$SPX – Divergence playbook repeating? Each time the MACD hits its trend top, the index keeps pushing another 14–17% higher before divergence plays out. We’re here again. If history rhymes → $SPX ≈ 7900 before momentum fades? tradingview.com/x/20vGRp1E/

Yes, I can see the SPX even slightly undercutting 7k this summer before a run up towards new ATH takes part. Imo, 8k around end of November.

Anthropic planning to go public on October 23rd 2026, OpenAI one month later on November 27th 2026. No way the SPX isn't at new ATH around 8k and beyond inQ4? It has to be!

I'll buy Space X after 12 months.

Looking at the sentiment around the SpaceX IPO, I doubt that it will be a success. I doubt, that it will be easy to digest for the markets short term. Maybe it's a bad precursor for the upcoming IPOs of Open AI and Anthropic? Interesting week ahead.

Haha, TradFi shows signs of life and Crypto loses its shit 😅

Clean the double low out on ES and then long at market for all time highs.

$BTC bearish crossover on the MACD (blue line) monthly chart has now crossed below the zero line. In 2022, once the MACD crossed below the zero line, price found bottom 3 months later. History rhymes, we would find bottom in September.

Since I reduced staring on charts, trying to predict the next moves, I'm much more in sync with underlying sentiment, sacrifying a fraction of my time. Reduce the noise 🧘🏼

Went back and studied the Nasdaq parabolic advance following the November 1999 breakout. Wanted to see what the first real pullback looked like after the big down move in markets on Friday. Nasdaq went vertical for 10 weeks, reaching nearly 10x ATR's above the 50SMA before its first close below the 20EMA, which came after a sharp 12% pullback in two sessions. $SOXX just fell -12% in two days after hitting just over 10x ATR multiples above the 50SMA on Wednesday... First close below the 20EMA on Friday. Wanted to compare the two as $SOXX $SMH and semiconductor stocks share many striking similarities with the Nasdaq and internet leaders of the 90's. Also worth noting that many of the leaders during the first parabolic advance on the Nasdaq in 1999 did NOT make new highs again, even though the index grinded another 30% higher. If using as precedent it's likely we saw some capitulation on Friday and could find a low next week. Would expect wide ranges, volatility, and tougher trading conditions. Just for studying and entertainment purposes.

😬 saying what?

If you are in doubt, this is a level to DCA.

🚨 SOMETHING MIGHT HAVE BROKEN INSIDE MICHAEL SAYLOR’S BITCOIN MACHINE. $STRC was designed to stay near $100 forever. Strategy launched it in July 2025, raised $2.5 BILLION from investors, and used that money to buy more Bitcoin. In return, investors got an 11.5% yearly yield paid monthly in cash. The entire structure depended on one thing: keep the price near $100. If STRC dropped below $100, Strategy could raise the dividend to attract buyers back. That is why STRC stayed stable for months. Now the system is cracking and STRC just dropped to $94.84. But Why? Three things hit at the same time • Bitcoin dumped toward $67K • Strategy sold Bitcoin for the first time in 4 years • Investors are now questioning how sustainable the dividends really are The company sold 32 BTC worth $2.5 MILLION specifically to help fund STRC dividend payments. That may sound small. But it completely breaks the never sell Bitcoin narrative Saylor built for years. Markets are now pricing in the possibility that Strategy may eventually need to sell more BTC to support nearly $1.7 BILLION in yearly preferred dividend obligations. At the same time, Strategy refused to raise the STRC dividend above 11.5% for the fourth straight month even as competitors started offering higher yields. Strive is now offering 13% on a competing product. The entire trade now depends on one thing: Bitcoin going higher. Because if BTC keeps falling, pressure on the entire Strategy structure starts rising very fast.

Most likely path.

Probable outcome of a theory I have myself.

I like that!