Randomly went to my bookmarks and this was a fun revisit.
Ultimately, I said Bears would be near 512 attempt, they hit 513.
DJ Moore surpassed targets, receptions, yards for my established floor and finished WR6.
Data can be fun when you play around and look for outliers!
Our disconnect is that you’re still viewing it as a “20% increase” in pass attempts. It’s an outlier. Outliers require different processes.
25% TS on 500 attempts w/ 60% Catch% at career 14.3 YPR
125 Targets, 75 Rec, 1072.5 Yards = 182.25 PPR Points before TDs.
That’s my floor