Researcher at the Center for Adaptive Rationality in Berlin and interested in collective intelligence and decision-making in groups.

Joined February 2019
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1/5 Excited about our publication in @ScienceAdvances 🤩🥳🍾. With @tpleskac @Kurvers we introduce the social DDM. The model describes and captures the process of how human groups integrate personal and social information dynamically over time. advances.sciencemag.org/cont…
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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
14 Nov 2024
Very happy to share that our work is now published in PNAS (@PNASNews)! 🎉 It's a systematic look into how demographic and psychological factors are associated with misinformation susceptibility. @arc_mpib Thread below and can be read in full here: pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.24…
6 May 2024
Who falls for online misinformation? A meta-analysis on demographic and psychological factors impacting misinformation susceptibility. Preprint: osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/7u… My lovely coauthors: @AlanTump, Nina Ehmann, @lorenz_spreen, Ralph Hertwig, Anton Gollwitzer, @RalfKurvers 1/n
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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
Join our diverse team for a 3-year Post-Doc in Cognitive Psychology at KU Eichstätt! 100% position (Verbeamtung auf Zeit/TV-L), focused on decision science & computational modeling. No denominational requirements. Apply by 2024-03-31. Details: psychjob.eu/de/job/akademisc… Please RT!

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🎉New paper in PoPS. Illustrated with DDMs and RL models, we show how cognitive modeling in combination with interactive group experiments, helps understanding complex collective dynamics. With @dominik_deffner , @PRomanczuk, @tpleskac & @RalfKurvers. journals.sagepub.com/doi/epu…
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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
28 Dec 2022
Such a nice way to end the year! Our paper on fast-paced news consumption and false news just got published at @SciReports 🎉 🥳 🎉. You can read it in full here: nature.com/articles/s41598-0… And see quoted tweet for a thread :) @arc_mpib @mpib_berlin
26 May 2022
Very excited to share my first first-author pre-print :) 🎉 🥳 🎉 It’s been a pleasure working with my lovely co-authors (@AlanTump, @michael_geers_, @philipplenz6, @stefanmherzog, @RalfKurvers) on this, more in the 🧵 below. (1/9).
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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
Nice to see this work is now published in the new journal Collective Intelligence as of yesterday: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.… The published version is better (less wrong on the effect of non-identical preferences) and Open Access.
New preprint out today on decision-making in sparse social networks: arxiv.org/abs/2110.13543 Two key takeways: 1. In a sparse network, rational agents develop sequence-agnostic social responses that depend only on the difference between how many others choose each option
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How do cognitive processes shape collective dynamics? We illustrate how cognitive modeling can link cognitive processes and collective dynamics, allowing a better understanding of the principles underlying adaptive dynamics and collective intelligence: osf.io/7aykm

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Together with @dominik_deffner, @tpleskac, @PRomanczuk and @RalfKurvers. Supported by @arc_mpib and @scioi_cluster.
Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
We‘re excited to announce that @twiecki, CEO of @pymc_labs and co-creator of @pymc_devs, will give a talk on solving business problems with Bayesian modeling on Tuesday, November 15 @ 7PM! Details and RSVP: meetup.com/berlinbayesians/e…

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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
I have an N=1300 data set with 9 variables. All have some missingness. Some are roughly Gaussian, but others are best described as ordinal. If I want to accommodate--but not fret over--their distributions, would *pedictive mean matching* multiple imputation be the way to go?
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New publication out in @PLOSCompBiol with Max Wolf, @PRomanczuk and @RalfKurvers. We show the importance of adjusting individual response biases to the social context. (1/3) doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi…
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When options are associated with different costs, individuals develop a response bias to avoid the more costly error. But they also tend to pick the option with the lower cost faster. In groups, observable fast choices can lead to bias amplification and maladaptive herding. (2/3)
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We show how cooperative and selfish individuals should tune their strategies to different error costs. The results reveal how the implemented strategies of individuals in high-stakes social contexts (e.g., panicking crowds) could jeopardize or boost the collective. (3/3)
Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
The fine folks attending #COSMOSKonstanz The code notebooks me and @WataruToyokawa made are online cosmos-konstanz.github.io/ma… with talk recordings to follow, feat. @icouzin @StePalminteri @natvelali @Mark_Ho_ @DrElenaMiu @RalfKurvers @ariSPeshkin
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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
Abkühlung @LNDWBerlin! ❄️😅 Der 1. Vortrag #LNDWMPIB #LNDW22 von @AlexSchakowski @arc_mpib führt uns nach Finnland. Wir lernen was wir von erfolgreichen Eisfischer*innen über soziales Verhalten lernen können!
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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
28 Jun 2022
Join us at @arc_mpib! :) Ralf is an excellent supervisor, you won’t be disappointed :)
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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
26 May 2022
Very excited to share my first first-author pre-print :) 🎉 🥳 🎉 It’s been a pleasure working with my lovely co-authors (@AlanTump, @michael_geers_, @philipplenz6, @stefanmherzog, @RalfKurvers) on this, more in the 🧵 below. (1/9).
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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
The Sixth Summer School on Statistical Methods for Linguistics and Psychology will be held in Potsdam, Germany, September 12-16, 2022. Currently, this summer school is being planned as an in-person event. *The application closes on April 1st*. vasishth.github.io/smlp2022/

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Alan Novaes Tump retweeted
WE ARE HIRING! @scioi_cluster has an open postdoc vacancy in swarm robotics and collective intelligence. Apply by 1 September!
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