Preliminary results from yesterday's special election in SD 36 and AD 32 are out, showing that Stan Ellis (R) won his race outright with 64% of the vote in AD 32, while SD 36 candidate, Tony Strickland (R) received 51.1% of the vote. (1/3)

With an estimated 16,000 votes remaining to be counted in SD 36, this race is too close to call. In today's Hot Sheet, we cover the first round of results, the current margin between candidates, and the outlook for an April 29 runoff in SD 36. (2/3)

Mike Murphy (R), has formed a committee to challenge incumbent, Esmeralda Soria (D) for the AD 27 seat in 2026. This Central Valley seat is a red-trending majority-Latino VRA district that flipped from one that Biden carried to one that Trump carried in 2024.

The Target Book has added a new page to our website to view 2008-2024 Topline results and compare district-by-district. Subscribers can view statewide office or proposition results, and 'swing' tables on several offices. Read today's Hot Sheet for more on these new features.

Statement on the Southern California Wildfires As we continue to monitor the devastating fires throughout the Los Angeles area, our hearts are with the people of Southern California. Thank you to the first responders as they continue to work tirelessly against the raging fires.

Research Director Rob Pyers covers closely watched races including the race between Laura Richardson (D) and Michelle Chambers (D) in SD 35, Leticia Castillo (R) and Clarissa Cervantes (D) in AD 58, and John Duarte (R) and Adam Gray (D) in CD 13 in today’s Hot Sheet.