Market Enjoyer.
Joined June 2024
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598 Photos and videos
Jun 12
Bitcoin is still holding onto that False Breakdown.
Pretty strong sign that bulls have stepped in.
Just needs to hold above $60k until the weekly close.
I like what we are seeing here.
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Jun 11
The GLI perfectly timed Bitcoin's February bottom.
It also perfectly timed Bitcoin's May top.
Now it's calling for a mid-June bottom.
I won't be surprised if it's right again. 😎
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Jun 10
Maybe TA is astrology for men. Part 2🤣
(screenshot from video being published today)
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Jun 10
The Shallow Bear Market base case remains unchanged.
I really hope we get a Normal Bear. (Who doesn't love buying cheap Bitcoin)
I just don't think we do.
Most investors are still greatly underestimating this support region and just how oversold Bitcoin already is.
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Software stocks always recover before Bitcoin.
Software stocks found their bottom during peak AI disruption panic in Q1 and then violently repriced higher.
Bitcoin just went through its own panic/capitulation event as shown by the $5B in liquidations.
Does Bitcoin bottom soon and follow suit?
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Bitcoin with a very clean sweep of the February low.
Also managed to close back above our 200W MA.
Needs some follow through to confirm the False Breakdown.
Would be a clear sign of demand and bulls waking up.
Weak assets don't have false breakdowns, strong ones do. 😎
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Market sentiment has entered Extreme Fear. 🔴
This means investors are acting out of emotion instead of logic.
The best opportunities present themselves at the sentiment extremes.
You already know what I am doing. 😎
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Maybe TA is astrology for men. 🤣
(screenshot from video being published today)
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Bitcoin entered the Very Cheap 🔵 region for the first time since late 2023.
Everyone was fearful and expecting lower back then as well.
I don't know where the exact bottom will be, so I'll just slowly accumulate and focus on my long-term thesis.
Don't let sentiment and narratives pull you away from following your plan.🫡
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The False Breakout gave us a great warning once again.
Strong assets don't have False Breakouts.
Weak assets don't have False Breakdowns.
Trading Ranges are valuable because the market tells us if bulls or bears are in control. 🤝
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Bitcoin is getting really close to the Very Cheap 🔵 region.
This would be the first opportunity to buy below the 200W MA since early 2023.
Not sure whether we go below it, but will definitely take advantage if we do.
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Bitcoin closed back below $76k.
Strong assets do not fall back into their trading range after breaking out.
Bears remain in control for now.
Expecting more chop and consolidation over the next few weeks. 🤝
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May 30
Bitcoin continues to follow the base case we outlined in December of last year.
We got our low in February. ✅
We got our high in May. ✅
Now we're looking for another low in August. ⏰
Then a bottom in October. ⏰
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May 28
Bitcoin bottomed on the exact day The GLI said it would.
Bitcoin topped on the exact day The GLI said it would.
No indicator is perfect, but this one continues to be quite useful.
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May 27
Bitcoin is beginning to diverge from Software stocks here.
I don't expect this to continue for long.
One of them will follow the other, but the tough question is which one? 🤔
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May 26
Bitcoin went lower than expected in February.
This resulted in the relief rally topping lower than expected in May.
The base case is still chop throughout the summer with a bottom later this year.
With Bitcoin bottoming higher than most investors currently expect.
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May 22
Bitcoin is retesting the range high after its breakout.
$76k is the pivotal level to hold.
Lose it and we can expect a choppy summer.
Hold it and the fun can really begin.
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May 21
The liquidity backdrop in 2026 continues to look quite different compared to 2014, 2018 and 2022.
This isn't an opinion.
It's literally what the data says.
You can choose to ignore it because it doesn't align with your bias, but that doesn't change the facts.
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May 20
What comes next for Bitcoin?
Fair Value 🟡 or Very Cheap 🔵
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May 19
You can't make this stuff up.
Bitcoin bottomed exactly when The GLI said it would.
Bitcoin started consolidating right when The GLI said it would.
Not saying this indicator always gets things right,
but does it not make sense that the fixed supply monetary debasement hedge would mainly be driven by liquidity? (and adoption)
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