Five tips to becoming a profitable Prediction Market Trader: 1. The YES is a suckers bet 80% of the time on time decay markets. If u don't know what a time decay market is, research it. It's similar to theta decay on stock options. 2. If your always the taker, your killing your profitability. If a market has a 4c spread, and you market buy and sell, you are losing 4c on that trade. on a 20c to 40c trade, that takes ur profitability from 100% to 80%! Learn to enter and exit on the bid side. 3. Trying to trade too many market categories is an easy way to overtrade and lose money. Find markets that you enjoy and are good at, and focus on them. There's only so many markets right now, so this often means you need to get used to sitting on your hands. For example my friend @0xTyrael has made $30k in a month trading mention markets. He spends little time focusing on other markets. 4. Top blasting news events. If a news event does not resolve a market, then it often reverts to the mean. For example, take a look at Ukraine x Russia 2025 market. There were multiple news events over the year that pumped this market 50%, sometimes 2x. It always reverted. If a news event doesn't take a market to 90c, u need to be patient to enter, or take the other side. 5. Focusing on copy trading, hedging, arb. These are all sucker strategies. When they work, it's often briefly and the edge quickly disappears. Yes, there are sophisticated actors running hedge and arb bots. You are not a sophisticated actor. They have advanced infra and strategies that put them leagues above you. Focus on finding directional edges in markets instead. Bonus: Too many unprofitable traders try to hold to resolution. You need to take profits! 10c to 20c is a 2x, why on earth are you trying to hold to 100c on a underdog market. Don't be a hero, be a money maker.