$RKT feels like one of the more interesting mortgage turnaround setups over the next 12–18 months.
Stock is sitting near the lower end of its 52-week range after getting hit with macro pressure: sticky inflation, rate fears, and the Iran/geopolitical risk-off move.
But the business is improving.
Q1 was strong: revenue beat, AI-driven volume growth, and management said agentic AI is now handling top-of-funnel prospecting that used to take ~2 hours/day per loan officer. They also said AI launches added another ~$1B in monthly volume, on top of the ~$1B added last quarter.
The bigger story:
Rocket is trying to become the AI-powered homeownership platform.
Redfin = demand funnel
Rocket Mortgage = origination engine
Mr. Cooper = servicing refi recapture
AI = lower cost per loan better conversion faster scale
The stock is down because the market is focused on rates/inflation/housing weakness.
But if rates ease and housing activity improves,
$RKT could be a 1 year turnaround story where AI actually matters to margins, not just the narrative.
Not financial advice, but I’m watching this one closely.