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Joined May 2018
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Favorable weather day π€ Home Run Rankings
Vegas (Oak vs Col): 53% xHR
- 100 degrees at game start. Geez
Cinci (Cin vs Ari): 33% xHR
- Highest HR park factor this season by a lot
Boston (Bos vs Tex): 24% xHR
- Highest wind receptiveness park blowing out
via @DataLabsHQ
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Sides Totals
MIA @ PIT: o/u 9
β‘οΈ UNDER 9 -101
- on a flat 9, see value in this game to be more boring than mkt expectation. Talked about the Pirates pitching staff in a long form thread recently, but ultimately I think the ceiling of each guy is very high & at a pretty meh K:BB right now, good spot to buy Bubba stock IMO. Both offenses donβt strike fear into me, & PNC is an avg park factor, lower quartile HR park making high variance breakouts less likely. 9 is slightly too high imo. Under
SD @ BAL: o/u 10
- Laid off here after cashing an easy over last night, but this one makes conversation as projection still likes it (I should bet it, I may bet it, we will see) and itβs a big factor of seeing positive regression in both offenses. We know the player names, but there has been some snoozing from both clubs so far (basically pointing only at SD here eh). If I was a futures man, would be my timing of buyi mf low on the Pads
COL @ OAK: -162/162
- Side projection likes the favorite here in a game expected a ton of runs. Freeland seems to always find himself in games with high run potential based on outside factors, poor guy but his contact pitching could be in shambles here
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Player Props
Tarik Skubal Strikeouts: o/u 5.5
β‘οΈ OVER 102
- Skub has put on some POUNDS in this mf, hey itβs ok Iβll still believe in his stuff here maybe the extra perspiration will give him more grip & spinny stuff will rip. Handicap the diet boys
Ben Brown Strikeouts: o/u 4.5
- Projection continues to like Brown UNDER every single game due to his ability to go short in games even when pitching well (5 innings 1 hit, taken out @ 19 BF).. but man his stuff is nasty, I still logically understand why itβs hard to model him to 5 every game & getting a good number vs the market so donβt hate it, but for my sanity will lay low on Brown for a bit
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Corbie retweeted
Jun 13
Build-A-Bot: Live on Bettor Odds
Describe the vision β‘οΈ we build a full dm alert program
From SGP Glitch alerts to line movement bots, if Bettor Odds has the data the bot can be built π²
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Corbie retweeted
Jun 13
Corbie turned into a bot that builds a custom bot feed with doing nothing but telling it what I want @CorbieBO
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Luinder Avila UNDER 3.5 K's 115 @Novig
Avila has been awesome, going 10 innings of 4 hit, 2 run baseball L2 outings... issue: he played to his ceiling (shout out him) when worse, is his pitch count still in the 70's? I don't think so
With low K rates & potential for runs (mkt 9.5), Avila shelled early could get him out closer to 50 pitches opening value on this UNDER price here IMO
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Corbie retweeted
Jun 12
πΊπΈ USA vs Paraguay SGP πΊπΈ
β (π΅π’πππ‘ ππ¦ π‘βπ π΅ππ‘π‘ππ ππππ ππππππ¦ π΅π’πππππ)
β’ Balogun Anytime Goal
β’ USA o4.5 Corners
β’ USA o0.5 1H total
β’ Pulisic Anytime Goal
3500 @ DraftKings (14% EV)
...FD 1860
Less clicking. Find bangers faster daily π
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Our final show on BetUS, it was a fun ride
As BetUS moves to a new content strat I'm thankful for nearly 1,500 days of live streams
Cheers boys, new tings coming
Let's cash some baseball tickets βΎ
@RealDFSBachelor @BaseWinner @CorbieBO @kiiLkenny are live now π― x.com/i/broadcasts/1nxnRRnmYβ¦
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Projections: mlblabs.io/#showboard
Goal: Take current player model, replace w/ MLB the Show data, run backtest, gain confidence, become rich
Results: Proj > 5% "edge"
- Totals: 54-52, -2.7% ROI
- Sides: 32-27, 3.1% ROI π―
*vs best price
See, betting is easy
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