50 Photos and videos
Jun 10
EUR/CHF at ~0.92. SNB at 0% with explicit intervention language. ECB inflation reaccelerating toward rate-hike risk.
Three central bank variables compressing into a 9-day window.
EUR/CHF hedge program not scenario-tested for June 19? Today is the day. #EURCHF #CentralBank
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Jun 10
The SNB meets in 9 days.
EUR/CHF at ~0.92 — below parity.
SNB at 0%, signalling intervention against "rapid and excessive" CHF appreciation.
Most CFOs haven't revisited their EUR/CHF program since Q1.
What you need to know before June 19. 🧵
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Jun 10
What top treasury teams do before SNB meetings:
1. Stress-test hedges: 3 scenarios (intervenes / holds / surprises)
2. Validate tenors match actual invoice dates
3. Pre-commit: "If EUR/CHF moves X%, we do Y"
30 minutes of scenario planning. Most teams skip it.
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Jun 10
EUR/CHF at ~0.92. SNB in 9 days. ECB inflation reaccelerating.
Central bank meetings are scheduled. FX surprises are not.
For CFOs who want AI to run this scenario modeling continuously: aaaccell.ch
#FXHedging #Treasury #CHF #EURCHF
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Jun 2
US GDP: 1.6%. Core PCE: 3.3%. ISM Mfg: 54.0.
Slowing growth sticky inflation strong output — all at once.
Your bank's FX model wasn't built for this. Neither was your static hedge ratio.
How does your FX program hold up when the playbook breaks? #FXHedging #Treasury
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May 29
EUR/CHF swung 70 pips this week. SNB flagged FX intervention. Dollar near 4-year lows.
CFOs who locked a static hedge in Q1 and moved on: this week quietly eroded your margins.
#FXHedging #Treasury
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May 27
EUR/USD just hit a 6-week low. The trigger: US confirmed strikes in southern Iran.
CFOs often watch this and think: "market noise."
Here's why they're wrong — and what it costs them. 🧵
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May 27
5/6
What a geopolitical-ready FX program looks like:
→ Pre-set triggers (not emotion-driven)
→ Rolling 3–12 month exposure coverage
→ Scenario floor: What's your P&L if EUR/CHF hits 0.88?
If you can't answer that in 60 seconds, you have a gap.
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May 27
6/6
The setup for H2 2026 is unusually complex:
→ SNB at 0%, managing CHF via intervention
→ ECB on hold as energy inflation re-accelerates
→ New Fed Chair Warsh steps in June 16
Build your program for uncertainty, not the base case.
#FXHedging #Treasury #FXRisk
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May 25
The Fed: most divided vote since October 1992.
ECB: 86% chance of a June rate hike.
EUR/USD near 1.17 — banks targeting 1.20–1.25 by year-end.
If your hedge book was set to "rates will normalize" — this week is the reality check.
Thread on what's driving FX in 2026 👇
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May 25
This week's FX catalysts:
→ US Consumer Confidence — Tue
→ Fed speakers — watch for dissenter signals
→ EU–US tariff talks — any deal = USD bounce
→ EUR/CHF — SNB verbal intervention risk
Volatility is foreseeable. Hedge before the catalyst, not after.
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May 25
The bottom line for CFOs & Treasurers:
2026 = monetary policy divergence. Your bank's static EUR/USD forecast is already wrong.
Dynamic hedging adjusts as the macro shifts. That's the edge.
Curious how AI handles this? → aaaccell.ch
#FXHedging #Treasury #EURUSD
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