Author of Oscarmetrics. I use math to predict and write about award shows. Published in @THR, @NYTimes, @WashingtonPost, and @BostonGlobe. @Harvard '15.
Joined January 2013
- Tweets 9,517
- Following 357
- Followers 17,810
- Likes 2,258
1,473 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
19 Nov 2019
I am proud to announce that I've written a book — and it's available now!
"Oscarmetrics" uses math to answer fascinating questions about the Oscars. Just in time for the holidays and awards season, this book is perfect for movie fans and data fans alike! amazon.com/dp/1629334405
16
28
306
Jun 8
This concludes the @BensOscarMath live-tweet of the Tony Awards. Thanks to @THR for publishing my predictions, @TheTonyAwards for another great show, and to all of you for following along! See you next year!
1
14
686
Jun 8
Final tally for the model:
- Of the 14 categories announced on the main broadcast, the mathematical favorite won 13.
- Of the 26 categories overall, the mathematical favorite won 21.
1
11
933
Jun 8
Schmigadoon is the 11th show to win Best Musical without winning Direction or any acting categories. It's the second in the last 15 years, after A Strange Loop (2022).
4
28
1,434
Jun 8
Ragtime is the first show in #TonyAwards history to win Best Musical Revival, Lead Actor, Lead Actress, and Sound Design.
12
998
Jun 8
Schmigadoon wins Best Musical! It’s the second Best Musical to be based on or primarily inspired by a television show, after Avenue Q (2004).
1
8
766
Jun 8
Schmigadoon is the Best Musical of 2026! Three nominees sat in double digits, but the math pegged this final category correctly.
16
1,459
Jun 8
Cats: The Jellicle Ball joins Hamilton (2016) and Moulin Rouge (2020) as the only shows to win Musical Direction, Costume Design, and Choreographer.
1
6
549
Jun 8
Ragtime is the third musical this century to win both leading acting categories, after Hairspray (2003) and The Band’s Visit (2018).
1
8
692
Jun 8
Joshua Henry (Ragtime) wins Best Actor in a Musical! He joins Jonathan Groff and Michael Cerveris as the only people with a win on 3 nominations in this category since 2000.
9
824
Jun 8
Joshua Henry (Ragtime) wins Best Actor in a Musical. Statistics now stands at 80% on the evening, at 20/25.
8
781
Jun 8
This is the first time in #TonyAwards history that four different musicals (Schmigadoon, The Lost Boys, Cats: The Jellicle Ball, Ragtime) each won three or more Tonys.
4
29
2,408
Jun 8
Caissie Levy (Ragtime) wins Best Actress in a Musical, for her role as Mother. It’s the third time this role has been nominated (Marin Mazzie, Christiane Noll), and the first win. Charity from Sweet Charity is now the only character with 3 nominations in this category but no wins.
1
7
704
Jun 8
Caissie Levy (Ragtime) wins Leading Actress in a Musical. Current tally for the model: 19 favorites have won out of 24 categories. Two to go!
5
788
Jun 8
A Chorus Line (1976) won 9 Tonys, which at the time was the third-most ever, behind Hello Dolly (1964) with 11 and Fiddler on the Roof (1965) with 10.
8
676
Jun 8
The Book of Mormon is currently the 4th longest-running active Broadway show, behind Chicago, The Lion King, and Wicked.
1
7
644
Jun 8
Death of a Salesman won 6 Tonys tonight, setting a new record for the most Tonys won by a play revival. The previous record was 4, shared by An Inspector Calls (1994), The Heiress (1995), A Doll’s House (1997), and Death of a Salesman (1999). #TonyAwards
6
18
1,424
Jun 8
Death of a Salesman wins Best Revival of a Play! It’s the 4th revival of Death of a Salesman to win this award. No other show – play or musical – has won Best Revival more than twice.
4
13
684
Jun 8
Death of a Salesman wins Best Revival of a Play. That's the final play category: Math goes 10/11 in those races!
1
9
1,055
Jun 8
The Lost Boys is the second show – and first musical – in Tonys history to have at least a dozen nominations but no lead acting nominations. The first was Stereophonic (2024).
1
9
1,153
Jun 8
Alden Ehrenreich (Becky Shaw) wins Best Featured Actor in a Play! It’s the first time this century that a show has won this Tony with fewer than three total nominations. The last to do it was Side Man (1999), which won for Frank Wood.
1
10
920