BTV is a website where fans and baseball experts can find updated trade values and make realistic trade proposals.
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ICYMI, the BTV Offseason Scorecard:
- Number of trades: 83
- Number accepted by our model: 73
- Acceptance rate: 88%
- Average value variance per deal: 3.3
Check out our article for further analysis: baseballtradevalues.com/arti…
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NEW PODCAST EPISODE!
@johnbitzer2 and @jive_mlb break down the latest on MLB's labor negotiations and how the impending lockout could impact the 2026 Trade Deadline:
baseballtradevalues.com/podc…
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It's still unclear what to expect from the 2027 season with regards to a potential work stoppage. This uncertainty might bleed into teams' decisions at the 2026 trade deadline. @johnbitzer2 explores which players may be most affected:
baseballtradevalues.com/arti…
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Since this tweet, Skubal's rehab has gone better than anyone could have expected. He's also now owed less money rest-of-season than he was at the time. As a result, his trade value is back up to $18.3M - and climbing each day that goes by without a setback.
Based on our modeling, Tarik Skubal's surplus trade value has gone from $41.2M to just $1.1M. Because he's unlikely to return before the deadline, the Tigers have lost not only their ace, but also their biggest potential trade chip, should they fall out of contention.
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ICYMI - This week on the BTV Podcast, @johnbitzer2 and @jive_mlb broke down the Patrick Bailey trade, revisited the Kyle Harrison/Caleb Durbin swap, and discussed the ever-changing nature of trade values:
baseballtradevalues.com/podc…
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Today the #WhiteSox acquired OF Junior Perez ($2.6M surplus trade value) from the #Athletics in exchange for LHP Jackson Nove (not yet in system).
The deal is tentatively accepted by our model, pending Nove's addition.
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Today the #Athletics acquired IF Alika Williams ($0.0M surplus trade value) from the #Pirates in exchange for RHP Kyle Robinson ($1.0M).
The deal is accepted by our model.
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Baseball Trade Values retweeted
May 9
pitches caught by Patrick Bailey this year that were out of the zone but called strikes and not challenged
Today the #Guardians acquired C Patrick Bailey ($43.6M surplus trade value) from the #SFGiants in exchange for LHP Matt Wilkinson ($3.0M) and a Competitive Balance Round A Pick ($5.0M).
The deal is rejected by our model as an underpay by Cleveland.
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Today the #Guardians acquired C Patrick Bailey ($43.6M surplus trade value) from the #SFGiants in exchange for LHP Matt Wilkinson ($3.0M) and a Competitive Balance Round A Pick ($5.0M).
The deal is rejected by our model as an underpay by Cleveland.
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Despite his poor offense, the model sees a lot of value in Bailey, a 27-year-old catcher who has averaged more than 3 fWAR per season and has an additional 3 years of cheap team control following 2026. The catcher market is barren, so this seems like a nice deal for Cleveland.
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The Giants need offense and Bailey is off to an abysmal start, with a 16 wRC so far compared to his usual marks in the 70-80 range. They also want to give prospect Jesus Rodriguez an extended look. Still, this feels like selling low on a cold start from Bailey.
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Based on our modeling, Tarik Skubal's surplus trade value has gone from $41.2M to just $1.1M. Because he's unlikely to return before the deadline, the Tigers have lost not only their ace, but also their biggest potential trade chip, should they fall out of contention.
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NEW PODCAST EPISODE!
@johnbitzer2 and @jive_mlb break down what's going wrong for the #RedSox, #Phillies, #Mets and #Astros and what they can do to get on track before the trade deadline:
baseballtradevalues.com/podc…
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The injury-plagued #Astros are off to a rough start and it looks like their window may finally be closing. Should they think about selling? BTV contributor @EthanPechersky breaks down Houston's top trade pieces and what it could look to get in return:
baseballtradevalues.com/arti…
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NEW PODCAST EPISODE!
@johnbitzer2 and @jive_mlb break down the first BTV value update of the 2026 season, who's hot and who's not to start the year, major extensions for young stars and much more:
baseballtradevalues.com/podc…
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