Imagine this: on June 1, 50 million people in Ethiopia will head to the polls, yet the outcome already seems predetermined. In 64 of the 509 electoral districts outside Tigray, only Prosperity Party candidates are running. The Tigray People's Liberation Front, which dominated Ethiopian politics for nearly three decades before Abiy Ahmed’s rise, has been banned. No voting will take place in Tigray, home to around 6% of the population. In some parts of Amhara, holding elections appears impossible. Meanwhile, the risk of armed clashes is growing in certain areas of Oromia. Voting in the Amhara region is expected to remain largely confined to urban centers. Due to insecurity, elections cannot be organized in many rural areas, and according to the Ethiopian National Election Board’s (NEBE) own optimistic estimates, polling stations will not even be set up in at least 30 constituencies.