Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening as a cold front tracks south through the Mid-Atlantic. Lightning, damaging gusty winds, and isolated hail are possible.
ALT A 3 day forecast showing thunderstorm chances today and sunshine Monday and Tuesday.
DC now added to the severe thunderstorm warning, as are western parts of Prince Georges County. Storms had a confirmed 67mph gust as they went through Sterling. Seek shelter until these storms have passed.
Lots of cells developing as we head into the evening hours
I am expecting most of the activity to be centered around and SE of I-66 stay safe as you head home today
Another day of showers and thunderstorms. Some storms can be severe this afternoon and evening, with the higher probabilities of damaging winds generally along and east of the Blue Ridge.
ALT Image of Storm Prediction Center level 2 out of 5 slight risk.
ALT Storm Prediction Center wind probability graphic. 15 to 44% across the region.
Breaking: The June ECMWF update has trended *even stronger* with this year's El Niño.
Almost every scenario now reaches past 3ËšC, with a cluster of high-end scenarios in excess of 4ËšC.
This outlook now depicts the strongest El Niño on record.
Dry and increasingly warm conditions will continue through the end of the week. Clouds increase tomorrow ahead of an approaching cold front. A few showers or a thunderstorm in western Maryland Saturday afternoon/evening.
ALT A weather outlook, depicting weather conditions and temperatures over the next 3 days. The background photo is a picture of Seneca Rocks, WV on a mostly sunny day.
The latest SIPS (Runs every month) continues to trend towards a stronger more easterly based El Niño this winter
This puts it closer to the consistently aggressive CFS and NMME not good for winter weather prospects across America in general
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Strong El Niños are already either a big boom (2016) or bust (1997)
For us the best winters have usually come with a moderate or weak Modoki El Niño just enough to get the subtropical jet moving (Bringing Miller A’s) but also weak enough to allow colder air to sneak south
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Sunny conditions expected the rest of the day & temps in the upper 40s & 50s tonight before a cold front moves through the region tomorrow. A Marginal risk for severe weather exists over the Alleghenies, with sct. thunderstorms possible across the area tomorrow afternoon/evening.
ALT A weather graphic of the Washington DC/Baltimore area showing satellite imagery of clear skies with a few high-level clouds on the left, with a temperature forecast for the evening on the bottom, and a thunderstorm risk outlook on the right for Wednesday, May 13. The thunderstorm outlook shows a Marginal risk for severe thunderstorms over the western portion of the region with a general thunderstorm risk for the rest of the area.
2PM-Still awaiting a strong cold front this afternoon. Most of the morning rain has ended with additional showers back toward the eastern WV panhandle.This is the area of showers & perhaps a t-storm or two that will push east toward the metros between 4-8pm. Much cooler Thursday.
Between 0.25-0.75 inches of rain is expected today through early tomorrow morning as a surface low passes through to the south. Any rainfall will help to mitigate severe drought conditions impacting the region. Temperatures will trend cooler over the next week.
ALT A radar loop of the Washington DC/Baltimore area featuring a band of rain showers moving through the area on 4/25/26.
Welcome home Reid, Victor, Christina, and Jeremy! 🫶
The Artemis II astronauts have splashed down at 8:07pm ET (0007 UTC April 11), bringing their historic 10-day mission around the Moon to an end.
Easter Sunday KaneCast:
- Cold front brings rain, which may be heavy at times
- 0.4-0.6" of rain expected (localized higher amounts possible)
- Timing: 9am-3pm
- Temperatures in the 60-70 degree range (turning colder Sunday night)
- Thunder possible 10am-1pm
#MdWx