Today’s @CoderaAnalytics post with AMT compares high frequency farmer chicken price measures for SA to official producer and consumer price statistics. Farmer prices lead officially measured producer and consumer statistics and so are very useful for nowcasting
After last night's loss to Mexico, this @CoderaAnalytics post by Riaan Grobler presents updated Polymarket odds for Bafana Bafana’s chances of winning their World Cup matches for each round
Today’s @CoderaAnalytics post by Oliver Guest provides a comparison of one-year ahead inflation forecast errors from the market for a range of countries since 2010 from Codera’s forthcoming audit of international central bank forecast performance.
Our estimate of SA's potential growth has been revised up to just below 1.1%. Today's @CoderaAnalytics post shows that the SARB have moved their estimates closer to Codera's over recent MPC meetings.
Today’s @CoderaAnalytics post by @AidanHorn1 shows that vehicle exports have growth faster than vehicle exports for South Africa. Aggregates of cross border trade transactions are available on EconData to module subscribers. Contact us for a demo or to subscribe. @Stratalyze1
SARB' MPC projections from Jan 2026 MPC (before the 2025Q4 data were published) assumed potential growth at 1.1% for 2025 but curiously an output gap for 2025 of -0.2 ppts. @CoderaAnalytics will publish updated estimates and comparisons once GDP for 2026Q1 is published today.
Today’s @CoderaAnalytics post by Oliver Guest shows that SARB’s latest projections lowered the growth outlook for 2026.
🛒Codera's macro nowcast service provides accurate near projections, with ongoing performance tracking. Contact us for a demo or to subscribe.
In today's @CoderaAnalytics post we show a measure of food insecurity by South African province for based on retail data. Contact us for a quote for a subscription.
Today’s @CoderaAnalytics post by Sinead Morrow shows that personal income tax and value added tax (VAT) revenues represent almost 75% of South Africa’s total tax take.
📢SA-TIED research featured in BusinessDay.
A new BusinessDay feature drawing on SA-TIED research examines the combination of macroeconomic pressures and spending dynamics that have kept the debt trajectory off course.
Read more: go.unu.edu/CVWEi
Since new trade tariffs on SA imports to the US came into effect in Aug 2025, exports to the US were up just over than 11%, reflecting big increases in March & April 2026. Exports to other countries were up just over than 8%. @CoderaAnalytics@AidanHorn1@Stratalyze1
Today’s @CoderaAnalytics post by Oliver Guest provides a comparison of one-year ahead inflation forecast errors from the market for a range of countries since 2010 from Codera’s forthcoming audit of international central bank forecast performance.
PayInc's data show that net nominal salaries fell 0.5% in April 2026 compared to April 2025. Today’s @CoderaAnalytics post compares recent wage dynamics in SA from different sources with different coverage
Together with Donald MacKay from @XA_advisors, @CoderaAnalytics will be presenting our findings from our survey on the firm costs and benefits of Black Economic Empowerment regulations in South Africa at this webinar next Tuesday. Register here: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi…