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Atlanta Fed @AtlantaFed

Serving communities across the southeastern US 🚜 Likes/RT ≠ Endorsement.

Joined April 2009
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The Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker edged down to 3.5% in May from 3.6% the prior month. For those not changing jobs, the Tracker declined to 3.3% in May from 3.6% in April, while the Tracker for those changing jobs edged down to 3.7% in May from 3.8% in April. atlfed.org/4gd0PmL
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The Commercial Real Estate Market Index (CREMI) provides information about general commercial real estate conditions in about 390 US cities and their adjacent communities. This thread features some highlights from the recent Q1 2026 CREMI update. atlfed.org/3RYUstq
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Office National: Median CREMI for Office remains just below its long-term average. While office employment and occupancy rate are negative drivers, the contribution of asset values has been a positive. Sixth District: Median CREMI has increased over the quarter to now being slightly above long-term average. Overall, 62% of markets report positive CREMI scores.
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Retail National: Median Retail CREMI, while slightly lower than last quarter, continues to perform well with 62% of markets reporting positive scores. Low unemployment rates are the largest positive driver for Retail performance. Sixth District: Median CREMI performance roughly mirrors the national results, with even more markets (approximately 70%) reporting positive scores.
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June 11: We've updated our Market Probability Tracker following @BLS_gov's release of May's #CPI. View the #AtlantaFed update online now: atlfed.org/4gclg3d #ATLFedResearch
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Price pressures remained elevated in May, with most underlying CPI inflation measures remaining above ranges consistent with the FOMC's price stability mandate. atlfed.org/4eAKkQc
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June 10: We’ve updated our Taylor Rule Utility data by incorporating #BLSdata in addition to updated nowcasts from the @ClevelandFed and AtlantaFed: atlfed.org/4uwYBCr.
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The Atlanta Fed's sticky-price consumer price index (CPI)—a weighted basket of items that change price relatively slowly—rose 2.9% (on an annualized basis) in May, following a 4.6% increase in April. On a year-over-year basis, the series is up 3.1%. On a core basis (excluding food and energy), the sticky-price index rose 2.9% (annualized) in May, and its 12-month percent change was 3.1%. The flexible cut of the CPI—a weighted basket of items that change price relatively frequently—increased 14.1%(annualized) in May and on a year-over-year basis, the series is up 7.0%. atlfed.org/3RZNrsj
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On June 9, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q2 2026 is 3.3%: bit.ly/32EYojR. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD
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June 8: We've updated our Market Probability Tracker following @BLS_gov's release of May's #employment report. View the Atlanta Fed update online now: atlfed.org/49OfAst #ATLFedResearch
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June 5: We've updated our Labor Market spider chart to reflect May data from @BLS_gov : atlfed.org/4e7uGuc
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Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 172,000 in May, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.3%, @BLS_gov reported today. atlfed.org/4atyBAs
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The Atlanta Fed’s Unemployment Claims Monitor (UCM) provides regular insights of the US labor force. Continued unemployment claims further declined in May. In the third week of May 2026, there were approximately 1,787,000 continued claims nationally on a seasonally adjusted basis. This represents the lowest level of continued unemployment claims activity since January. While more volatile, initial unemployment claims activity tells a different story. At the end of May, initial unemployment claims on a seasonally adjusted basis approached 225,000. This represents the highest level of initial unemployment claims since February. atlfed.org/4o7fBNM
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Atlanta Fed retweeted
Minneapolis Fed@MinneapolisFed
Jun 2
Cyclical... Median... Trimmed Mean... and the most vividly named alternate inflation statistic: Sticky! @JeffHorwich explores different ways the Fed measures inflation in his new Fed Fluent video--with special shoutouts to @SFFed, @ClevelandFed, @DallasFed, and @AtlantaFed.
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Most companies have weathered the recent spike in oil prices with limited disruption, but their expectations shift sharply if prices remain elevated. New survey data reveal how both goods‑ and services‑producing businesses expect costs and demand to evolve in a world with oil at $130 a barrel. atlfed.org/4uUlT6i
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On June 1, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q2 2026 is 3.0%: atlfed.org/3Qa2MG5. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/43bRoMP.
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