Founder of @ElixirTrading | kwant trader
Joined February 2022
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Cirmit retweeted
Jun 2
🚨MAY PERFORMANCE RECAP 🚨
140 Trades
74 Wins
58.73% Win Rate
27.33 Total R:R
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Bearish $BTC outlook if we break 72.2k
There's a few spots where we could still bounce and kick off the bull run before November. (69.8k, 67k, 62.4k, and 59.8k)
If we don't bounce from any of them, i expect pure red down to the 55k - 48k area, then a range until probably the first week of November.
I plan on shorting if we break 72.2k. I'm expecting a higher high that retests the breakout and traps longs before I enter. Marked on the chart if played out.
If we retest around VAH i move stops to break even and ride till the next zone. This applies for every zone
If we get bullish signs or a small bounce from any of those zones, i close the short.
Finally, if we break 59.8k and retest and start nuking lower, that's where the really big red candles come in and I just ride my short and TP along the way.
FYI : This only plays out if we lose 72.2k. Reclaim it and hold, and i'm back to my bullish plan.
Here's my bullish $BTC outlook and how I plan on trading it for the month of June.
Still in my long, invalidation sits at 72.2k. Lose that and im bearish.
First i want a push into the VA off 75.4k, then a retest of the VAL. If it holds and pumps, the first sign we're bullish.
But i'm not fully bullish until we make a higher low above 77.6k POC. That's the confirmation that actually matters to me.
From there im looking at 79.3k-80.6k to start a hedge short on top of my long, SL and invalidation at 83k.
Neutral for now until I see a confirmation from ether sides.
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You probably could've out traded 99% of CT this month with one simple strategy on .
If you longed every oversold bump on the 1h using Elixir Orderflow you'd have a 41.45 average entry and be up 70% without leverage.
It never dipped more than 3% from average entry the whole month.
So if you 20x lev each entry you'd be up around 1,400% just buying the signals and holding this month.
Sometimes simplicity beats all these complicated strategies.
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Dropping $10k into a fresh wallet, goal $50k
Fresh wallet, starting from scratch. This is more of a mental thing, keeps me humble and stops me oversizing after a good month.
Every day I'll recap the trades I took and where the wallet sits, so you see exactly how a full time trader trades.
Want access to copy all the trades live? DM me
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$BTC
Took a long from the pois I marked out a couple days ago.
Plan is to bounce here see how we react at 72.4k then if we react good only tp 50% of the position and ride the rest to 74.2k.
If we dont bounce here and I get stopped out we are looking pretty cooked.
$BTC closed my short from 74,307, flipped long around 73k.
Break above 74,500 and i add stay bullish.
Lose it and im back short, full bear mode.
What you guys leaning, long or short?
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If I see a bottom form within Wednesday I will start the challenge Wednesday.
If I don't see a bottom form im not starting the challenge until there is one.
I want as good conditions as I can for this challenge, I dont want to lose anyone's money.
Dropping $10k into a fresh wallet, goal $50k
Fresh wallet, starting from scratch. This is more of a mental thing, keeps me humble and stops me oversizing after a good month.
Every day I'll recap the trades I took and where the wallet sits, so you see exactly how a full time trader trades.
Want access to copy all the trades live? DM me
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LTF plan into monthly close. With live trades I'm taking. 📈📉
I'm expecting a short squeeze before we close out the month. There's around $150M in shorts that would get liquidated in the 74.4k-75.7k range, that whole zone is most likely a price magnet.
I'll take profit on my long in two parts, 74.5k and 75.5k, scaling out into that squeeze. From there I flip into a short, because that zone is the VAL and there's a solid chance we bounce off it. My invalidation/SL is 76.7k and my target is 70.4k, which is where I'd be looking to long again.
From there I expect it to nuke. But there's a real chance they sweep both the short liqs and the long liqs below, so I'm not blindly shorting all the way down.
If we tap 72k and 71.7k, I re-long with my invalidation/SL at 71k, targeting 77.6k. My thinking is that if we bounce off 72k-71.5k, I expect price to retrace up into 77.6k, which is the POC, and put in a lower high there.
If everything plays out perfect and we get that retracement from POC putting in a lower high. I'd be looking to long the continuation toward 79.6k.
That's the full roadmap into the close. I'll update each level as it plays out.
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