Michael Wilson and Parker Washington were extraordinary over the second half of 2025 as Year 3 players. They averaged 19.7 and 14.6 PPG, respectively, from Week 10 through the NFL Playoffs. However, neither had a meaningful fantasy season before (at least 10 PPG -- aka low-end WR4 territory). That got me wondering: How often have we seen non-Round 1 or Round 2 NFL Draft picks average 14 PPG in the second half of their Year 3 to 5 season without a prior 10 PPG fantasy season? And more importantly, how did they do in the following two seasons? Hunter Renfrow (2021): 16.8 PPG --> 8.1, 3.0 Rishard Matthews (2015): 15.2 PPG --> 13.3, 11.2 Marquise Goodwin (2017): 14.9 PPG --> 7.9, 4.8 Markus Wheaton (2015): 14.8 PPG --> 5.0, 0.7 Russell Gage (2020): 14.6 PPG --> 11.9, 9.5 Jauan Jennings (2024): 14.1 PPG --> 11.6 For the record, I am not pronouncing this as some in-depth study that 100% defines how we should view Wilson and Washington. However, we shouldn't dismiss this sort of data either, imo. Both carry significant bust potential.