Joined March 2022
195 Photos and videos
Doesn't this look a lot more fun than what we got instead?
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1. Let us generalize Red/Blue in both directions. Arbitrarily many voters: The idea here is to ensure everyone realizes their vote won't decide things. Personally, I find that obvious at 8 billion people already, but others clearly maintain a fantasy here.
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10. Communication in a two-player coordination game equally obviously trivializes it. You say you're going to push Red, and they align with it. Why Red and not Blue? Because Blue, unlike red, could tempt defection and trickery.
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11. The overall case isn't *quite* so strong as to clearly demonstrate Red as the always-choice, but it's close. With anything from two to arbitrarily many players, Red is the clear choice in all but peculiar corner cases, which you will have to evaluate by case.
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JohanL retweeted
imo this riles people up bc it feels like the prisoner's dilemma but is actually the opposite: the more coordination you get to do before the vote, the better red. in an uncoordinated scenario, press blue and start praying. if you can campaign for a year, campaign for red
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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Blue wins in the Twitter poll, but if in the real world, with consequences, I think it's far more likely that a billion families have a talk among themselves, and quietly agree to vote red. The margin was this small even in the West, on Twitter. Globally and real? It's Red.
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You can add an additional layer by iterating the button-press. Everyone pressing Red is stable - no-one will defect from this in later iterations (or after any Red win, really). Meanwhile, there's no reason to think Blue is stable - voting Red at no cost will always be easy.
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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Or another version still: There's a vote, and it's private, but it's sequential with open results. You are by accident the first voter. Now pushing Red or Blue might also establish a trend. I'd be inclined to say this strengthens the case for Red.
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Congratulations Hungary!
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JohanL retweeted
The U.S. should add 3 more states. Because 53 is a prime number. Then they can truly be one nation, indivisible.
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Robin D. Laws, ’The Birds’.
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Concerns about birth-rates have a poor historical record.
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