Joined November 2025
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Jun 12
[1/6] $SPCX is live🚀
IPO price: $135
Opening price: $150
Day high: $176.52
Current: ~$169
Market cap: $2.05 trillion
Now the 8th largest company in the US
Already past Tesla, Meta, and Broadcom
Here's what it means and what comes next👇
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Jun 12
[5/6] Until June 16, $TSLA options are the play.
TSLA is the closest listed proxy to $SPCX right now.
$SPCX just surpassed Tesla in market cap.
Merger speculation is back in focus.
Every major $SPCX move will pull $TSLA.
$TSLA options are liquid.
IV is far lower than $SPCX will be on June 16.
Bid-ask spreads are tight.
Two plays right now:
If you think $SPCX keeps running:
$TSLA call spread.
Defined upside. Limited premium at risk.
If you think $SPCX pulls back:
$TSLA put spread.
Protective put if you hold $TSLA spot.
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Jun 12
[6/6] $SPCX events to watch from here.
June 13: MSCI inclusion begins.
Next trading day. Index funds start mandatory buying.
June 16: $SPCX options expected to list.
High IV. Wide spreads.
Wait for it to settle before buying.
July 7: Nasdaq-100 eligibility.
Every $QQQ tracker forced to buy $SPCX.
Second structural demand wave.
August: Staggered lockup expires.
Insiders can start selling.
The event most people will miss.
November: First public earnings.
The only real test of whether $172 makes any sense at all.
Day one is done.
The real game just started.
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Jun 12
$SPCX goes live in under 100 minutes⏰
$TSLA options are already moving.
Check live prices and options before the bell:
👉 xpacex.trade/
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Jun 11
[1/6] Tomorrow, $SPCX starts trading
For weeks we tracked every signal
On-chain prices. Options flow
Derivatives positioning. Structural risks.
Tomorrow we find out what it all meant
Here's what to watch when the bell rings👇
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Jun 11
[5/6] What to watch when it opens tomorrow
First: Where does it open vs $135?
Above $135: on-chain market was right.
Sentiment is still bullish.
Below $135: unprecedented for this size.
Signals something broke in the hype cycle.
Second: $TSLA reaction.
Does the -4.2% historical pattern hold?
Or does the merger narrative flip it positive?
Third: $SPCX options pricing.
The moment trading starts, IV begins collapsing.
Watch what happens to premiums in the first 30 minutes.
Fourth: Volume in the first hour.
High volume price holding = strength.
High volume price dropping = distribution.
🔗TradingKey
tradingkey.com/analysis/stoc…
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Jun 11
[6/6] Tomorrow is just the beginning.
$SPCX opens tomorrow morning.
But the real story doesn't end there.
June 13: MSCI inclusion begins.
Mandatory institutional buying starts.
July 7: Nasdaq-100 eligibility.
ETF buying wave hits.
August: Staggered lockup expires.
Insiders can start selling.
November: First public earnings.
The only real test of whether
$135 was ever the right price.
We'll be tracking all of it.
Live $SPCX and $TSLA prices:
🔗xpacex.trade
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Jun 9
[5/6] So who's actually doing this?
BNP Paribas said it plainly this week.
"SpaceX IPO will be a massive selling event triggering big price dislocations as investors dump shares to buy $SPCX."
The accounts building these positions are not retail traders.
Retail is asking "how do I get an allocation."
The accounts selling $SPCX perps at $156,
selling covered calls on $SATS,
and quietly buying $TSLA puts,
these are people who've seen this before.
They've read the lockup structure.
They know insiders can sell in August.
They know IV crush hits days 3 to 5.
They're not betting against SpaceX.
They're betting on the mechanics.
🔗Yahoo Finance
finance.yahoo.com/markets/st…
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Jun 9
[6/6] 3 days left. Here's what to watch.
On-chain $SPCX price.
Does it converge to $135 before Friday?
Or does it stay above $156?
$SATS options flow.
Are calls still being sold?
Or does the positioning shift?
$TSLA put/call ratio.
Does skew keep steepening?
Or does it flatten as the event gets priced in?
The derivatives markets have been
the most accurate signal throughout this whole process.
3 days until June 12.
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Jun 8
[1/5] Everyone is debating whether to buy $SPCX
Most people are focused on the IPO
Far fewer are focused on IV crush
It's the biggest risk in the options market right now. Most retail traders have no idea it's coming.
Here's what it is and why it matters before June 12👇
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Jun 8
[4/5] BNP Paribas put out a warning this week
Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity derivative strategy at BNP Paribas:
"SpaceX IPO will be a massive selling event triggering big price dislocations across the stock market as investors dump shares to buy $SPCX."
What makes this different from other IPOs:
SpaceX volatility is coupled with the largest market cap ever seen in a U.S. IPO. No precedent for this.
There are also three volatility events here, not one.
June 12: IPO day.
Maximum hype. IV at its peak.
Most expensive options.
Days 3-5: IV crush.
Premiums drop hard.
Direction right. Money still lost.
August: Staggered lockup expires.
Other insiders can start selling.
Most traders will miss this one entirely.
Everyone is watching June 12.
The second and third events are where the real setups will be.
🔗Yahoo Finance
finance.yahoo.com/markets/st…
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Jun 8
[5/5] How to actually think about this
Buying $SPCX calls on IPO day means buying when IV is at its most expensive.
Some traders may prefer using $TSLA as a proxy for the event.
Others may wait for post-IPO volatility to settle before looking at $SPCX.
After the IV crush settles:
$SPCX options get cheaper.
That's when real positioning starts.
August: Watch the lockup.
Insiders selling into a post-crush market
is the setup most people will miss.
Three events. Three different strategies.
June 12 is just the beginning.
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