Based on what I read here in the past 24 hours I am under the impression Iran negotiators were tricked about the state of the Strait of Hormuz to be agreed in the MoU.
Iran is still under the impression they would control the transit and charge a “service fee”
Trump wants a SoH as open as it was on the 27th of February
Personally I understand there won’t be mention in the MoU about the enriched uranium matter since, let’s not forget, a MoU won’t be binding so no need to formalise it at this stage. However I am surprised Iran dropped the request of ending the conflict in Lebanon without exceptions considering the fight between Hezbollah and Israel is still ongoing as if nothing happened
It’s obvious how Iran cannot give up control on the SoH in any shape or form since that’s the only real leverage they can play during the final period of negotiations, leverage they earned military let’s not forget.
On the other side it seems clear to me how in the past 10 days Trump seems in a rush to reopen the Strait and I believe the reason is he was warned of the danger of critically low crude oil inventories across the globe
Personally I don’t think even this MoU will be signed and going forward there will be significant changes in Iran negotiation team that, objectively, has been oddly accommodating to many US requests rather than maximising the outcome in Iran favour.