Joined December 2021
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Pinned Tweet
22 Mar 2025
Hidden OB Mastery In response to MT's recent LONG on BTC, look closely at this 23H Hidden OB. It already had 6 earlier interactions. Why did MT (most likely) wait until this exact moment to enter a trade? Before reading further, please note that this post intentionally simplifies the scenario by not discussing many other important variables. Readers should understand how to effectively use posts like this in conjunction with their broader analysis.😘 You might ask yourself why not enter sooner when there were already multiple earlier chances (3x Long or 3x Short) at these price points: The simple reason for this patience is that there wasn't a clear closure above a Swing High (SH) or below a Swing Low (SL). Without this closure, the market hadn't shown a clear direction yet. Big players and institutions always wait for clear direction first, then a pullback into a key level, to fill their positions with the highest possible chance of success. Moneytaur consistently emphasizes the importance of waiting for clear confirmation before entering any trade. In this specific situation, if you had opened a position every time the price reached this 23H Hidden OB, you would have lost 6 times, and only the 7th time would have been profitable β€”> resulting in a very poor risk/reward (R/R). Apart from this particular example, many traders (myself included) often see a key level and blindly open a Limit Order. However, if a level has already been ignored multiple times, there is no guarantee the next interaction will yield your desired outcome. Here's the 12H chart, which Moneytaur often uses to reliably see where the market is headed after a closure above/below takes place. Notice how the 7th touch is after the 12H closed above first. Now look at the 23H chart. You see the exact same situation: no clear closure above a Swing High or below a Swing Low. Every time the price reached this 23H Hidden OB without clear market structure/direction confirmation, big players did not react, making it very likely for the price to ignore this level as well. This is one of several critical confirmation methods you can use to significantly increase your probability of success after identifying a strong liquidity level. Posts like this are typically created when I've recently discovered the importance of a particular method from Moneytaur. By clearly documenting it, I set it in stone for future reference, making it easy to track its validity and performance. In trading, nothing is 100% guaranteed, but striving to approach that ideal as closely as possible is the goal. Why settle for less?
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BTC SFP = EQ minimum target. 1WBB at 67k becomes less interesting SFP range low = Target other side range ( Discount -> Premium) πŸ‘€ Closes @ 0.5
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Starting to react
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ETH Level flipped bearish we have confirmation of the level in the form of closes I did / will not take it because there is a chance BTC sfp will bring at least some relief. If ETH just stalls here while BTC takes Bearish level, the story will be different Enjoy ETH htf chart
ETH Didn't get a single short in. Was betting on some more immediate upside with BTC > 0.5 ETH/BTC giving something. There where signs for shorting the TOP but I failed to commit to them Continuation shorts where possible but that's easy to say in hindsight 23H < 1D < 1W level could give some relief for Long. We already tapped 1D, 1W BB
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ETH at a level while USDT.D is at 1W BB. Will not short until confirmation of the level
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FLOKI
11 Oct 2025
FLOKI - For future reference HTF close under PSL = Bearish Higher HTF close above PSL = Bullish ^HTF 3rd drive still possible?^ ( Big OB's still left) MM's got their bags sold obviously before the crash. Potential big distribution at the 5D HOB (still to form) so a place to TP After a move like this I need to be carefull because I have a lot of work to do with analysis to get a clear bias again. No clear Bias =/= trading This is just the Floki chart. We need Majors to support the presented ideas
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SL2BE. No TP until 32
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Not shorting here. I am TP ing tho
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πŸ‘€ potential accu schematic that can form in the future
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ATH retweeted
27 Jan 2025
β€œWaste no more time arguing about what a good man should be. Be one.” ~ Marcus Aurelius
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ETH Didn't get a single short in. Was betting on some more immediate upside with BTC > 0.5 ETH/BTC giving something. There where signs for shorting the TOP but I failed to commit to them Continuation shorts where possible but that's easy to say in hindsight 23H < 1D < 1W level could give some relief for Long. We already tapped 1D, 1W BB
BTC & ETH BTC entry on the 23H 618. TP's bit dynamic for now. Another small KL just below. Like current one better tho. ETH last Long cut at 0.5r/r --> was clear position wouldn't survive BTC taking it's KL. Current Long from Demand levels. Still hoping on ETH/BTC giving some wind
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ETH Was asleep and missed the alert. Even 5 min dismissed level so would've been an easy skip
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Longing feels scary and it feels like I should just instantly go short but you have to see every trade as is. If setups is there plus things are aligning you have to execute
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DOGE
DOGE Short-term long level present. A bit sketchy imo but will take if I like PA. Interesting 16min 2x inside the KL ( 1) Spot position at risk free. Depending on reaction at POI's will de-risk / TP
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Spot roundtripped into BE
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back at baseπŸ‘€
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BTC & ETH BTC entry on the 23H 618. TP's bit dynamic for now. Another small KL just below. Like current one better tho. ETH last Long cut at 0.5r/r --> was clear position wouldn't survive BTC taking it's KL. Current Long from Demand levels. Still hoping on ETH/BTC giving some wind
Replying to @CryptoChaseCase
BTC hit SL. Bullish structure still intact with SFP at key swing low. Lower level more optimal ETH hit Long level. ETH/BTC ETH.D PA might decide how much I leave for BCS. Also BCS depending on range high / liquidity interaction Bought some Spot ETH but have clear invalidation. CX ultra bearish on ETH rn
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Just took next level on BTC. Half size until better Confirmation ETH showing strength as expected from ETH/BTC
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ETH 1M OB looks very 🧱. Just keep it in mind
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Just my interpretation of: x.com/Moneytaur_/status/2027…

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