🦔 A group of AI researchers from Berkeley, Harvard, Oxford, Cambridge, and Yale published a warning in Science about "AI swarms," coordinated networks of AI agents that infiltrate social media, mimic human behavior, and fabricate consensus. Nobel peace prize winner Maria Ressa and Taiwan's former digital minister Audrey Tang are among the authors. They say the technology could be deployed at scale by the 2028 US election.
In Taiwan, AI bots have already been engaging citizens on Threads and Facebook, pushing "information overload" and encouraging younger voters to stay neutral on China. One researcher described how easy it is to "vibe code" small bot armies that navigate social media, email, and blogs autonomously.
My Take
The technical capability is real. Agentic AI can now plan actions, adapt tone, post irregularly to avoid detection, and coordinate across platforms. One author has been simulating swarms in lab conditions. An Oxford professor called it "technologically perfectly feasible." The question is deployment. In 2024, despite predictions, AI-driven microtargeting didn't show up at scale in elections. Most propagandists are still using older tools because they work and carry less risk.
But the gap between lab capability and real-world deployment tends to close fast. The Taiwan example is instructive: bots aren't pushing obvious pro-China messages. They're encouraging neutrality, creating doubt, making issues seem too complicated to have opinions about. That's harder to detect and harder to counter than obvious propaganda. The authors are calling for "swarm scanners" and watermarked content, but those would require platform cooperation that doesn't exist yet. The 2028 timeline might be optimistic or pessimistic depending on who's building what right now.
Hedgie🤗