If this cycle will be remembered for anything, it will be for how many popular narratives it broke
We’ve had M2 expansion, the supercycle thesis, the extended cycle thesis, spot ETFs, the halving, QE expectations, rate-cut expectations, nation-state adoption, and countless other reasons why Bitcoin was supposedly destined for $200k and beyond
The interesting thing is that every narrative sounded logical on paper
Most had data behind them
Most had smart people supporting them Yet the market still managed to behave in ways that very few expected
That’s why I’ve become much more skeptical of anyone who speaks with certainty about where prices are headed next
The longer I’m in this market, the more I realize that narratives often explain price action after the fact rather than predict it beforehand
This cycle didn’t just humble traders, it humbled the narratives themselves