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Joined November 2017
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I moved my newsletter, Hard Money Dispatch, to Beehiiv. Subscribe for weekly updates on Bitcoin and markets from a 12-year veteran: brian-nibleys-newsletter.bee…
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The exact supply of Zcash remains unknowable. The Orchard bug can be fixed; the fact that the supply is and always will be unknowable is what makes privacy coins worthless. #Zcash #PrivacyCoins
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Bitcoin's transparent supply is crucial. No privacy? Fair criticism. But Zcash proves transparency lets everyone verify no one cheated the system. Run a node, know the truth. #Bitcoin #Zcash
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Bitcoin's 20 million cap is provable by anyone. Verifiability is the point of sound money. If you can't check the supply, you can't trust the money. #Bitcoin
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Brian D Nibley retweeted
Replying to @DurdenBTC
I get it but like I've said, BTC never had a new ATH before the halving either, and never had such a muted bear market with only 8x from the low. If there's ever a time that low pattern breaks, this would be it. Additionally, falling all the way to ~40k would put BTC at ~30% beneath the 200-week MA, which has never happened before. The 200-week is still holding, and has so far for this entire cycle, aside from a brief wick beneath it last week. It would also be over 40% beneath the last cycle's ATH, which has also never happened before, not even close.
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If you bought Bitcoin at any point before this year and held, you're still up. If you bought at any point before 2024 and held, you're up significantly. Zoom out far enough and the answer is always the same.
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Brian D Nibley retweeted
Replying to @ProofOfMoney
@GaryCardone we are already at the floor of the Power Law trend, it's a 99% r-squared, and we have never been below it. Expect reversion to the mean.
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Brian D Nibley retweeted
BITCOIN JUST BOUNCED OFF ITS 200-WEEK MOVING AVERAGE 👀 Every single touch on Bitcoin's history has produced new all-time highs within 12-24 months 🚀
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Brian D Nibley retweeted
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Zcash's privacy design means investors can't verify its supply integrity. A recent bug exposed this inherent architectural flaw, not a temporary glitch. #Zcash
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Is Bitcoin's transparency a weakness? Privacy coin advocates say yes. But a Zcash case study reveals why that's not entirely accurate. For years, unlimited Zcash could have been printed undetected – a flaw in its design. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Zcash
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Brian D Nibley retweeted
A month ago Bitcoin Commons shipped its public alpha. We haven't slowed down since. 30 updates. Every major platform. Differential testing across the full chain coming next, then Umbrel integration. 100% Bitcoin. 0% Core.
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Brian D Nibley retweeted
Bitcoin in October 2021: $62k. Bitcoin today: $62k. If that makes you feel like you wasted four years, you were never paying attention. The price didn’t move. The world did. Empires printed trillions. Currencies bled out. The cost of everything you need climbed while the thing built to outlast all of it sat still and waited for you. You are being handed the hardest asset humanity has ever created at the same price it traded for at its all time high. Read that again. The market is offering you a four year head start and calling it a discount. The people crying about flat price are measuring the wrong thing. Bitcoin doesn’t owe you a number on a screen. It offers you an exit. A way out of a game rigged to make you poorer the longer you hold the money everyone else uses. This is not a dip. This is a door. The ones who get it are not asking when it goes up. They are asking how much they can take off the table before everyone else remembers what this is. Quietly. Patiently. While the impatient sell their future to feel something today. Five years from now there will be two kinds of people. The ones who saw $62k as a curse, and the ones who saw it as the last open window. Which one are you becoming. bitcoin:native
Bitcoin price Oct 2021: $62k Jun 2026: $62k
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> "if you don't like it, you can write your own alternative Bitcoin implementation" > 10 months, 60-80 hours a week, tens of millions of tokens, and about 5 Bitcoin worth of opportunity cost...
A month ago Bitcoin Commons shipped its public alpha. We haven't slowed down since. 30 updates. Every major platform. Differential testing across the full chain coming next, then Umbrel integration. 100% Bitcoin. 0% Core.
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Brian D Nibley retweeted
Is #bitcoin flashing bear market continuation, or an early bull market reset? Bitcoin has been in a death cross for 204 days, with price briefly breaking below the 200-week SMA (~$61.8K) June 5–6. Notably, sustained breaks below this level have historically coincided with forced selling events (e.g., 2022).
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Thinking about making some ridiculous bear call for BTC like $28k in October just for engagement bait. What do you guys think? Seems to be all the rage right now.
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The 'death spiral' theory for Bitcoin keeps returning, even though it's debunked. It sounds intuitive, but most don't grasp mining mechanics. Fear sells, and 'Bitcoin is dying' gets clicks. #Bitcoin
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