Joined March 2018
- Tweets 5,457
- Following 142
- Followers 2,151
- Likes 2,241
1,401 Photos and videos
Trader: “I’ve simplified my strategy, no macro, no fundamentals, it's all noise"
His chart:
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If intervention, verbal intervention, or even fear of intervention hits, all those JPY shorts (USDJPY longs and such) will have to rush for the same exit
And to close JPY shorts, traders have to buy back JPY
That is how a crowded trend can become fuel for a violent reversal
The chart alone is not the story here
Positioning is!
Jun 14
USDJPY is walking into the same bait again
1. Price is back into Japan’s intervention zone
2. JPY shorts are at record highs
3. And if Japan steps in again, the unwind will get violent
By far one of the best trade opportunities right now!
Full video here:
youtube.com/watch?v=5rUy4ZDV…
(the level matters, but the positioning is what makes the setup even more dangerous, full details in the video)
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Jun 14
Forgot to mention
BoJ meeting this Tuesday
And FOMC meeting on Wednesday
Perfect 24h for an intervention to have maximum impact and scare all those crowded JPY shorts that are ignoring the risks
Jun 14
USDJPY is walking into the same bait again
1. Price is back into Japan’s intervention zone
2. JPY shorts are at record highs
3. And if Japan steps in again, the unwind will get violent
By far one of the best trade opportunities right now!
Full video here:
youtube.com/watch?v=5rUy4ZDV…
(the level matters, but the positioning is what makes the setup even more dangerous, full details in the video)
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1,270
Jun 14
USDJPY is walking into the same bait again
1. Price is back into Japan’s intervention zone
2. JPY shorts are at record highs
3. And if Japan steps in again, the unwind will get violent
By far one of the best trade opportunities right now!
Full video here:
youtube.com/watch?v=5rUy4ZDV…
(the level matters, but the positioning is what makes the setup even more dangerous, full details in the video)
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Jun 11
Remeber
Counterintuitive, but:
Escalation = Bearish GOLD
Deescalation = Bullish GOLD
If finally what Trump is saying is true
We might be close to a bottom in GOLD
Still a big conditional tho!
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Jun 11
The state of the news flow right now
Jun 11
And ground troops back on the table
One day they'll make a movie about this
A comedy movie
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Jun 11
And ground troops back on the table
One day they'll make a movie about this
A comedy movie
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Jun 11
It's funny how a real verified track record ends up getting you more hate than no track record
This industry is backwards
A fake guru gets praised because he sells people fantasy
A verified trader gets heat because he shows people reality
Most people don’t want proof
They want hope
Hope keeps the fantasy alive
Proof kills the excuse
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Jun 10
As long as there's no bottom in rates (to a dovish direction)
There's no bottom in GOLD
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Jun 8
GOLD traders get this backwards right now
A geopolitical headline is not automatically bullish for XAUUSD
The real question is whether that headline pushes rate expectations hawkish or dovish
If markets price higher rates, Treasuries and Dollars become more attractive because they pay yield
GOLD pays NO yield, so the opportunity cost of holding it rises
That is why it can fall while the headlines look bullish
Make sure you understand this right now in the current geopolitical market
Extremely important!
Jun 6
I shouldn't keep giving away all this juice for free
But your engagement is too good, so…
Here’s how you can always know where GOLD is going to trend to, and why
New video here:
youtube.com/watch?v=Jwa58Lah…
(you’ll also find a FREE TradingView macro indicator in the video that you can add to your chart right away)
So if you don't have 19 minutes to watch it now
Bookmark it for later to not miss it
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Jun 8
Believe it or not
There's one single video on YouTube that will teach you more than any paid course out there about fundamental analysis trading
Honestly, I still don’t know why I made this public
Watch it, save it, and bookmark it before I decide to make it private
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Jun 7
The market is leaning heavily one way at the exact level where Japan has an incentive to push back
That makes long USDJPY increasingly vulnerable
Don't be surprised when you see a 500 pip drop across all currencies against the JPY in a matter of hours
Jun 7
No more excuses
Everything is set to hammer USDJPY
See what happened at the past two peaks
June 2007
July 2024
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Jun 7
Hot NFP = FED more incentivized to potentially hike
Higher rates = Bearish GOLD
Jun 6
Most traders have NO idea what goes on behind the chart
92% of trades just watch basic price charts
But the move usually starts somewhere else:
Interest rate expectations!
