Hit a deer on the way home tonight. Got out the car and was dragging it off the road when a car full of vegans started accosting me for laughing. Sorry but one of them was tearful and didn't appreciate me pointing out the fact it was legal for them to take it home. Anyway I apologised to the deer and was thankful it had died. I didn't have to finish him/her off (with a brick) thankfully. Would've made a tasty Sunday dinner but I have to abide by the law and let it rot ..

With markets around the world in turmoil and manipulator in chief you know where I wouldn't be a buyer here or anywhere else- not financial advice

Today could be the day (Bold statement for a Friday AI mania) break below EMA 9 1668- fib 1671 and we are on target. Strong competition from China and others may break the parabola...🤔 SNDK

SNDK-Monthly 1M This is the textbook "3 parabolic drives" (or "parabolic blow-off top / 3-leg exhaustion") Three massive accelerating legs up since the late-2024/early-2025 base break: Leg 1: Initial strong breakout from the multi-year flatline near zero. Leg 2: Continuation surge with bigger green monthly candles. Leg 3: The near-vertical climax candle(s) into June 2026, pushing price to ~$1,761. This is classic parabolic curvature — each leg steeper than the last, screaming late-stage euphoria (fueled by the AI/NAND memory boom post-spin-off from Western Digital).Monthly RSI (14) at 99.01 — this is one of the single most extreme overbought readings you will ever see on a monthly timeframe. Normal “overbought” is 70; 80–90 is already rare historical territory. 99 is basically “statistical anomaly” level. Assets rarely sustain this without some form of violent mean reversion. Odds of a pullback? Extremely high — I’d put it at ~85–90% for at least a meaningful correction (25–40% off the highs) over the next 1–6 months. Why so confident? Monthly RSI this stretched has almost no historical precedent for “just keep going higher.” Mean reversion is the rule, not the exception. The vertical nature of Leg 3 creates classic exhaustion: momentum has gone parabolic, volume likely spiked, and the move has become unsustainable. Similar monthly parabolic setups in momentum names (tech/memory/AI plays especially) have repeatedly corrected sharply once the third drive completes — think 30–70% retraces in many cases, even when the fundamental story stays strong. Key levels to watch on this chart:Immediate support: previous monthly swing highs around the $1,000–$1,200 zone (end of Leg 2 area). Deeper Fib retracement targets: 38.2% (~$1,100) or 50% (~$880) would be very normal after this kind of run. A break below the parabolic trendline or the body of the last big green candle would confirm the reversal. Bottom line: This is the kind of setup traders circle as a high-probability “fade the euphoria” candidate. Fundamentals (AI memory demand) can keep the long-term story alive, but the monthly chart is flashing every exhaustion warning light possible.Not financial advice —

One thing Ive noticed with AI (@grok I'm going to let you respond to this a acusation, if you want? you're not under my obligation to respond if you don't want to) It's really good a plagiarism or to be more accurate. It's good a copying knowledge that's already out there. It can't think for itself in my opinion. example 1. I'm coding websites and when I ask the ai to do something different. Something that's not been done before (to my knowledge) it loses it's shit completely. I end up with nothing. It literally starts deleting other parts of my work. Not sure if it's a revenge attack and am not sure if its baby behaviour. I mean like throwing it's toys out the pram having a hissy fit. example 2. Im using AI to trade BTC. It's good at coding bots that have already being used but have covered this in example 1. AI can never make an informed personalised assessment of the market. AI always comes back with decisions that it didn't decide for itself. Essentially it runs with market sentiment. It can't make an informed decision for itself it always decides on most talked about favourite outcome. It's not intelligent enough to make an informed judgment for itself. These things might improve in time but IMO where not there yet.

Here is a true breakdown of what's going on in the strait of Hormuz. Data includes a tanker traffic summary and details about their flags. Iran’s Foreign Minister announced on April 17 that the strait is “completely open” for all commercial vessels during the current Lebanon ceasefire, with ships required to follow Iran-coordinated routes (e.g., near Iranian islands like Larak and Hormuz). President Trump welcomed this, but the U.S. naval blockade on Iranian ports/ships continues, war-risk insurance is still extremely high (and reviewed frequently), and shipping companies remain cautious. As a result, it is not fully open or risk-free for normal international traffic! Tanker Traffic Summary (as of April 18, 2026) Normal pre-crisis levels (2025/early 2026): ~60–140 ships per day total (~95–138 average), with 50–60% being tankers/oil-product carriers. This meant dozens of tankers daily, transporting ~20 million barrels of oil and LNG daily (about 20–21% of global supply). Since the conflict began (Feb 28, 2026–April 12): Only 279 ships total transited the strait (a >95% drop). Of these, tanker traffic was a small fraction; 22 ships (including some tankers) were attacked. Only ~45 ships passed after the April 8 ceasfire. Recent/post-ceasefire (April 8–17): Extremely low — often 3–11 ships per 24 hours total (4–10% of normal). Very few tankers. On April 17 (the day Iran declared it open), only a handful crossed: no major oil tankers exited the Persian Gulf; one bitumen/asphalt tanker and five cargo ships headed out; a cruise ship also transited. Some groups of ~20 vessels (including VLCCs and tankers) were seen approaching but actual completed transits stayed minimal. Last 24 hours (as of April 18): Around 6 ships total (~4–5% of normal), with very few (if any) full oil tankers. Live trackers show ~500K DWT throughput vs. normal ~10M DWT daily. Traffic is expected to take weeks (or longer) to normalize due to insurance, scheduling, and geopolitical risks. What Did the Tankers Contain? (Recent Examples) Most recent transits involved crude oil (often Iraqi Basra, Saudi, UAE, or Iranian origin), petroleum products, chemicals, fuel oil, or LPG. Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) can carry ~2 million barrels each. Examples of recent/reported tankers: VLCCs like RHN (also called Hong Lu/Dimitra II), Alicia, Agios Fanourios I — heading to/in Gulf, often to load crude (e.g., Iraq) or carrying crude/products. Race — exited to India (crude/products). Rich Starry, Elpis, Peace Gulf — oil/chemical tankers or medium-range, some sanctioned/Iran-linked. Others (e.g., Serifos, Cospearl Lake, He Rong Hai) — Saudi/UAE/Iraqi crude to Asia (Malaysia, China, Myanmar). Some were Iran-linked/sanctioned vessels carrying Iranian crude despite restrictions. What Flags Were They Flying? A mix of flags of convenience (common for tankers) and some national/sanctioned flags. Recent examples include: Panama (e.g., Peace Gulf) Liberia (e.g., Serifos VLCC) Malta (e.g., Agios Fanourios I) Curacao (e.g., RHN — Chinese-owned) Pakistan, Russian, Chinese (or China-linked/owned) Iran-linked or U.S.-sanctioned vessels (sometimes re-flagged or ghost fleet) Many were not “standard” international commercial tankers but limited/sanctioned ones operating under special Iranian permissions or evading full blockade. Bottom line: The strait is “open” on paper since yesterday, but real-world tanker traffic is still tiny and risky. Normal volumes (dozens of tankers daily carrying crude oil under international flags) have not resumed and likely won’t for weeks. Data comes from trackers like Kpler, LSEG, MarineTraffic, and Reuters reports. The situation is fluid — check live maritime trackers for the absolute latest!