Did HAL do better under IAF leadership? And would that work again?
This is a fascinating question, but a difficult one to answer cleanly. My short answer is: yes, but actually no.
It is broadly true that HAL performed better between 1947 and 1980 than it has since. It is also true that this period substantially overlaps with the era when HAL was led, or strongly influenced, by IAF leadership. That is a strong correlation. I am not convinced it is complete causation.
In my view, four variables were at play:
1. The political situation
2. The economic situation
3. HAL leadership
4. The stage of evolution of the IAF itself
1947 to 1980: a favourable, if imperfect, context
In the first three decades after independence, the IAF was a rapidly growing force. It went from 10 squadrons to around 40. India’s economy was weak, but the pressure to expand the IAF was real. Pakistan was becoming hostile and increasingly well armed. Politically elected leaders still exercised meaningful control over major decisions, whether or not one agrees with their judgement. On matters relating to HAL, that political leadership also relied heavily on the IAF.
This created fertile ground for both IAF growth and HAL’s development.
There were delays and poor decisions. But, overall, this was the period of HT-2, Vampire production in India, Gnat production, the HF-24 Marut, Avro, MiG-21 indigenisation, the Kiran, a functioning GTRE working on three engine programmes, and several other achievements. HAL was not perfect, but it was delivering, learning and building capability.
IAF leadership acted as a hard taskmaster. It knew what the service needed and pushed HAL to deliver it. That discipline had value.
But it also had a limitation.
The IAF was good at ensuring HAL produced what was needed. It was less good at building or supporting deep design culture, long-cycle R&D capability, and institutionalised aeronautical thinking. I have spoken to IAF officers who served with HAL in that era, and they believe this was a real issue. The problem with under-investing in R&D culture and capability is that the consequences appear years, sometimes decades, later.
From around 1980 onwards: the context changed.
By the 1980s, the IAF was no longer a rapidly expanding force. It had broadly reached its peak at around 40 squadrons. When a highly pyramidal military organisation stops growing, the internal consequences are significant. Promotion flows slow down. Career expectations narrow. The number of disappointed people rises. Over time, this affects morale, effectiveness and institutional quality. Most critically, it can shift incentives towards protecting careers and employment rather than making difficult decisions.
I have often argued at forums that we need a new template for managing a static military force. The old assumptions of continuous expansion no longer apply.
This also affected procurement choices. Many analysts argue that India chose imports and therefore HAL suffered. I think that confuses the symptom with the cause. Imports became attractive partly because HAL was not delivering enough, fast enough, or credibly enough. And HAL’s weakening performance itself reflected the four factors becoming less favourable. This created a vicious, self-defeating cycle that continues. For the moment, leave aside the bad-faith arguments in this debate. Those existed in both periods.
The economic context also mattered. We often underestimate how constrained India’s fiscal position and purchasing power were in the 1990s. Per capita income may have been higher than in the 1960s, and budgets may have been nominally larger, but the real ability to fund ambitious programmes remained limited.
The political-administrative context also changed. Over time, bureaucratic control grew stronger, while political decision-making weakened. The world of "Yes Minister" was no longer satire. It was reality. HAL’s civilian leadership came from, and operated within, this system.
Put all of this together, and the results are visible today. HAL became a large, complex, slow-moving institution. Turning it around is not just a matter of changing leadership. It is a much deeper institutional problem.
So, would IAF leadership at HAL work again?
It might help, but only partially.
IAF leadership could act as a whip to ensure delivery timelines are met. It could sharpen accountability, reduce complacency and force better alignment between user needs and production priorities. That would be a win.
But the larger challenge is design capability, R&D depth, programme management, supply chain maturity, talent, incentives, governance, political risk-taking, and the ability to run long-cycle aerospace programmes consistently.
HAL’s future cannot be solved only by putting the IAF back in charge. In fact, the less optimistic view is that the alignment of these four factors today does not yet suggest a path to a durable solution.
So the harder question is whether the conditions that allowed that model to work can be recreated. On that, I am far less certain. We are throwing money at problem (the only variable we have now), not realising it wont fix it!
Where is the moot point. Would suggest the thread by
@AnchitGupta9 on this aspect.