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Joined October 2017
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17 Sep 2025
📌 Pinned 📌
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Liberals are slowly coming down in Ontario from their recent high, sitting at 47%
Conservatives remain roughly the same at 36%
NDP is up slightly to 12%
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 208 ( 39)
🔵 CPC: 97 (-47)
⚜️ BQ: 22 (-)
🟠 NDP: 14 ( 7)
🟢 GPC: 2 ( 1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- June 13, 2026 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…
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It's going to be very funny when October rolls around, y'all get, at most 30%, and then y'all will never shut the fuck up about this
ALBERTA PATRIOTS WILL NOT BE CELEBRATING A FOREIGN HOLIDAY IN 2026!
Have fun with friends and family. Decorate Alberta in Alberta Blue!
Celebrate the prosperous future of our new nation!
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Alberta polling has the Conservatives at an even 50%, while the Liberals are up to 33%
The NDP is up slightly to 12%
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 208 ( 39)
🔵 CPC: 97 (-47)
⚜️ BQ: 22 (-)
🟠 NDP: 14 ( 7)
🟢 GPC: 2 ( 1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- June 13, 2026 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…
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Mark Carney Approval Polling:
Approve: 66%
Disapprove: 34%
Spark Insights / June 12, 2026
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More than half of Canadians (nearly 60%!) support expanding trade to China
Read it here: canadianpolling.com/p/nearly…
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Isn't it so great that my generation got screwed by the boomers on this one :')
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Here's every likely NDP pick up on this poll
Works out to 20 seats
Jun 13
Well that's one unique Toronto based off the Angus Reid sub-samples
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In British Columbia, the Liberals sit at 42%, while the Conservatives stay at 33%
NDP is up to 17%
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 208 ( 39)
🔵 CPC: 97 (-47)
⚜️ BQ: 22 (-)
🟠 NDP: 14 ( 7)
🟢 GPC: 2 ( 1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- June 13, 2026 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…
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Polling Canada Federal Model Update:
🔴 LPC: 208 ( 39)
🔵 CPC: 97 (-47)
⚜️ BQ: 22 (-)
🟠 NDP: 14 ( 7)
🟢 GPC: 2 ( 1)
(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)
- June 13, 2026 -
Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadi…
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31,224
Jun 13
Well that's one unique Toronto based off the Angus Reid sub-samples
Jun 12
(Models Available For Subscribers)
Federal Polling:
LPC: 41% (-3)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 12% ( 6)
BQ: 7% ( 1)
GPC: 3% ( 2)
Others: 1%
Angus Reid / June 10, 2026 / n=3786 / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
Visit @338Canada for polling details: 338canada.com
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Jun 12
How does Carney and Poilievre compared when it comes to handling tariffs implemented by Trump?
Carney is at 28%, Poilievre is at -6%
Read it here: canadianpolling.com/p/nearly…
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Jun 12
TRUE
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Jun 12
Gonna dumb it down for yall
Social media ban for minors means age verification for everyone
Big fat fucking no
Could PM Carney’s social media ban be derailed by Trump and big tech? ctvnews.ca/politics/article/…
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Jun 12
Fun fact, in the weekly model updates, not one time has the Conservatives been above their 2025 finish of 144 seats
The Liberals have been below their finish of 169, though!
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Jun 12
Closest they got was May 31 and December 22 at 140 seats each
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Jun 12
"Canada is currently on the..."
Wrong Track: 46%
Right Track: 31%
Unsure: 23%
Angus Reid / June 10, 2026
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