APAC senior economist at @IndeedAU. Former RBA economist and economic journalist. Sports lover, avid reader and pretty opinionated. Active: #ausbiz #auspol

Joined March 2013
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6.5% of Australian workers have multiple jobs. That figure has been elevated for the past five years, reflecting the impact of the pandemic and the cost-of-living crisis #ausbiz
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Higher rates of remote work made working multiple jobs easier, while the cost-of-living crisis forced people to earn more.
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2.1% of Australian jobs are vacant nationwide. While that number has declined from a peak of 3.1% back in 2022, it remains well above the average vacancy rate from 2010 to 2019 (1.4%) #ausbiz
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Private business investment rose 6% in the March quarter, accounting for 12.6% of real GDP. That's the highest share since September 2015 #ausbiz
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Admittedly, a lot of that growth had to do with data centres, so the contribution to GDP wasn't that large since we import those materials.
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Real GDP per capita fell by 0.1% in the March quarter and is just 1% higher than a year ago #ausbiz #auspol
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What drove Aussie GDP growth in the March quarter? Both consumption and investment were pretty good, but that was offset by a decline in exports and strong growth in imports. That left real GDP growth at 0.3% in the March quarter and 2.5% over the past year #ausbiz #auspol
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Australia's wage price index rose 3.3% over the past year, compared to consumer prices climbing 4%. So unless you've received a promotion or changed jobs recently - and I certainly haven't - then there's a good chance your salary buys a lot less than it used to #auspol
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Callam Pickering retweeted
Another sign that the graduate market is generally healthy is low job search volumes. It’s a sign that friction in the grad market remains relatively low. Grads continue to find jobs quickly, requiring fewer job searches than in the years before the post-pandemic job boom.
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Callam Pickering retweeted
A lot of speculation recently that AI is impacting demand for graduates leaving school. In Australia, we aren't seeing that in the data. Yes, graduate demand in occupations with high-exposure to AI have slipped, but the timing was too early to be driven by AI #auspol
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Another sign that the graduate market is generally healthy is low job search volumes. It’s a sign that friction in the grad market remains relatively low. Grads continue to find jobs quickly, requiring fewer job searches than in the years before the post-pandemic job boom.
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We aren't seeing any distress among graduate jobseekers. If the graduate market was generally weak, we'd see a surge in jobseeker searches as graduates search and fail to find work. There's no sign of that right now.
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A lot of speculation recently that AI is impacting demand for graduates leaving school. In Australia, we aren't seeing that in the data. Yes, graduate demand in occupations with high-exposure to AI have slipped, but the timing was too early to be driven by AI #auspol
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At best, you could claim that AI may have contributed to the high-exposure share moving from 41% in 2024 to 36% last year. But in early 2026 - that share has climbed slightly to 37%.
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If AI was the main contributing factor, then I'd expect a bigger move this year. The tools are more widely implemented, more sophisticated and capable. But we aren't really seeing that. IMO earlier overhiring, persistent economic weakness are more likely drivers than AI.
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Employer demand for graduates has slipped in recent years, but remains well above pre-pandemic levels. Early signs in 2026 is that demand has stabilised, maybe even slightly improved on last year #ausbiz See more: hiringlab.org/au/blog/2026/0…
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Callam Pickering retweeted
The RBA is forecasting much slower economic growth, higher inflation and higher interest rates ... ... an yet, they expect the unemployment rate be unchanged over the course of the year. Good luck with that #ausbiz #auspol
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Callam Pickering retweeted
Rising fuel prices don't just hit consumers directly, but also indirectly as an input into other goods & services. Indirectly, fuel accounts for around 2-2.5% of the domestic cost of other goods & services in the CPI. Although in travel it's naturally much higher #ausbiz
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Callam Pickering retweeted
Australian productivity growth is expected to remain dismal, with the RBA downgrading its productivity forecasts yet again #ausbiz #auspol
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