Trading From The Shadows 🥷 | Crypto Analyst With a Macro Lens 🔎 | My Posts Are Not Financial Advice, So DYOR! 📝

Joined November 2023
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That's just how the market is. There's nothing new under the sun. What has happened before, will most likely happen again. Ethereum.
The crash turns out to be -40%. However, it's not over yet. Right now, $ETH is just consolidating, waiting for another bearish continuation.
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The crash turns out to be -40%. However, it's not over yet. Right now, $ETH is just consolidating, waiting for another bearish continuation.
Yes, we should worried about Ethereum. It’s showing the exact same structure that played out before a -50% crash. Don’t stay in denial, this setup on $ETH looks no different.
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This is all just Trump’s game. It’s market making at the global elite level. What’s the goal? Simple: let him and the big players buy cheap at the bottom. But don’t panic. We’ve seen this play before. Let me walk you through it. In 2025, tariffs basically turned into a “toy weapon” to control sentiment and steer markets. Here I’m using $BTC as the asset class to study. - In January, Bitcoin was trading around its ATH.A lot of people, especially early holders, had already taken profit and were just waiting for a chance to buy back lower. So how do you create that opportunity? You crush the market first. Here’s the shortened timeline: - 1 Feb 2025 – Tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China are announced. - Feb–Mar – More tariffs, extensions, and constant “trade war” headlines. - 2 Apr – Trump announces “reciprocal tariffs”. - 3–8 Apr – Things escalate. China responds, raising some tariffs from 34% to 84%. Trade war mode ON. - 9 Apr – Trump suddenly pauses reciprocal tariffs for 90 days for most countries (except China). Clean execution. Bring prices down, spread fear, buy the dip, then press the "bottom" button. All recreational. So get ready. Get your mindset ready. Get your capital ready. Moves like this will keep happening as long as Trump is in office. The weapon will just rotate: tariffs, geopolitics, or whatever new headline they choose. But at the end of the day? Money will be made. And that’s the whole game.
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump imposes 10% global tariff on all countries and says all tariffs will remain in place, despite Supreme Court ruling.
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Seems like i was a couple of weeks too early. Nonetheless, Bitcoin still made it here. Now that the local top has recently been confirmed, i can mark the potential bottom area through the 1,618 fibonacci area. $71K-ish, that's a solid number. Generational opportunity, $BTC.
A deep dive on Bitcoin's price structure. If you’ve been following my recent $BTC updates, you can tell that my bias has been leaning bearish. More accurately, it’s not “bearish forever,” but I do believe that sooner or later Bitcoin will still print a new low before it can properly kick off the next leg higher. Can it go straight up from here? Sure, it’s possible, but in my view, it’s unlikely. Here are the key points I’m watching: - The Drop vs The Rebound You always have to measure the size of the rebound against the size of the dump. If the selloff is big, but the bounce is small, it tells you that the downside wasn’t met with equal buying interest. That usually means either there’s no one eager to absorb the sell pressure, or people are simply too pessimistic to buy the dip. We could see that in past bottoms, the rebound is much more equal relative to the drop. That shows how the market is optimistic in buying the dip, hence pushing the prices to a newer high much quicker. - Lower low structure It’s very rare for a sharp dump to get fully absorbed and then price just teleports back to the previous high. Historically, Bitcoin’s major bottoms tend to form with a fresh lower low, at a point where most people have already given up on the idea. Right now, $BTC has already dropped a lot, but the rebound so far doesn’t match the magnitude of the move down, in fact, it is the weakest rebound we've seen since the bull run started. That’s why I’m still skeptical in the short term, but I still believe we’ll see a new ATH sometime in 2026.
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$BTC is breaking down. Like i said, nothing new under the sun. And no, it's not over yet. I'll update the downside target in the next post.
There is nothing new under the sun. Every human experience, event, and innovation is cyclical and repetitive. The same goes for financial markets and price structures. Here’s a closer look at $BTC and how its last cycle top was formed: In the last cycle, extreme price volatility, both up and down, created a massive sideways range. That’s what formed the two massive tops. Funny enough, that’s exactly what we’re seeing now with Bitcoin, with the $125K high in October acting as the second top. The final trigger that started the bear market was price nearing the 50% level of that range, backed by a clean bear flag. And once again, that’s exactly what we’re seeing now. Now, all my recent posts have been leaning bearish. Not because I’m a hater, but because what’s happened before often becomes the roadmap ahead.
