Championing research that advances American global leadership for a more peaceful, prosperous, and free world.
Joined December 2011
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Jun 12
Ukraine is doing better on the battlefield than at any time in years. But questions remain about how lasting its advantage is--and how dangerous a pressured Putin could be.
@opinion @AEI
bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Jun 12
"Washington's Asian Allies Need a Backup Plan" - from @MiraRappHooper and me in @ForeignPolicy:
foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/11…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
The recording of this week's briefing is now available.
@AngelaStent joined @JohnLough to discuss Moscow's assessment of the second Trump term and the future of US-Russia relations.
youtu.be/2XjDf0HYDc0
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Jun 11
Another theater in the Israel-Turkey rivalry to watch is Somalia/Somaliland.
For Israel, Somaliland is not just depth for the Houthis/Iran, but also to "contain" Turkish influence in the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea, given Ankara's strong partnership with Somalia.
One of many factors in the complex competition in the Horn of Africa/broader Red Sea region.
Jun 11
My latest:
Erdogan's speech on Israel was not a threat. It was a calibrated warning, shaped by a regional architecture Ankara can no longer afford to ignore. As Israel's strategy to isolate Turkey quietly unravels, the real story is what comes next. turkiyetoday.com/opinion/a-w…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Jun 11
I have a new edited collection coming out in a few weeks, on the geopolitics of AI. A terrific group of writers are involved, from academia, the tech world, and the policy community. See here for a teaser, which hits on some of the crucial themes:
geopoliticsagi.substack.com/…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Jun 11
There are a dozen ways to measure U.S. or Chinese advantage in the global contest for AI services.
I'm convinced our success will boil down to one unique source of American power:
Optimism in the face of unprecedented change.
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Jun 10
From North Korea’s nuclear expansion to a landslide victory for the Democratic Party in South Korea, events in the Korean Peninsula continue to reflect broader questions about political and military changes in the Indo-Pacific.
Read more: aei.org/articles/korean-peni…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Jun 10
NEW | US President Donald Trump said this morning that he may soon order new strikes on targets in Iran due to Iran’s prolongment of negotiations. Trump warned that Iran would “pay the price” for delaying an agreement. (1/7)
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
The Iranian regime is attempting to use calibrated force in an attempt to extract concessions from the United States without triggering a full-scale US response. Iran has likely designed this new approach based on an assessment that the United States does not want to return to war.
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Jun 9
Last week @FutureNavyComm visited with sailors at USVRON-1. We saw the Sea Hunter, @Saronic Corsair and @BlackSea_Tech GARC unmanned surface vessels at the U.S. Navy’s “robotic proving ground”
Plan is 12 MUSVs in the fleet by Q427; 40 in 2028; and 72 next 5 years.
Seems likely to grow —>
Jun 9
Massive for @Saronic and, by extension, the broader defense tech and autonomy ecosystem. Like really massive.
Kudos to everyone involved, from the engineers and shipbuilders to the Apache crew and the Navy’s Task Force 59 operators and leadership. Feels like a turning point.
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Jun 9
The war with Iran has showcased the power of the US military. It has also highlighted a growing strategic dilemma: how to deter adversaries with finite military resources stretched across multiple theaters.
AEI’s @HalBrands latest article: aei.org/op-eds/u-s-power-is-…
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Jun 9
In their recent working paper, AEI’s @ZackCooper, John G. Ferrari, and Anand Toprani examine “the good, the bad, and the ugly” of the Navy’s 2026 shipbuilding plan.
Check out their insights:
aei.org/research-products/wo…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Join this week's 30-min briefing: Trump, Putin, and the faded ‘spirit of Anchorage’
@AngelaStent joins @JohnLough to discuss discuss how Russia now perceives Trump and why Moscow’s expectations have diverged from reality.
11 June | 16:00 CET | 10:00 EST
Register: zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
Jun 9
The global shock waves of the Iran war will be felt for years--perhaps chief among them, the effects on a US military that has performed impressively, but will find itself overstretched and under-armed for some time to come.
@ForeignPolicy @AEI
foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/09…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
CTP-ISW will provide further analysis about Iranian calculus in its June 9 update. Read CTP-ISW's latest analysis here: understandingwar.org/researc…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
NEW | The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted strikes targeting Hezbollah sites in Tyre, southern Lebanon, as part of its ongoing campaign against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. These strikes do not constitute an escalation or inflection because the IDF has repeatedly struck Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon, including in Tyre, during the current conflict.
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
In fond memory of the late Gordon Wood. @marcthiessen and I were thrilled to kick off our great nation’s 250th with him. RIP. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Jun 8
As conflict continues to destabilize eastern Congo, policymakers face a difficult question: how can lasting peace be achieved in a region plagued by armed forces, foreign interference, and weak governance?
AEI’s @liam_karr and @yale0214 answer: aei.org/op-eds/washington-mu…
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Jun 8
For America’s allies, the challenge is no longer simply managing a rising China—it's doing so amid questions about US staying power.
AEI’s @HalBrands argues that Japan has cultivated the most sophisticated response yet in this era of geopolitical uncertainty.
aei.org/op-eds/japan-is-beco…
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Jun 8
As the US increasingly withdraws as a mediator in peace talks, Ukraine is turning to Europe. The UK, France and Germany have set out out five conditions for reaching a deal to end the war.
AEI’s president, @RobertDoar recalls his visit to Ukraine:
aei.org/op-eds/ukraine-is-ti…
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