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Charlie Cook @CharlieCookDC

Non-partisan political analyst. Founder and Contributor to The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, political analyst and columnist for National Journal.

Joined July 2014
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Besides Ohio, look at this new Texas poll. When a Republican President, and a Republican Vice President, a GOP Texas Governor and both Republican Senators are all underwater in favorability in an independent poll, something is going on. reconmr.com/wp-content/uploa…

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Midterm elections are almost always bad for a President’s party. But how bad? Is a just-released Fox News poll in Ohio a dead canary in the coal mine? A state that Trump won by eight pts twice (2016 & 2020) and 11 points in 2024 should not look like this charliecookpolitics.com/p/oh…

Ohio poll could portend trouble for Republicans

Head-to-head matchups and favorability ratings are all trending in the wrong direction for the GOP.

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My latest column: charliecookpolitics.com/p/wh…

Where are the Republicans who might vote for a Democrat?

A big win for Democrats will require GOP defections. And those are likely to be in short supply.

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My latest column: charliecookpolitics.com/p/un…

Underneath the weirdness, this midterm is playing to type

Don't fall for talk of vibes and waves.

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Here’s my latest Substack column: charliecookpolitics.com/p/ha…

Have Republicans already bottomed out?

Given how many voters are locked into partisan lanes, there may not be that many more votes for the GOP to lose.

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My latest column, why Presidential landslide wins are healthy, and why we haven’t had one since Reagan’s big win over Mondale in 1984. Over last 25 elections (100 years) 10 of the 1st 15 were wins of 10 pts or more. Starting in 1988, none have been. Why? charliecookpolitics.com/p/wh…

Why American politics could benefit from a landslide

Because the parties are so fully sorted and evenly divided, voters rarely give them an unambiguous message about what they want. So they get gridlock instead.

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My latest column on Substack: charliecookpolitics.com/p/pa…

Party defections are mostly a thing of the past

Federal candidates can typically rely on 90 percent support from their party's base.

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My latest column on “Charlie Cook Politics” Substack, charliecookpolitics.com/p/wh…

Why you shouldn't overread the drop in Trump's approvals

He's lost about all the support he can lose without shedding his core Republican supporters—and that's unlikely.

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Changes are a coming! Here is my latest column on my “Charlie Cook Politics” (free) Substack . charliecookpolitics.com/p/ag…

Age comes for us all—even politicians

The next five years will bring jarring generational change.

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My latest column charliecookpolitics.com/p/a-…

A question for Maine Democrats: Do you feel lucky?

Senate contender Graham Platner is about as untested as a candidate can be in such a key race.

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charliecookpolitics.com/p/he…

Heads or hearts this year? Voters will begin to tell us next month

It's not just Republicans versus Democrats. It's pragmatism versus principle.

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My new column. charliecookpolitics.com/p/st…

Statewide officeholders find themselves in primary peril this year

Two senators and two governors could lose renomination.

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Here is my latest Substack also available on Charlie Cook Politics. charliecookpolitics.com/p/do…

Don't overestimate Venezuela's impact on the midterms

Yes, the mission was impressive. The aftermath is fraught with challenges. And neither will matter much nine months from now.

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Here is a link to a new podcast I did with my friend of well over 40 years, John Ashford. His public affairs firm, The Hawthorn Group has just launched this podcast, “Across the Aisle” and I was honored to be asked to be on it. youtu.be/3C4k8Vm7rg8?si=iqa6…

Hawthorn's Across The Aisle Podcast Ep2 with Charlie Cook

SummaryIn this conversation, John sits down with Charlie Cook to ...

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charliecookpolitics.com/p/th… My latest column:

The emotional swings of Democrats

Things aren't as bleak as they seemed a year ago. They're also not as rosy as the off-year elections made them out to be.

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Here’s my latest, including why Zamdani victory is less important than most say it is. All columns available at CharlieCookPolitics charliecookpolitics.com/p/de…

Democrats could take the wrong lessons from Mamdani

His politics might have played to a bare majority in New York City. But they won't play nationally.

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charliecookpolitics.com/p/th…

The Morning After

Election Day 2025

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My piece about last night’s results and the Monday night column for National Journal below that. charliecookpolitics.com/p/th…

The Morning After

Election Day 2025

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My National Journal column filed last night is now in front of the NJ paywall. What to look for tonight, how to score it. nationaljournal.com/s/730083…

An early-warning system for the political winds

Look to these 10 questions Tuesday night to see if the political winds are calm, or if they may blow Republicans out of office next year.

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The link I posted is not as accessible as I wanted, working getting up a cleaner link.
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