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Yes, we should worried about Ethereum. It’s showing the exact same structure that played out before a -50% crash. Don’t stay in denial, this setup on $ETH looks no different.
Ummm Should we be worried about $ETH? What do you guys think?
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There is nothing new under the sun. Every human experience, event, and innovation is cyclical and repetitive. The same goes for financial markets and price structures. Here’s a closer look at $BTC and how its last cycle top was formed: In the last cycle, extreme price volatility, both up and down, created a massive sideways range. That’s what formed the two massive tops. Funny enough, that’s exactly what we’re seeing now with Bitcoin, with the $125K high in October acting as the second top. The final trigger that started the bear market was price nearing the 50% level of that range, backed by a clean bear flag. And once again, that’s exactly what we’re seeing now. Now, all my recent posts have been leaning bearish. Not because I’m a hater, but because what’s happened before often becomes the roadmap ahead.
A deep dive on Bitcoin's price structure. If you’ve been following my recent $BTC updates, you can tell that my bias has been leaning bearish. More accurately, it’s not “bearish forever,” but I do believe that sooner or later Bitcoin will still print a new low before it can properly kick off the next leg higher. Can it go straight up from here? Sure, it’s possible, but in my view, it’s unlikely. Here are the key points I’m watching: - The Drop vs The Rebound You always have to measure the size of the rebound against the size of the dump. If the selloff is big, but the bounce is small, it tells you that the downside wasn’t met with equal buying interest. That usually means either there’s no one eager to absorb the sell pressure, or people are simply too pessimistic to buy the dip. We could see that in past bottoms, the rebound is much more equal relative to the drop. That shows how the market is optimistic in buying the dip, hence pushing the prices to a newer high much quicker. - Lower low structure It’s very rare for a sharp dump to get fully absorbed and then price just teleports back to the previous high. Historically, Bitcoin’s major bottoms tend to form with a fresh lower low, at a point where most people have already given up on the idea. Right now, $BTC has already dropped a lot, but the rebound so far doesn’t match the magnitude of the move down, in fact, it is the weakest rebound we've seen since the bull run started. That’s why I’m still skeptical in the short term, but I still believe we’ll see a new ATH sometime in 2026.
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A deep dive on Bitcoin's price structure. If you’ve been following my recent $BTC updates, you can tell that my bias has been leaning bearish. More accurately, it’s not “bearish forever,” but I do believe that sooner or later Bitcoin will still print a new low before it can properly kick off the next leg higher. Can it go straight up from here? Sure, it’s possible, but in my view, it’s unlikely. Here are the key points I’m watching: - The Drop vs The Rebound You always have to measure the size of the rebound against the size of the dump. If the selloff is big, but the bounce is small, it tells you that the downside wasn’t met with equal buying interest. That usually means either there’s no one eager to absorb the sell pressure, or people are simply too pessimistic to buy the dip. We could see that in past bottoms, the rebound is much more equal relative to the drop. That shows how the market is optimistic in buying the dip, hence pushing the prices to a newer high much quicker. - Lower low structure It’s very rare for a sharp dump to get fully absorbed and then price just teleports back to the previous high. Historically, Bitcoin’s major bottoms tend to form with a fresh lower low, at a point where most people have already given up on the idea. Right now, $BTC has already dropped a lot, but the rebound so far doesn’t match the magnitude of the move down, in fact, it is the weakest rebound we've seen since the bull run started. That’s why I’m still skeptical in the short term, but I still believe we’ll see a new ATH sometime in 2026.
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The big roadmap for $BTC. Unless that orange bearish trendline is broken, this will play out, with the end target of a new ATH.
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$BTC is on track. Just going to let it play out.
