🚨🚨🚨 BIG NEWS!!🚨🚨🚨
MODEL UPDATE!!!
Folks,
I’ve spent the past month doing an extensive update of the league translations, incorporating a more extensive methodology that is more adaptable on a YoY basis. It now uses a moving yearly average, prior translations were era based (1990s, 2000s, 2010s etc.) As a result, the model has gone through its biggest update since Hockey Prospecting was first launched in 2020.
Certain leagues like the J20 (Sweden), QMJHL and US National Development Program are stronger than their original translations in the model. Leagues like the WHL, OHL and KHL are starting to decline in strength. Approx. 80% to 90% of the players saw no or a very negligible change to their profile, but you’ll notice some players have moved a bit in terms of their equivalencies and probabilities.
I’ve noticed a few relatively recent draftees that have already established themselves as stars look more favorable at the time of the draft now (Sanderson, Stutzle, Zegras, Caufield, W. Nylander and L. Hutson to name a few). FWIW, to provide a bit of context, the model is trained off of 1990 to 2015 draft data to 'predict the next ones.'
The models updates are now live in HP so hop in there and see the changes and let me know what you think!