Trying to help #FPL managers one data point at a time.
Joined June 2020
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Apr 10
If anyone is in need of some last minute WC32 drafts, wants to check underlying xG predictions, or xPts breakdowns, my xPts model is now live!
Check out fplcompass.com/ and let me know what you think!
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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Jun 7
Latest WC Fantasy draft!
If Ecuador and Uruguay keep a clean sheet (20% probability of both happening) then I start the GW with 54 points and need 5/8 of my attacking players to return for all 11 players to have points.
#WCFantasy #WorldCupFantasy
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May 29
Taking a stab at playing WC Fantasy
🔸30% chance of both Spain and Switzerland CS
🔸8 different mid/forwards for captaincy
🔸Defenders all finish playing before Kane Bruno James means I don't need to sub in defenders who could get negative points
#WCFantasy #WorldCupFantasy
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May 26
🌍 15k OR finish
Not close at all to my top 50 OR finish last season, but 5x straight top 100k finishes for my xPts model!
🧵Below are some differential wins and some covariance highlights after being the first manager to solve using covariance the whole season!
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May 26
GW14 had to wait a while until another triple clean sheet, but the Palace boys delivered again. Ditched Munoz and Richards in GW9 and 10 but ended up back on the wingback and double defcon threats in GW14.
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May 26
GW25 my only triple Arsenal clean sheet of the season!
Had a blast tripling up on low EO Palace and Brentford defenders and owning a 1% EO 2.97 npxG Schade hattrick! Will be going for a more controlled explosive approach to differentials and covariance next season.
Stay tuned!
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Apr 19
A way too early look at an aggressive covariance driven FH34 team! Double Arsenal and Spurs defence with a Liverpool triple up.
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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Apr 16
For those Covariancemaxxing on FH33 here's what the extreme team would look like. Gives up around 4 xPts by not owning City defenders DCL and going 5 atb, so make sure to team stack carefully and not lose sight of the xPts!
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Apr 15
fplcompass.com FH33 Covariance Draft!
Below is an optimal FH33 draft which was solved using covariance which rewards stacking players from the same team (especially defensively) and punishes players on opposing teams (especially attackers vs defenders)!
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Apr 13
📊 Expected Points Distribution! 📊
If you want to check out how explosive or stable your player's points might be for DGW33, check it out at fplcompass.com/!
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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Apr 6
If anyone is interested in my xPts model and wants another opinion on chip strategy and future transfers, drop me a DM or comment below and I will give you access to my new website that is in beta testing!
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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Apr 5
For those planning on WC32, BB33 and FH34, here is the optimal WC32 draft based on my xPts model!
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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Apr 4
Updated optimal WC32 draft now that Arsenal won't double from my xPts model!
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Apr 4
After 2 FA Cup matches, here is an optimal WC32 draft from my xPts model!
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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Mar 2
⚽️ GW29 Predicted Goals & Clean Sheets ⚽️
🔹Best attack: Man City (2.22 goals)
🔸Best defence: Liverpool (42% CS)
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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Feb 19
⚽️ GW27 Predicted Goals & Clean Sheets ⚽️
🔹Best attack: Chelsea (2.53 goals)
🔸Best defence: Chelsea (44% CS)
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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Feb 3
⚽️ GW25 Predicted Goals & Clean Sheets ⚽️
🔹Best attack: Arsenal (2.29 Goals)
🔸Best defence: Arsenal (60% CS)
#FPL #FPLCommunity
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