🇲🇨 Head of Discretionary Management and Research at LIOR GP | PhD | Bloomberg 🇺🇸 🇪🇺 🇨🇳 "Top Forecaster" for several years | RT ≠ endorsement

Joined March 2012
16,746 Photos and videos
⚠ Bloomberg Top Forecasters Q4 2025 ⚠ ➡ I ended the year ranked as Bloomberg’s: 🏆 Top Forecaster of the 🇺🇸 Economy (13th time in 14 years) 🏆 Top Forecaster of the 🇪🇺 Economy (8th time in 11 years) 🏆 Top Forecaster of the 🇨🇳 Economy (6th time in 9 years)
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🌎 #Weekahead | Fed and BOE Stay Guarded After 100 Days of Iran War - Bloomberg bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Trump Says He’ll Sign Deal With Iran to Reopen Hormuz Sunday - Bloomberg bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 retweeted
Where the hidden AI liabilities are: $1.8TN in off balance sheet operating leverage ($1TN in purchase commitments and $0.8TN in lease commitments): obligations hidden in space $520BN in deferred earnings masking earnings hit from spending happening now: costs hidden in time
The $1.8 Trillion Off-Balance Sheet Time Bomb At The Heart Of The AI Supercycle zerohedge.com/markets/18-tri…
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Christophe Barraud🛢🐳 retweeted
How fast is AI debt rising? In Q3 '25 total hyperscaler IG leverage was 0.9x. 6 months later it is 1.8x, bigger than all of Energy. It is rising at more than 0.3x turns per quarter (and that excludes SPVs). In one year, hyperscalers will have the highest leverage ex utilities
$236 BN in AI investment grade debt has been issued YTD, 357% increase YoY
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🇺🇸 The market's view on the U.S. dollar has shifted dramatically ⚠ According to the latest CFTC positioning data compiled by Bloomberg, hedge funds, asset managers, and other speculators have accumulated approximately $27.8 billion in bullish U.S. dollar positions — the highest level since February 2025. ➡ What's driving the move? • Rising geopolitical tensions have reinforced the dollar's safe-haven appeal • Stronger U.S. economic data continues to support the currency • Investors are positioning for a potentially prolonged period of dollar strength ➡ While narratives around de-dollarization continue to make headlines, capital flows tell a different story: when uncertainty rises, global investors still turn to the U.S. dollar. ➡ The key question for investors now is whether this positioning marks the beginning of a sustained dollar uptrend or a crowded trade vulnerable to reversal. 🚨 What is your outlook for the USD in the second half of 2026? *Bloomberg link: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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🇩🇪 #Germany to Grow in 2026 as Spending Offsets War, Bundesbank Says - Bloomberg bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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🌎 Charting the Global Economy: War Pushes Up Prices, Dents Growth - Bloomberg bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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🇺🇸 *UMICH PRELIM JUNE CONSUMER SENTIMENT RISES TO 48.9; EST. 46 - BBG *UMICH 1-YR INFLATION EXPECTATIONS FALL TO 4.6% VS 4.8% *MICHIGAN 5-10 YR INFLATION EXPECTATIONS FALL TO 3.4%; EST. 3.8%
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🇺🇸 US Consumer Sentiment Picks Up on Easing Gasoline Prices - Bloomberg bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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