New Research on AML in Stablecoins
Money laundering remains one of the biggest threats in digital finance. But what happens when we turn machine learning loose on hundreds of millions of USDT/USDC transfers?
🔎 In our latest study, we analyzed 334M Ethereum-based stablecoin transfers involving 55M wallets — with over 360K flagged as illicit.
💡 Key findings:
Tree-based models (Random Forest, LightGBM, CatBoost, XGBoost) achieved near-perfect detection (AUROC ≈ 1.0, F1 > 0.99).
Deep models (DNN, GNN) also performed strongly, but feature engineering was the real differentiator.
Feature importance revealed classic laundering fingerprints:
Smart contract interactions
Clustering of repeated transfers
High-value thresholds
Fund flows via CEXs, DeFi, and mixers.
📊 Even when expanding to three classes (normal, hacks/exploits, irregular/manual laundering), accuracy remained at 97.9% — with hack/exploit wallets easier to detect due to consistent automated patterns, and manual laundering showing weaker, noisier signals.
This work shows how AI blockchain transparency can reshape AML/CFT in the era of stablecoins.
👉 Full paper coming soon. Stay tuned!
ALT Top 15 most Importante feature for AML tree machine learning models