Weather forecaster: NW England | Site Investigator: @TorroUK | Weekly Blog @ oldhamweather.blog/ 📰 @OldhamChronicle 🗣️@OldhamCR#oafc forecasts

Joined August 2012
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This will send the 1976 brigade into meltdown. Note: the mean temperature includes nighttime temperatures and this year the nights were particularly warm. #WarmestSummerEver
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Not here, not yet anyway (unless you live in the SE). Horrendous in France/Spain though. Not a fan of the words "heat dome" either. 🙄🔥
Replying to @ChadWeather
@ChadWeather what’s all this about a heat dome and warming up again next week? Getting hot again?
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Oldham Weather retweeted
Increasing Risk of Dangerous, widespread and prolonged heat building over France, parts of Iberia, and spreading NE into Central Europe over the coming week which over France may last into the following week with temperatures approaching or exceeding 40C for a significant period of time. A large ridge of high pressure is going to develop through the Tropopsphere , there will be both the strong advection of air from the south at 850mb but also there will be strong descent through the troposphere this under the ridge. The Ridge essentially maintained by two right exit regions of an Atlantic Jet and a NW Jet diving down into Russia The Trajectory on the right, shows where the air will originate from at 500m on Friday at Bordeaux and takes it back to today. You can see it orignates in the Mid Atlantic, but the key is it is at well over 3000m nearly 4000m up - that is 13,000ft up. This shows the air is sinking (descent) and thus warming. The Sun is at its peak height in the Northern Hemisphere and Daylight is shortest. Its going to get very hot in this type of scenario. The GFS Operational run shows 38-40C by Friday in the SW , W and Central France which has the potential to last well over the weekend and throughout the following week. The other chart is the following Thursday, that is a week of temperatures around or exceeding 40C . That is a long time of dangerous levels of heat. The GFS is a Global Model and will generally not pick up the local extreme temperatures. This could be a very significant heatwave and should now be monitored closely over the next few days. This links to my other post which discusses the dry and anticyclonic theme likely the w/c 22nd June, with some runs of MOGREPS and GFS Suggesting temperatures into the 30s across Esp. Southern Parts of England by that time. ** This is a longer range discussion and doesn't represent a specific forecast ** but it important to flag it.
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Decent Sunday afternoon.
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MONDAY Some hazy bright spells, with the risk of a shower throughout the day as a weak weather-front moves NE. Feeling warm enough and muggy into the afternoon. Mild overnight. Max 20°C Min 12°C
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We're in some warmer air today so temperatures are not too bad. Shame about the cloud cover, quite extensive. Some sunny spells here and there and the chance of a shower later.
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#Heatwave coming to Europe. Parts of SE England could well see temperatures later this week close to 30°C. For now, it won't reach up here but one to watch 👀. Image: @GJauseau
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Raining. But won't last long.
Replying to @MsLauraTeeee
Aye should have been further north. Hopefully dry for Publife this afternoon 🎵🍺😎. Chance of a shower 7-8pm. 🙄 Would have preferred 20°C and ☀️.
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A windy one at times today, especially after this morning's rain moves on. Expecting 30-35mph for a time this morning, strongest out west, but easing a little later towards the evening.
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REST OF SATURDAY Rain that's currently over the region (below) will move away to the SE soon. After that, mostly cloudy skies, a brisk wind, some brightness, esp. out W. Dry for most but we still have the risk of a fleeting shower throughout. Max 16°C Min 10°C Max Gusts 25mph
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Organised streamer of showers this morning, heavy too, moving SE over the next couple of hours. Bit further south than forecast. 🙄
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The Met Office video forecast had them further north. Let's hope they become confined to the NE as planned as we head through the afternoon.
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Oldham Weather retweeted
SATURDAY Bright spells, mostly later on, but a cool breeze. Pleasant in any sunshine and sheltered from the wind. Just the chance of an isolated fleeting shower into the afternoon. especially in the northern half of the region. Max 17°C Min 9°C Max Gusts 25mph
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Oldham Weather retweeted
SUNDAY Mostly cloudy with some bright spells. Small chance of a shower. Winds much lighter so not feeling as fresh and temperatures up a notch. Max 19°C Min 10°C
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Oldham Weather retweeted
Replying to @ChadWeather
Had a wonderful afternoon watching the cricket at Blackpool -Not a cloud on the sky
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Oldham Weather retweeted
For those off to the Publife Festival tomorrow, I'm hoping the risk of afternoon light rain/showers eases away or at least stays away to our north 🤞. After that it should be a dry and bright evening but breezy. 👍🍻🎶
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Rain ➡️ Cloud ➡️ Wind ➡️ Sun. The washing line is open.......
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Wind picking up now. A sign the rain is going.
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The sun has arrived along the Flyde coast. It's a start.
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