Exactly as expected. $BTC got rejected immediately after sweeping previous liquidity levels. For me, the bias is still bearish for Bitcoin. Here’s why: - Despite having an FVG near the current price, there is also one below at $88K, which acts as a draw on liquidity that will pull price in that direction. - Price seemed to be rallying, but in reality, it’s just in a sideways with a big price range, hence the rejection from its previous bullish trendline. I believe we are likely to see a new lower low in the months to come, 1–3 months window in my opinion. How will that be broken? If the previous bullish trendline is reclaimed (white trendline), then the trend has shifted.
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Btw, the $BTC CME gap in the 1H timeframe sitting at around $88.4K is still there. So, more reason for price to head lower from here.
Quick note on $BTC. On the 1H chart, there’s still an unfilled CME gap (88,400k) sitting relatively close to the current price. As CME gaps have a high tendency to be filled, there’s a good chance we will see Bitcoin head lower to fill that area again, so watch out.
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For those of you who missed the recent altcoin pump, don’t fall into FOMO. Most altcoins are already overbought and running into major resistance. Just look at the $TOTAL3 chart, it's currently testing the same 100-day MA that previously acted as support.
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Exactly as expected. $BTC got rejected immediately after sweeping previous liquidity levels. For me, the bias is still bearish for Bitcoin. Here’s why: - Despite having an FVG near the current price, there is also one below at $88K, which acts as a draw on liquidity that will pull price in that direction. - Price seemed to be rallying, but in reality, it’s just in a sideways with a big price range, hence the rejection from its previous bullish trendline. I believe we are likely to see a new lower low in the months to come, 1–3 months window in my opinion. How will that be broken? If the previous bullish trendline is reclaimed (white trendline), then the trend has shifted.
Update on $BTC. Bitcoin broke through the bearish FVG level I marked. It seems there’s a structural shift for BTC, people are starting to see it more as a flight to safety rather than a risky asset, which is why the Venezuela conflict barely had any impact. And im late to realize that, so my bad. From here, price should climb slightly higher to take out the previous liquidity levels, which are located very near the current price. Now, the closest support level would be the previous bearish FVG that price broke out above.
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And no, the previous bullish trendline is not something new. it's been there since previous analysis of mine. 👇 x.com/CryptoAnbu_/status/200…

Here's what's next for $BTC. Although price have reached the support target i marked and the Stochastic has nicely set us up for a bounce, don't get excited just yet. The previous bullish trendline is a level that must be reclaimed, if not? dead cat bounce and head lower.
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Update on $BTC. Bitcoin broke through the bearish FVG level I marked. It seems there’s a structural shift for BTC, people are starting to see it more as a flight to safety rather than a risky asset, which is why the Venezuela conflict barely had any impact. And im late to realize that, so my bad. From here, price should climb slightly higher to take out the previous liquidity levels, which are located very near the current price. Now, the closest support level would be the previous bearish FVG that price broke out above.
$BTC is currently facing a strong resistance level, a bearish FVG, with the Stochastic at an overbought level and has also formed a death cross. Combined with the recent escalation of the US-Venezuela tension, it's best to be cautious right now.
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After 3 months of downtrend, $SOL just shifted back into a bullish trend. It finally broke above the 50-day MA, a key resistance that’s kept Solana suppressed all this time. Now that it’s flipped its old support again, what we want to see next is a strong base forming. If that happens, another rally should be on the table for SOL.
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$BTC is currently facing a strong resistance level, a bearish FVG, with the Stochastic at an overbought level and has also formed a death cross. Combined with the recent escalation of the US-Venezuela tension, it's best to be cautious right now.
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Quick note on $BTC. On the 1H chart, there’s still an unfilled CME gap (88,400k) sitting relatively close to the current price. As CME gaps have a high tendency to be filled, there’s a good chance we will see Bitcoin head lower to fill that area again, so watch out.
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Ummm $BTC closed below the moving average guys... Are we doomed or what? Wdyt?
To elaborate, here's why i said today's important. Let's hope we dont see what we saw back in $BTC 2022. Anyways, happy new years folk. Cheers, WAGMI.
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Taking partial profits here. Letting the rest run. Hope you tagged along in $HYPE as well.
Will this time be any different for $HYPE? Let's see whether Hyperliquid can close above the 20-day MA for once and mark the start of a trend reversal.
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