THE BRITISH ARMY AND THE DIP 🧵
✅The British Army aspires to field a NATO reserve corps with two deployable divisions. Each division will have 2 or 3 brigades or a total of around 20,000 troops. For an army of 73,000 this structure is entirely achievable. Within a NATO context such a contribution is credible / respectable.
✅ The British Army ideally needs another 7,000 regular troops and 10,000 additional reserves. Returning to the 2010 headcount cap of 82,500 is highly desirable, because it would allow sustainable unit rotations. At an average cost of £60K per regular soldier per annum and £10K per reservist, extra headcount would require an additional £520 million per year.
✅ The two divisions with 4 to 6 brigades would generate 4 combat units per brigades or 24 primary battalion sized groupings. Each division needs artillery, engineers, signal / intelligence, REME / logistics, and medical units to support them. There is nothing unreasonable about wanting this level of capability. Every other NATO member in Europe plans to be similarly configured. Ultimately, however. the issue is not force generation but ensuring the units we do have are properly equipped.
✅ The Army’s most critical capability gap is in artillery. It’s acquiring 72 Boxer RCH155 - enough for 4 regiments. It has 2 GMLRS regiments, but needs an additional 2-4. In particular, it needs to restore munitions stockpiles. This requirement implies an extra £1.7 billion beyond the £3 billion already allocated.
✅ In drone saturated battlefield environments, the Army needs to invest in air defence on an unprecedented scale to regain freedom of manoeuvre. This requires £2 billion in addition to the £800 million already allocated.
✅ The Army’s Bowman communications system is obsolete. Replacing this with a fully digitised architecture is already budgeted at £7 billion, but nothing has yet been approved or delivered. Without this investment, the much vaunted kill chain is only an aspiration.
✅ UAS, tactical cruise missiles, loitering munitions, and other aerial drones for surveillance and strike roles are here to stay. They need to be embedded across the force. That’s another £2 billion.
✅ Finally, another significant gap is combat vehicles to get to the fight and to manoeuvre. Under present plans, it is acquiring 623 Boxers, 148 Challenger 3, 589 Ajax, and 1,100 protected mobility vehicles. That’s around 2,460 vehicles. It needs twice this amount or an extra £10 billion.
So, those are the Army’s most important priorities. A lot of what I have listed is already in the Equipment Plan. But it needs around £18 billion in additional funding over 9 years to deliver all this — that’s £2 billion per annum over current funding.
Clearly, the Army is not going to get anything like the extra funding I have described, but now you know the scale of investment needed to deliver a minimum viable contribution to NATO.
The need for this level of funding is what happens when you stop investing in defence for 30 years.