message. The simulation is real. $BTC

$BTC We’ve got a big stack of low leverage shorts sitting in the $64K–$66K range. Keep in mind that during impulsive/corrective trends, liquidity can be front-run, so PA needs to confirm a push into the area.