That’s why GOLD moves before the FED moves
That’s why the Dollar reacts to the economic data
That’s why equities can turn while everyone is still arguing about price action
So I built something for TradingView
Global Rates Expectations
It shows what the market is pricing for the major central banks:
1. Rate cuts
2. Rate hikes.
3. Neutral policy
All in one clean dashboard
Why does this matter?
Because interest rate expectations move everything!
If you trade FX, GOLD, indices or bonds, this gives you a cleaner view of the macro pressure behind the chart
The tool is now live and FREE on TradingView (take a minute to understand how it works and how to set it up to suit you best, link at the bottom of the thread)
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Jun 7
No more excuses
Everything is set to hammer USDJPY
See what happened at the past two peaks
June 2007
July 2024
May 31
I love these trading stats!
And this is why I'm keeping an eye on USDJPY
Historically, within 80 days of intervention, USDJPY has traded at least 10% lower at some point
The first move can be messy
Often USDJPY snaps back
But at some point, within an 80 day timeframe, it always ends up being at least 10% lower after the intervention
And that's creating an opportunity on USDJPY for a potential short at some point because so far (see red line on the chart) it hasn't even started yet
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Jun 6
I shouldn't keep giving away all this juice for free
But your engagement is too good, so…
Here’s how you can always know where GOLD is going to trend to, and why
New video here:
youtube.com/watch?v=Jwa58Lah…
(you’ll also find a FREE TradingView macro indicator in the video that you can add to your chart right away)
So if you don't have 19 minutes to watch it now
Bookmark it for later to not miss it
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Jun 6
Now you can see EXACTLY what went on behind the chart after the NFP with the market nudging higher a potential rate hike from the FED
Which, you should know by now, it's...
Bearish GOLD
Higher rates = Bearish GOLD
Jun 6
Most traders have NO idea what goes on behind the chart
92% of trades just watch basic price charts
But the move usually starts somewhere else:
Interest rate expectations!
That’s why GOLD moves before the FED moves
That’s why the Dollar reacts to the economic data
That’s why equities can turn while everyone is still arguing about price action
So I built something for TradingView
Global Rates Expectations
It shows what the market is pricing for the major central banks:
1. Rate cuts
2. Rate hikes.
3. Neutral policy
All in one clean dashboard
Why does this matter?
Because interest rate expectations move everything!
If you trade FX, GOLD, indices or bonds, this gives you a cleaner view of the macro pressure behind the chart
The tool is now live and FREE on TradingView (take a minute to understand how it works and how to set it up to suit you best, link at the bottom of the thread)
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862
Jun 6
Most traders have NO idea what goes on behind the chart
92% of trades just watch basic price charts
But the move usually starts somewhere else:
Interest rate expectations!
That’s why GOLD moves before the FED moves
That’s why the Dollar reacts to the economic data
That’s why equities can turn while everyone is still arguing about price action
So I built something for TradingView
Global Rates Expectations
It shows what the market is pricing for the major central banks:
1. Rate cuts
2. Rate hikes.
3. Neutral policy
All in one clean dashboard
Why does this matter?
Because interest rate expectations move everything!
If you trade FX, GOLD, indices or bonds, this gives you a cleaner view of the macro pressure behind the chart
The tool is now live and FREE on TradingView (take a minute to understand how it works and how to set it up to suit you best, link at the bottom of the thread)
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Jun 6
This mode basically takes the bigger picture
Instead of only looking at one central bank at a time, it combines the major central banks into one broader global mode with different weights (so the FED is weighted more and so on and so forth)
The question this mode answers is simple:
How global rate expectations are moving?
If the pulse is moving toward expansion, markets are generally pricing easier policy conditions
If the pulse is moving toward contraction, markets are generally pricing tighter policy conditions
Why does this matter?
Well... check how this compares with GOLD for instance:
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Jun 6
Interest rate expectations drive GOLD, they drive the Dollar, they drive crypto they drive… everything
And that's all
You don't need to be an economist to use this
You just need to understand one simple idea:
Markets move on expectations
And interest rate expectations are one of the biggest forces behind global markets
This indicator helps you see those expectations clearly, directly on your chart
And it’s live and FREE on TradingView
tradingview.com/script/onzwh…
(make sure to give it a little boost and add it to your favorites for quick access)
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